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Utah Mammoth at Seattle Kraken

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Recap

written from the game data

The Utah Mammoth beat the Seattle Kraken 6-2. The Mammoth came back from two goals down. The Mammoth led 3-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Logan Cooley's goal at 10:05 of the second period, which took the Mammoth's chances from 29% to 47%. Expected goals favored the Mammoth, 3.6 to 2.3; shots on goal were UTA 31, SEA 27. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Mammoth win a replay of these chances 71% of the time. Karel Vejmelka stopped 25 of 27 (.926); Joey Daccord stopped 25 of 31 (.806), 2.4 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Logan Cooley (2 G, 1 A), 2. Dylan Guenther (1 G, 2 A), 3. Nick Schmaltz (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    UTA
    L. Cooley2 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    UTA
    D. Guenther1 G, 2 A
  3. ★★★
    UTA
    N. Schmaltz1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
UTAUTA11228311631
SEASEA2901008227

Scoring

8 goals

1st period

  1. SEA
    snapxG 0.19win prob +11 ptsVideo
    0-1
    0:41
  2. SEA
    backhandxG 0.07win prob +14 ptsVideo
    0-2
    13:45
  3. UTA
    L. Cooley(21)PPG
    snapxG 0.06win prob +12 ptsVideo
    1-2
    16:27

2nd period

  1. UTA
    snapxG 0.40win prob +18 ptsVideo
    2-2
    10:05
  2. UTA
    snapxG 0.18win prob +11 ptsVideo
    3-2
    14:56

3rd period

  1. UTA
    wristxG 0.06win prob +17 ptsVideo
    4-2
    4:39
  2. UTA
    wristxG 0.15win prob +5 ptsVideo
    5-2
    7:27
  3. UTA
    M. Carcone(15)PPG
    Unassisted
    deflectedxG 0.15Video
    6-2
    16:37

Penalties

UTA 6 PIM·SEA 12 PIM

1st

  • 2:47UTANate Schmidt · Hookingdrawn by Jacob Melanson2 min
  • 2:59SEAVince Dunn · Trippingdrawn by Kevin Stenlund2 min
  • 15:40SEAJacob Melanson · Slashingdrawn by Jack McBain2 min

2nd

  • 13:55SEABerkly Catton · High sticking double minordrawn by Alexander Kerfoot4 min
  • 17:36UTALogan Cooley · Hookingdrawn by Jordan Eberle2 min

3rd

  • 12:25UTAKailer Yamamoto · Trippingdrawn by Ryker Evans2 min
  • 14:35SEAJordan Eberle · High sticking double minordrawn by Kevin Stenlund4 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
SEA goalUTA goalFinal: SEA 0%

Biggest swing: Logan Cooley, 2nd 10:05 — UTA 29% → 47%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
J. Melanson · Missed · xG 0.32B. Catton · On goal · xG 0.21J. Eberle · Goal · xG 0.19J. Melanson · Missed · xG 0.12A. Larsson · On goal · xG 0.12R. Evans · On goal · xG 0.10J. Eberle · On goal · xG 0.09B. Montour · On goal · xG 0.08M. Beniers · On goal · xG 0.08B. McMann · Missed · xG 0.08K. Kakko · Missed · xG 0.07E. Tolvanen · Missed · xG 0.07E. Tolvanen · On goal · xG 0.07V. Dunn · On goal · xG 0.07B. McMann · Goal · xG 0.07K. Kakko · Missed · xG 0.06B. Montour · On goal · xG 0.05J. Schwartz · On goal · xG 0.05B. McMann · On goal · xG 0.04A. Larsson · On goal · xG 0.04B. Montour · On goal · xG 0.04V. Dunn · On goal · xG 0.04M. Beniers · On goal · xG 0.03B. Catton · Missed · xG 0.03B. Montour · On goal · xG 0.02A. Larsson · Missed · xG 0.02J. Eberle · Missed · xG 0.02R. Lindgren · On goal · xG 0.02V. Dunn · On goal · xG 0.02B. Montour · Missed · xG 0.02J. Oleksiak · Missed · xG 0.02J. Oleksiak · On goal · xG 0.01V. Dunn · On goal · xG 0.01A. Larsson · On goal · xG 0.01B. Montour · On goal · xG 0.01J. Oleksiak · On goal · xG 0.01R. Evans · Missed · xG 0.00F. Gaudreau · On goal · xG 0.00R. Lindgren · On goal · xG 0.00
SEA2 G · 2.3 xG · 39 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

UTAvsSEA
3.66 G
All situations
2 G2.3
2.83 G
Even strength
2 G1.9
0.83 G
Power play
0 G0.4
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 87 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
UTA71%29%SEA

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.55 – 2.27

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

UTAvsSEA
31
Shots on goal
27
59%
Faceoffs
41%
3/6
Power play
0/3
6
Penalty minutes
12
13
Hits
24
13
Blocked shots
11
20
Giveaways
11
7
Takeaways
4

Box score

every player line
Utah Mammoth skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
98M. SergachevD011+140.04010—23:23
88N. SchmidtD000-100.00002—19:50
52M. WeegarD011+120.08320—19:33
9C. KellerR011-130.34000—19:00
8N. SchmaltzC112-140.610006018:44
28I. ColeD000+100.00040—17:40
6J. MarinoD000-100.00000—17:39
92L. CooleyC213+130.541028217:14
11D. GuentherR123+130.69010—16:48
77J. PeterkaR101+140.29000—16:42
15A. KerfootC000+110.001104616:33
50S. DurziD011+120.05100—16:23
67L. CrouseL000-110.27100—15:47
53M. CarconeL101030.353005015:03
82K. StenlundC000010.170105413:43
56K. YamamotoR022+200.00012—11:23
13B. TanevL000000.04110—09:44
22J. McBainC000000.122106709:00
Utah Mammoth goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
70K. Vejmelka(W)27252.9262.30+0.3059:51

Season series

UTA leads 3-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).