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Seattle Kraken at Utah Mammoth

FinalTV KHN/Prime, Utah16·Delta Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Utah Mammoth beat the Seattle Kraken 6-3. The lead changed hands 2 times. It was tied 3-3 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Nate Schmidt's goal at 14:30 of the third period, which took the Mammoth's chances from 52% to 89%. Expected goals favored the Mammoth, 5.5 to 3.4; shots on goal were SEA 21, UTA 31. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Mammoth win a replay of these chances 56% of the time. Philipp Grubauer stopped 25 of 30 (.833), 1.3 goals below expected; Karel Vejmelka stopped 18 of 21 (.857). Three stars: 1. Nate Schmidt (2 G, 2 A), 2. Lawson Crouse (1 G, 2 A), 3. Nick Schmaltz (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    UTA
    N. Schmidt2 G, 2 A
  2. ★★
    UTA
    L. Crouse1 G, 2 A
  3. ★★★
    UTA
    N. Schmaltz1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
SEASEA1122702321
UTAUTA11228311631

Scoring

9 goals

1st period

  1. SEA
    K. Kakko (13), M. Beniers (21)
    backhandxG 0.09win prob +11 ptsVideo
    1-0
    1:09
  2. UTA
    L. Crouse (12), I. Cole (14)
    snapxG 0.24win prob +12 ptsVideo
    1-1
    2:47

2nd period

  1. UTA
    slapxG 0.02win prob +15 ptsVideo
    1-2
    0:28
  2. UTA
    snapxG 0.30win prob +15 ptsVideo
    1-3
    4:31
  3. SEA
    V. Dunn (23), B. Catton (6)
    wristxG 0.72win prob +16 ptsVideo
    2-3
    15:11
  4. SEA
    wristxG 0.21win prob +21 ptsVideo
    3-3
    17:43

3rd period

  1. UTA
    snapxG 0.33win prob +37 ptsVideo
    3-4
    14:30
  2. UTA
    snapxG 0.16win prob +9 ptsVideo
    3-5
    15:12
  3. UTA
    snapxG 0.95Video
    3-6
    19:09

Penalties

SEA 4 PIM·UTA 6 PIM

1st

  • 2:36UTABrandon Tanev · Hookingdrawn by Ben Meyers2 min
  • 2:59UTAJack McBain · Cross checkingdrawn by Shane Wright2 min

2nd

  • 9:58UTADylan Guenther · Trippingdrawn by Ryan Winterton2 min
  • 12:30SEAJordan Eberle · Interferencedrawn by Barrett Hayton2 min

3rd

  • 6:08SEAAdam Larsson · Hookingdrawn by Nick Schmaltz2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
UTA goalSEA goalFinal: UTA 100%

Biggest swing: Nate Schmidt, 3rd 14:30 — UTA 52% → 89%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
B. Hayton · Goal · xG 0.95L. Crouse · Missed · xG 0.51J. McBain · On goal · xG 0.35J. Marino · Missed · xG 0.34N. Schmidt · Goal · xG 0.33N. Schmaltz · Goal · xG 0.30K. Stenlund · Goal · xG 0.24N. Schmaltz · Missed · xG 0.22M. Carcone · On goal · xG 0.16B. Tanev · Missed · xG 0.16L. Crouse · Goal · xG 0.16L. Crouse · Missed · xG 0.15L. Crouse · On goal · xG 0.13J. McBain · On goal · xG 0.13N. Schmaltz · On goal · xG 0.12S. Durzi · Missed · xG 0.11J. Peterka · On goal · xG 0.10J. McBain · On goal · xG 0.10D. But · On goal · xG 0.08L. Crouse · On goal · xG 0.08C. Keller · On goal · xG 0.07M. Carcone · Missed · xG 0.07D. Guenther · Missed · xG 0.06M. Sergachev · On goal · xG 0.06J. McBain · Missed · xG 0.05B. Hayton · On goal · xG 0.05D. Guenther · Missed · xG 0.05M. Carcone · On goal · xG 0.04M. Sergachev · On goal · xG 0.04J. Peterka · On goal · xG 0.04M. Carcone · On goal · xG 0.03S. Durzi · On goal · xG 0.03N. Schmidt · Goal · xG 0.02J. Peterka · On goal · xG 0.02N. Schmidt · Missed · xG 0.02D. Guenther · Missed · xG 0.01I. Cole · Missed · xG 0.01N. Schmidt · On goal · xG 0.01N. DeSimone · Missed · xG 0.01N. Schmidt · On goal · xG 0.01I. Cole · Missed · xG 0.01N. Schmidt · Missed · xG 0.01N. Schmaltz · On goal · xG 0.01J. Peterka · Missed · xG 0.01M. Carcone · Missed · xG 0.01J. Marino · On goal · xG 0.01L. Crouse · On goal · xG 0.00N. Schmaltz · On goal · xG 0.00N. Schmidt · On goal · xG 0.00
UTA6 G · 5.5 xG · 49 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

SEAvsUTA
3.43 G
All situations
5 G5.5
2.73 G
Even strength
4 G2.9
0.80 G
Power play
0 G0.5
0.00 G
Shorthanded
1 G0.2

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 88 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
SEA44%56%UTA

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.26 – 3.60

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

SEAvsUTA
21
Shots on goal
31
47%
Faceoffs
53%
0/3
Power play
0/2
4
Penalty minutes
6
13
Hits
25
18
Blocked shots
15
14
Giveaways
17
5
Takeaways
4

Box score

every player line
Seattle Kraken skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
62B. MontourD000+130.10000—23:50
29V. DunnD011-120.05010—19:55
41R. EvansD000-200.00110—18:36
9C. StephensonC101010.210006018:31
89F. GaudreauC011+110.141004018:28
6A. LarssonD000-110.04232—18:18
55R. LindgrenD000000.01120—18:06
20E. TolvanenR011000.09330—17:27
24J. OleksiakD000-100.00220—16:52
10M. BeniersC112-130.881005315:58
19J. McCannL000-310.07010—15:45
7J. EberleR101-110.31012—15:03
59B. MeyersC000-100.000003814:55
51S. WrightC000-230.461005014:16
27B. CattonC011-210.240004013:40
17J. SchwartzL000-110.36040—13:02
84K. KakkoR011-100.00100—12:59
26R. WintertonC000-130.45000012:30
Seattle Kraken goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
31P. Grubauer(L)30255.8333.68-1.3257:49

Season series

UTA leads 3-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).