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Canucks at Wild
NHL

Vancouver Canucks at Minnesota Wild

NHL scoreboard
Vancouver Canucks
2
Minnesota Wild
▸5
FinalTV FDSNNO, FDSNWI·Grand Casino Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Minnesota Wild beat the Vancouver Canucks 5-2. The lead changed hands 2 times. The Wild led 3-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Kirill Kaprizov's goal at 6:08 of the second period, which took the Wild's chances from 53% to 70%. Expected goals favored the Wild, 4.0 to 2.7; shots on goal were VAN 33, MIN 39. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Wild win a replay of these chances 62% of the time. Nikita Tolopilo stopped 34 of 38 (.895), 0.6 goals below expected; Filip Gustavsson stopped 31 of 33 (.939), 0.7 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Matt Boldy (2 G, 1 A), 2. Kirill Kaprizov (1 G, 1 A), 3. Mats Zuccarello (2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    MIN
    M. Boldy2 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    MIN
    K. Kaprizov1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    MIN
    M. Zuccarello2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
VANVAN21505013233
MINMIN115211213539

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. MIN
    M. Boldy(39)
    M. Johansson (31), J. Eriksson Ek (28)
    wristxG 0.08win prob +13 ptsVideo
    0-1
    8:32
  2. VAN
    T. Willander(5)
    T. Blueger (6), M. Sasson (6)
    wristxG 0.36win prob +11 ptsVideo
    1-1
    16:00
  3. VAN
    J. DeBrusk(18)PPG
    F. Hronek (36), E. Pettersson (33)
    wristxG 0.23win prob +15 ptsVideo
    2-1
    16:42

2nd period

  1. MIN
    M. Boldy(40)
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.14win prob +16 ptsVideo
    2-2
    0:23
  2. MIN
    K. Kaprizov(40)
    M. Zuccarello (31)
    snapxG 0.12win prob +17 ptsVideo
    2-3
    6:08

3rd period

  1. MIN
    R. Hartman(19)
    M. Zuccarello (32), Q. Hughes (67)
    tip-inxG 0.09win prob +15 ptsVideo
    2-4
    6:03
  2. MIN
    R. Hartman(20)EN
    K. Kaprizov (43), M. Boldy (39)
    wristxG 0.38Video
    2-5
    18:52

Penalties

VAN 4 PIM·MIN 4 PIM

1st

  • 14:07VANDrew O'Connor · Interferencedrawn by Quinn Hughes2 min
  • 15:24MINJoel Eriksson Ek · Trippingdrawn by Liam Ohgren2 min

2nd

  • 1:20VANPierre-Olivier Joseph · Trippingdrawn by Kirill Kaprizov2 min
  • 7:25MINQuinn Hughes · Cross checkingdrawn by Curtis Douglas2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
MIN goalVAN goalFinal: MIN 100%

Biggest swing: Kirill Kaprizov, 2nd 6:08 — MIN 53% → 70%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
R. Hartman · Goal · xG 0.38R. Hartman · Missed · xG 0.26M. Zuccarello · On goal · xG 0.17V. Tarasenko · On goal · xG 0.17V. Tarasenko · Missed · xG 0.16Y. Trenin · On goal · xG 0.15K. Kaprizov · Missed · xG 0.15M. Boldy · Goal · xG 0.14R. Hartman · Missed · xG 0.13V. Tarasenko · On goal · xG 0.13J. Eriksson Ek · On goal · xG 0.13M. Boldy · Missed · xG 0.12D. Yurov · On goal · xG 0.12Q. Hughes · On goal · xG 0.12K. Kaprizov · Goal · xG 0.12M. Boldy · On goal · xG 0.11M. Zuccarello · On goal · xG 0.11Q. Hughes · On goal · xG 0.10J. Spurgeon · Missed · xG 0.09R. Hartman · Goal · xG 0.09K. Kaprizov · On goal · xG 0.09M. McCarron · On goal · xG 0.08M. Boldy · Goal · xG 0.08M. Boldy · On goal · xG 0.07B. Brink · Missed · xG 0.07Y. Trenin · On goal · xG 0.06Y. Trenin · On goal · xG 0.06Q. Hughes · On goal · xG 0.05Q. Hughes · On goal · xG 0.04K. Kaprizov · On goal · xG 0.04M. Johansson · On goal · xG 0.04K. Kaprizov · On goal · xG 0.04B. Faber · On goal · xG 0.03Y. Trenin · On goal · xG 0.03M. Boldy · On goal · xG 0.03M. Boldy · On goal · xG 0.03J. Brodin · On goal · xG 0.02M. Zuccarello · Missed · xG 0.02Z. Bogosian · On goal · xG 0.02R. Hartman · On goal · xG 0.02B. Faber · Missed · xG 0.02B. Faber · On goal · xG 0.02K. Kaprizov · Missed · xG 0.02J. Brodin · On goal · xG 0.01Z. Bogosian · Missed · xG 0.01B. Faber · On goal · xG 0.01J. Spurgeon · Missed · xG 0.01R. Hartman · On goal · xG 0.01K. Kaprizov · On goal · xG 0.01R. Hartman · On goal · xG 0.00M. Zuccarello · On goal · xG 0.00
MIN5 G · 4.0 xG · 51 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

VANvsMIN
2.72 G
All situations
4 G4.0
1.91 G
Even strength
4 G3.2
0.81 G
Power play
0 G0.2

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 96 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
VAN38%62%MIN

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.62 – 3.33

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

VANvsMIN
33
Shots on goal
39
59%
Faceoffs
41%
1/2
Power play
0/2
4
Penalty minutes
4
22
Hits
17
11
Blocked shots
19
16
Giveaways
18
4
Takeaways
2

Box score

every player line
Vancouver Canucks skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
17F. HronekD011-340.12000—26:49
29M. PetterssonD000-120.06150—23:09
24Z. BuiumD000010.01310—23:01
5T. WillanderD101020.40020—22:48
6B. BoeserR000-330.23000—19:46
40E. PetterssonC011-210.172106118:07
93M. RossiC000-330.161005017:35
94L. KarlssonC000-130.10100017:09
53T. BluegerC011030.633005716:51
18D. O'ConnorL000-220.09002—15:53
74J. DeBruskL101-260.4710010015:44
92L. OhgrenL000-100.00100—15:19
63M. SassonC011000.00100013:30
54A. RätyC000-110.144007912:03
25E. PetterssonD000-200.00100—11:28
7P. JosephD000-110.02212—10:52
39T. MuellerC000000.031002509:55
42C. DouglasC000010.06010008:44
Vancouver Canucks goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
60N. Tolopilo(L)38344.8953.36-0.6457:17

Season series

MIN leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).