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Utah Mammoth at Vancouver Canucks

FinalTV Utah16, SNP·Rogers Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Utah Mammoth beat the Vancouver Canucks 4-1. The Mammoth scored first and never trailed. The Mammoth led 2-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Nick Schmaltz's goal at 14:05 of the second period, which took the Mammoth's chances from 68% to 85%. Expected goals were close — UTA 3.2, VAN 3.4; shots on goal were UTA 18, VAN 33. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Canucks win a replay of these chances 68% of the time. Karel Vejmelka stopped 32 of 33 (.970), 2.4 goals saved above expected; Kevin Lankinen stopped 14 of 17 (.824), 0.7 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Karel Vejmelka (32 saves, .970), 2. Mikhail Sergachev (1 G, 1 A), 3. Elias Pettersson.

Three stars

  1. ★
    UTA
    K. Vejmelka32 saves, .970
  2. ★★
    UTA
    M. Sergachev1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    VAN
    E. Pettersson

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
UTAUTA181723418
VANVAN01101418133

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. UTA
    wristxG 0.05win prob +10 ptsVideo
    1-0
    16:00

2nd period

  1. UTA
    tip-inxG 0.08win prob +17 ptsVideo
    2-0
    14:05

3rd period

  1. VAN
    tip-inxG 0.09win prob +17 ptsVideo
    2-1
    4:17
  2. UTA
    backhandxG 0.22win prob +7 ptsVideo
    3-1
    17:52
  3. UTA
    wristxG 0.55win prob +1 ptsVideo
    4-1
    19:24

Penalties

UTA 8 PIM·VAN 6 PIM

1st

  • 15:47VANMax Sasson · Trippingdrawn by Jack McBain2 min

2nd

  • 10:30UTADylan Guenther · High stickingdrawn by Quinn Hughes2 min
  • 18:53VANLinus Karlsson · Roughingdrawn by Kevin Stenlund2 min
  • 18:53UTAKevin Stenlund · Roughingdrawn by Linus Karlsson2 min

3rd

  • 9:58UTAKevin Stenlund · Slashingdrawn by Kiefer Sherwood2 min
  • 15:21VANQuinn Hughes · Holdingdrawn by Logan Cooley2 min
  • 18:19UTAMikhail Sergachev · Delaying game puck over glass2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
VAN goalUTA goalFinal: VAN 0%

Biggest swing: Nick Schmaltz, 2nd 14:05 — UTA 68% → 85%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
E. Pettersson · Missed · xG 0.34E. Pettersson · Missed · xG 0.25Q. Hughes · On goal · xG 0.17J. DeBrusk · On goal · xG 0.15L. Karlsson · On goal · xG 0.15C. Garland · On goal · xG 0.13J. DeBrusk · On goal · xG 0.13B. Boeser · On goal · xG 0.13J. DeBrusk · On goal · xG 0.12L. Karlsson · Missed · xG 0.12E. Pettersson · On goal · xG 0.12E. Pettersson · On goal · xG 0.11E. Pettersson · On goal · xG 0.10D. Kampf · On goal · xG 0.09A. Bains · Goal · xG 0.09A. Räty · On goal · xG 0.09C. Garland · On goal · xG 0.09J. DeBrusk · On goal · xG 0.08E. Pettersson · On goal · xG 0.07K. Sherwood · Missed · xG 0.07J. DeBrusk · Missed · xG 0.07J. DeBrusk · Missed · xG 0.06E. Pettersson · Missed · xG 0.06M. Sasson · Missed · xG 0.05E. Pettersson · On goal · xG 0.04T. Myers · Missed · xG 0.04B. Boeser · Missed · xG 0.04B. Boeser · On goal · xG 0.04Q. Hughes · On goal · xG 0.04L. Karlsson · Missed · xG 0.03C. Garland · Missed · xG 0.03J. DeBrusk · On goal · xG 0.03K. Sherwood · On goal · xG 0.03T. Willander · On goal · xG 0.03C. Garland · On goal · xG 0.03M. Pettersson · Missed · xG 0.03K. Sherwood · On goal · xG 0.02Q. Hughes · On goal · xG 0.02Q. Hughes · On goal · xG 0.02A. Räty · Missed · xG 0.02E. Pettersson · Missed · xG 0.02K. Sherwood · On goal · xG 0.01C. Garland · Missed · xG 0.01E. Pettersson · On goal · xG 0.01K. Sherwood · On goal · xG 0.01F. Hronek · On goal · xG 0.00C. Garland · Missed · xG 0.00F. Hronek · On goal · xG 0.00M. Pettersson · On goal · xG 0.00M. Pettersson · On goal · xG 0.00
VAN1 G · 3.4 xG · 50 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

UTAvsVAN
3.23 G
All situations
1 G3.4
2.02 G
Even strength
1 G2.8
0.31 G
Power play
0 G0.6

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 84 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
UTA32%68%VAN

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.20 – 3.27

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

UTAvsVAN
18
Shots on goal
33
47%
Faceoffs
53%
1/2
Power play
0/3
8
Penalty minutes
6
25
Hits
21
23
Blocked shots
12
18
Giveaways
20
6
Takeaways
6

Box score

every player line
Utah Mammoth skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
98M. SergachevD112+110.05232—23:53
6J. MarinoD101+320.60140—22:54
88N. SchmidtD000-100.00010—19:37
28I. ColeD000+200.00070—19:01
50S. DurziD000-100.04210—18:31
8N. SchmaltzC101+110.080003017:45
67L. CrouseL000020.12610—17:13
77J. PeterkaR011+110.06300—17:08
92L. CooleyC000020.370005716:47
22J. McBainC011000.235004715:41
9C. KellerR011+110.30010—15:19
11D. GuentherR011000.1702210014:52
10M. LamoureuxD000010.11210—14:39
82K. StenlundC112+230.660145514:08
53M. CarconeL000-110.08100—12:57
19D. ButL000020.30110—11:57
56K. YamamotoR011+100.00000—11:06
38L. O'BrienC000010.08200008:51
Utah Mammoth goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
70K. Vejmelka(W)33321.9703.40+2.4060:00

Season series

UTA leads 3-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).