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Vancouver Canucks at Utah Mammoth

FinalTV Utah16, SNP·Delta Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Utah Mammoth beat the Vancouver Canucks 6-2. The Mammoth scored first and never trailed. The Mammoth led 5-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Nick Schmaltz's goal at 7:37 of the first period, which took the Mammoth's chances from 54% to 66%. Expected goals favored the Mammoth, 2.3 to 2.1; shots on goal were VAN 24, UTA 19. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Mammoth win a replay of these chances 55% of the time. Kevin Lankinen stopped 13 of 19 (.684), 3.7 goals below expected; Karel Vejmelka stopped 22 of 24 (.917). Three stars: 1. Nick Schmaltz (3 G, 1 A), 2. John Marino (3 A), 3. Lawson Crouse (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    UTA
    N. Schmaltz3 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    UTA
    J. Marino3 A
  3. ★★★
    UTA
    L. Crouse1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
VANVAN1618010224
UTAUTA283714619

Scoring

8 goals

1st period

  1. UTA
    J. Marino (22), B. Hayton (13)
    wristxG 0.06win prob +12 ptsVideo
    0-1
    3:34
  2. VAN
    snapxG 0.21win prob +12 ptsVideo
    1-1
    7:04
  3. UTA
    snapxG 0.12win prob +12 ptsVideo
    1-2
    7:37

2nd period

  1. UTA
    slapxG 0.04win prob +12 ptsVideo
    1-3
    8:45
  2. UTA
    J. Marino (23), C. Keller (35)
    wristxG 0.19win prob +8 ptsVideo
    1-4
    12:16
  3. UTA
    slapxG 0.06win prob +3 ptsVideo
    1-5
    16:05
  4. VAN
    snapxG 0.13win prob +2 ptsVideo
    2-5
    18:49

3rd period

  1. UTA
    C. Keller (36), L. Crouse (14)
    wristxG 0.10Video
    2-6
    12:22

Penalties

VAN 14 PIM·UTA 18 PIM

1st

  • 1:24UTAserved by Jack McBain · Too many men on the ice2 min
  • 11:12VANDavid Kampf · Trippingdrawn by Barrett Hayton2 min

2nd

  • 4:52UTAMikhail Sergachev · Holdingdrawn by Elias Pettersson2 min
  • 8:29VANEvander Kane · Trippingdrawn by Jack McBain2 min

3rd

  • 9:01UTABarrett Hayton · Cross checkingdrawn by Evander Kane2 min
  • 15:21UTALiam O'Brien · Roughingdrawn by Evander Kane2 min
  • 15:21VANEvander Kane · Misconduct10 min
  • 15:21UTALiam O'Brien · Misconduct10 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
UTA goalVAN goalFinal: UTA 100%

Biggest swing: Nick Schmaltz, 1st 7:37 — UTA 54% → 66%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
C. Keller · On goal · xG 0.23J. Peterka · Missed · xG 0.23L. Crouse · Goal · xG 0.19D. Guenther · Missed · xG 0.13L. O'Brien · Missed · xG 0.13L. Crouse · On goal · xG 0.12N. Schmaltz · Goal · xG 0.12N. Schmaltz · Goal · xG 0.10K. Yamamoto · On goal · xG 0.09C. Keller · On goal · xG 0.08C. Keller · On goal · xG 0.07M. Carcone · Missed · xG 0.07C. Keller · Missed · xG 0.07N. Schmaltz · Goal · xG 0.06B. Hayton · On goal · xG 0.06J. Peterka · Goal · xG 0.06K. Yamamoto · Missed · xG 0.06J. Peterka · Missed · xG 0.05D. Guenther · On goal · xG 0.04J. McBain · Missed · xG 0.04D. Guenther · On goal · xG 0.04N. Schmaltz · Missed · xG 0.04M. Sergachev · Goal · xG 0.04C. Keller · Missed · xG 0.03N. DeSimone · On goal · xG 0.03M. Carcone · Missed · xG 0.03D. Guenther · On goal · xG 0.03M. Carcone · On goal · xG 0.02J. Peterka · Missed · xG 0.02C. Keller · On goal · xG 0.01J. Peterka · Missed · xG 0.01I. Cole · Missed · xG 0.01L. Crouse · On goal · xG 0.00B. Tanev · Missed · xG 0.00
UTA6 G · 2.3 xG · 34 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

VANvsUTA
2.12 G
All situations
6 G2.3
1.82 G
Even strength
5 G2.1
0.30 G
Power play
1 G0.2

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 68 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
VAN45%55%UTA

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.04 – 2.32

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

VANvsUTA
24
Shots on goal
19
43%
Faceoffs
57%
0/4
Power play
1/2
14
Penalty minutes
18
21
Hits
13
10
Blocked shots
9
19
Giveaways
13
6
Takeaways
3

Box score

every player line
Vancouver Canucks skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
57T. MyersD000-110.10000—20:58
17F. HronekD000-220.10110—20:49
25E. PetterssonD000-210.05410—18:45
91E. KaneL000-150.194012—18:44
8C. GarlandR022+110.07010—18:37
5T. WillanderD000-100.00200—17:59
29M. PetterssonD011+130.18030—17:59
74J. DeBruskL000-100.1000010017:58
92L. OhgrenL101+120.39000—17:53
53T. BluegerC112+220.354005016:50
7P. JosephD000-100.03200—16:18
18D. O'ConnorL000020.13100—15:56
40E. PetterssonC000-120.170105015:49
64D. KampfC000-210.111124515:17
63M. SassonC000-100.002003314:21
94L. KarlssonC000-310.08000013:52
23J. LekkerimäkiR000-100.00020—12:03
72F. ChytilC000-310.01000007:36
Vancouver Canucks goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
32K. Lankinen(L)19136.6842.33-3.6760:00

Season series

UTA leads 3-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).