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Mammoth at Canucks
NHL

Utah Mammoth at Vancouver Canucks

NHL scoreboard
Utah Mammoth
▸7
Vancouver Canucks
4
FinalTV Utah16, SNP·Rogers Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Utah Mammoth beat the Vancouver Canucks 7-4. The lead changed hands 2 times. The Mammoth led 4-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Dylan Guenther's goal at 11:55 of the second period, which took the Mammoth's chances from 65% to 84%. Expected goals favored the Mammoth, 2.8 to 1.5; shots on goal were UTA 25, VAN 23. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Mammoth win a replay of these chances 66% of the time. Karel Vejmelka stopped 19 of 23 (.826), 2.5 goals below expected; Nikita Tolopilo stopped 18 of 24 (.750), 3.7 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Clayton Keller (3 G, 1 A), 2. Linus Karlsson (2 G), 3. Lawson Crouse (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    UTA
    C. Keller3 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    VAN
    L. Karlsson2 G
  3. ★★★
    UTA
    L. Crouse1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
UTAUTA282938725
VANVAN1111725423

Scoring

11 goals

1st period

  1. VAN
    L. Karlsson(14)
    P. Joseph (5), L. Ohgren (9)
    backhandxG 0.03win prob +11 ptsVideo
    0-1
    2:28
  2. UTA
    K. Yamamoto(11)
    L. Cooley (15)
    tip-inxG 0.05win prob +14 ptsVideo
    1-1
    13:34
  3. UTA
    C. Keller(23)
    L. Crouse (19), N. DeSimone (6)
    wristxG 0.06win prob +15 ptsVideo
    2-1
    18:30

2nd period

  1. VAN
    L. Karlsson(15)
    V. Mancini (2), T. Blueger (7)
    tip-inxG 0.06win prob +16 ptsVideo
    2-2
    2:05
  2. UTA
    C. Keller(24)PPG
    D. Guenther (29), M. Sergachev (45)
    tip-inxG 0.12win prob +17 ptsVideo
    3-2
    7:04
  3. UTA
    D. Guenther(38)
    J. Marino (30), L. Cooley (16)
    wristxG 0.05win prob +19 ptsVideo
    4-2
    11:55

3rd period

  1. VAN
    J. DeBrusk(19)PPG
    F. Hronek (37)
    tip-inxG 0.14win prob +16 ptsVideo
    4-3
    0:20
  2. UTA
    L. Crouse(21)
    C. Keller (53)
    snapxG 0.14win prob +18 ptsVideo
    5-3
    1:32
  3. VAN
    M. Rossi(10)PPG
    F. Hronek (38), B. Boeser (23)
    wristxG 0.03win prob +13 ptsVideo
    5-4
    4:40
  4. UTA
    L. O'Brien(3)
    B. Tanev (3), N. Schmidt (16)
    backhandxG 0.18win prob +15 ptsVideo
    6-4
    11:45
  5. UTA
    C. Keller(25)EN
    N. Schmaltz (40), I. Cole (19)
    wristxG 0.56Video
    7-4
    19:07

Penalties

UTA 14 PIM·VAN 12 PIM

1st

  • 10:34VANPierre-Olivier Joseph · Trippingdrawn by Brandon Tanev2 min
  • 19:45VANLinus Karlsson · Embellishment2 min
  • 19:45UTAMikhail Sergachev · Interferencedrawn by Linus Karlsson2 min

2nd

  • 5:30VANFilip Hronek · Holdingdrawn by Nick Schmaltz2 min
  • 9:22UTAIan Cole · Holdingdrawn by Aatu Räty2 min
  • 15:38VANMax Sasson · Roughingdrawn by Sean Durzi2 min
  • 15:38UTASean Durzi · Roughingdrawn by Max Sasson2 min
  • 15:38VANMax Sasson · Cross checkingdrawn by Sean Durzi2 min
  • 15:38UTASean Durzi · Cross checkingdrawn by Max Sasson2 min
  • 18:45UTAIan Cole · Trippingdrawn by Linus Karlsson2 min

3rd

  • 3:49UTAserved by C. Keller · Too many men on the ice2 min
  • 14:59VANTeddy Blueger · Slashingdrawn by Michael Carcone2 min
  • 15:52UTAJJ Peterka · Hookingdrawn by Elias Pettersson2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
VAN goalUTA goalFinal: VAN 0%

Biggest swing: Dylan Guenther, 2nd 11:55 — UTA 65% → 84%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
A. Räty · On goal · xG 0.15J. DeBrusk · Goal · xG 0.15B. Boeser · On goal · xG 0.11J. DeBrusk · On goal · xG 0.10J. DeBrusk · On goal · xG 0.10B. Boeser · On goal · xG 0.09J. DeBrusk · Missed · xG 0.08T. Mueller · Missed · xG 0.06L. Karlsson · Goal · xG 0.06L. Ohgren · On goal · xG 0.05L. Karlsson · On goal · xG 0.05F. Hronek · On goal · xG 0.05E. Kane · Missed · xG 0.05T. Blueger · On goal · xG 0.04Z. Buium · On goal · xG 0.04M. Rossi · On goal · xG 0.04E. Kane · On goal · xG 0.04M. Rossi · Goal · xG 0.03L. Karlsson · Goal · xG 0.03Z. Buium · Missed · xG 0.03Z. Buium · On goal · xG 0.02E. Kane · Missed · xG 0.02T. Mueller · Missed · xG 0.02A. Räty · On goal · xG 0.02T. Willander · On goal · xG 0.02M. Rossi · Missed · xG 0.02F. Hronek · Missed · xG 0.02V. Mancini · On goal · xG 0.01T. Blueger · On goal · xG 0.01F. Hronek · On goal · xG 0.01M. Pettersson · Missed · xG 0.01F. Hronek · On goal · xG 0.00
VAN4 G · 1.5 xG · 32 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

UTAvsVAN
2.86 G
All situations
4 G1.5
1.55 G
Even strength
2 G1.1
0.61 G
Power play
2 G0.3
0.10 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.2

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 69 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
UTA66%34%VAN

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.28 – 1.49

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

UTAvsVAN
25
Shots on goal
23
47%
Faceoffs
53%
1/3
Power play
2/4
14
Penalty minutes
12
15
Hits
21
15
Blocked shots
10
12
Giveaways
18
4
Takeaways
4

Box score

every player line
Utah Mammoth skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
98M. SergachevD011030.06012—25:01
6J. MarinoD011+200.01000—20:02
8N. SchmaltzC011+230.490103819:44
50S. DurziD000+120.09104—19:31
88N. SchmidtD011+110.04000—18:45
28I. ColeD011+200.00104—17:27
9C. KellerR314+330.83010—17:21
11D. GuentherR112+120.35100—17:03
15A. KerfootC000+100.001105016:00
57N. DeSimoneD011+110.07010—15:54
82K. StenlundC000+100.000406115:53
67L. CrouseL112+220.1701010015:09
92L. CooleyC022+110.150103314:45
77J. PeterkaR000020.05002—14:00
53M. CarconeL000010.023005012:53
56K. YamamotoR101020.12200—11:13
13B. TanevL011+110.19030—10:32
38L. O'BrienC101+110.18610010:21
Utah Mammoth goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
70K. Vejmelka(W)23194.8261.50-2.5060:00

Season series

UTA leads 3-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).