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Seattle Kraken at Utah Mammoth

FinalTV KHN/Prime, Utah16·Delta Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Utah Mammoth beat the Seattle Kraken 5-3. The lead changed hands 2 times. The Mammoth led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Dylan Guenther's goal at 12:55 of the third period, which took the Mammoth's chances from 60% to 87%. Expected goals favored the Mammoth, 5.9 to 4.1; shots on goal were SEA 37, UTA 33. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Kraken win a replay of these chances 58% of the time. Philipp Grubauer stopped 28 of 31 (.903); Karel Vejmelka stopped 34 of 37 (.919), 1.1 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Karel Vejmelka (34 saves, .919), 2. Nick Schmaltz (1 G, 2 A), 3. Dylan Guenther (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    UTA
    K. Vejmelka34 saves, .919
  2. ★★
    UTA
    N. Schmaltz1 G, 2 A
  3. ★★★
    UTA
    D. Guenther1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
SEASEA09116212337
UTAUTA01221338533

Scoring

8 goals

2nd period

  1. SEA
    backhandxG 0.15win prob +17 ptsVideo
    1-0
    3:35
  2. UTA
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.29win prob +18 ptsVideo
    1-1
    8:09
  3. UTA
    snapxG 0.01win prob +20 ptsVideo
    1-2
    13:24

3rd period

  1. SEA
    slapxG 0.05win prob +27 ptsVideo
    2-2
    7:50
  2. UTA
    slapxG 0.17win prob +27 ptsVideo
    2-3
    12:55
  3. UTA
    backhandxG 0.61win prob +8 ptsVideo
    2-4
    17:49
  4. UTA
    snapxG 0.81Video
    2-5
    18:58
  5. SEA
    wristxG 0.09Video
    3-5
    19:17

Penalties

SEA 6 PIM·UTA 10 PIM

1st

  • 7:34UTAOlli Maatta · Trippingdrawn by Matty Beniers2 min
  • 13:47SEAAdam Larsson · Interferencedrawn by Kailer Yamamoto2 min

2nd

  • 4:32UTALawson Crouse · Roughingdrawn by Ryan Lindgren2 min
  • 4:32SEARyan Lindgren · Roughingdrawn by Lawson Crouse2 min

3rd

  • 5:13UTAJohn Marino · Slashingdrawn by Jordan Eberle2 min
  • 5:31UTAIan Cole · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
  • 12:34SEARyan Lindgren · Cross checkingdrawn by John Marino2 min
  • 15:24UTAJJ Peterka · Hookingdrawn by Kaapo Kakko2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
UTA goalSEA goalFinal: UTA 100%

Biggest swing: Dylan Guenther, 3rd 12:55 — UTA 60% → 87%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
L. Crouse · Goal · xG 0.81J. Peterka · Goal · xG 0.61B. Hayton · Missed · xG 0.55D. Guenther · Missed · xG 0.42M. Carcone · On goal · xG 0.36N. Schmaltz · Goal · xG 0.29D. Guenther · Missed · xG 0.27D. But · On goal · xG 0.22N. Schmaltz · On goal · xG 0.22D. Guenther · Goal · xG 0.17K. Stenlund · On goal · xG 0.16B. Hayton · On goal · xG 0.15C. Keller · Missed · xG 0.13N. Schmaltz · Missed · xG 0.13J. Peterka · On goal · xG 0.13C. Keller · Missed · xG 0.13J. Peterka · On goal · xG 0.09M. Carcone · On goal · xG 0.09D. Guenther · Missed · xG 0.08J. Peterka · Missed · xG 0.07S. Durzi · On goal · xG 0.06J. McBain · On goal · xG 0.06O. Maatta · Missed · xG 0.06K. Stenlund · Missed · xG 0.05M. Sergachev · On goal · xG 0.04C. Keller · On goal · xG 0.04L. O'Brien · Missed · xG 0.04M. Sergachev · On goal · xG 0.03K. Stenlund · On goal · xG 0.03C. Keller · On goal · xG 0.03I. Cole · On goal · xG 0.03B. Hayton · On goal · xG 0.03K. Stenlund · Missed · xG 0.03M. Sergachev · On goal · xG 0.02L. O'Brien · On goal · xG 0.02O. Maatta · On goal · xG 0.02J. Marino · On goal · xG 0.02M. Sergachev · On goal · xG 0.02J. Peterka · On goal · xG 0.02L. O'Brien · Missed · xG 0.02S. Durzi · On goal · xG 0.02K. Yamamoto · Goal · xG 0.01N. Schmidt · Missed · xG 0.01S. Durzi · On goal · xG 0.01O. Maatta · On goal · xG 0.01C. Keller · Missed · xG 0.01J. Marino · Missed · xG 0.01D. Guenther · On goal · xG 0.01N. Schmidt · On goal · xG 0.00
UTA5 G · 5.9 xG · 49 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

SEAvsUTA
4.13 G
All situations
3 G5.9
2.23 G
Even strength
2 G2.7
1.80 G
Power play
1 G0.8

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 98 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
SEA58%42%UTA

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.97 – 3.46

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

SEAvsUTA
37
Shots on goal
33
52%
Faceoffs
48%
0/4
Power play
1/2
6
Penalty minutes
10
14
Hits
13
25
Blocked shots
17
14
Giveaways
15
4
Takeaways
4

Box score

every player line
Seattle Kraken skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
29V. DunnD000-360.32020—26:13
9C. StephensonC011-240.430206522:15
62B. MontourD011-110.03300—21:48
6A. LarssonD000-120.01022—20:35
10M. BeniersC000-240.730006220:30
7J. EberleR000-210.45000—19:49
20E. TolvanenR000-250.64130—19:36
55R. LindgrenD011000.01154—17:49
27M. MarchmentL202+160.5610010017:37
89F. GaudreauC011000.142106014:51
24J. OleksiakD000+220.08130—13:58
51S. WrightC000+120.300403313:49
28J. MahuraD000+100.00120—13:47
84K. KakkoR000+110.17000—12:59
38J. NymanR000010.07000—12:58
59B. MeyersC101010.092004010:14
26R. WintertonC011010.06000009:24
12T. KartyeL011000.00210—08:59
Seattle Kraken goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
31P. Grubauer(L)31283.9033.48+0.4858:28

Season series

UTA leads 3-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).