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Vancouver Canucks at Minnesota Wild

FinalTV FDSNNO, FDSNWIX·Grand Casino Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Minnesota Wild beat the Vancouver Canucks 5-2. The Wild scored first and never trailed. The Wild led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Marco Rossi's goal at 13:49 of the second period, which took the Wild's chances from 53% to 73%. Expected goals favored the Wild, 3.2 to 1.9; shots on goal were VAN 28, MIN 28. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Wild win a replay of these chances 57% of the time. Thatcher Demko stopped 23 of 27 (.852), 1.7 goals below expected; Filip Gustavsson stopped 26 of 28 (.929). Three stars: 1. Jonas Brodin (1 G, 1 A), 2. Joel Eriksson Ek (2 A), 3. Vladimir Tarasenko (1 G, 2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    MIN
    J. Brodin1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    MIN
    J. Eriksson Ek2 A
  3. ★★★
    MIN
    V. Tarasenko1 G, 2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
VANVAN04112112228
MINMIN1611438528

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. MIN
    backhandxG 0.19win prob +10 ptsVideo
    0-1
    15:53

2nd period

  1. VAN
    wristxG 0.21win prob +17 ptsVideo
    1-1
    5:34
  2. MIN
    wristxG 0.16win prob +20 ptsVideo
    1-2
    13:49

3rd period

  1. MIN
    wristxG 0.07win prob +15 ptsVideo
    1-3
    4:07
  2. MIN
    wristxG 0.01win prob +5 ptsVideo
    1-4
    5:46
  3. VAN
    wristxG 0.04win prob +4 ptsVideo
    2-4
    7:00
  4. MIN
    slapxG 0.43win prob +1 ptsVideo
    2-5
    16:43

Penalties

VAN 18 PIM·MIN 18 PIM

1st

  • 10:42VANArshdeep Bains · Hookingdrawn by Kirill Kaprizov2 min
  • 15:14VANArshdeep Bains · Hookingdrawn by Ryan Hartman2 min
  • 16:35MINMarcus Foligno · Unsportsmanlike conductdrawn by Elias Pettersson2 min

2nd

  • 15:03VANElias Pettersson · Interferencedrawn by Ben Jones2 min
  • 20:00MINMarco Rossi · Slashingdrawn by Filip Hronek2 min

3rd

  • 8:12VANEvander Kane · Slashingdrawn by Ryan Hartman2 min
  • 8:12MINMarcus Foligno · Slashingdrawn by Evander Kane2 min
  • 10:28VANEvander Kane · Misconduct10 min
  • 10:28MINMarcus Foligno · Misconduct10 min
  • 18:24MINYakov Trenin · Trippingdrawn by Elias Pettersson2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
MIN goalVAN goalFinal: MIN 100%

Biggest swing: Marco Rossi, 2nd 13:49 — MIN 53% → 73%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
R. Hartman · Goal · xG 0.43R. Hartman · Missed · xG 0.40V. Tarasenko · Goal · xG 0.19V. Tarasenko · On goal · xG 0.18M. Johansson · Missed · xG 0.17M. Rossi · Goal · xG 0.16M. Foligno · Missed · xG 0.15B. Jones · On goal · xG 0.11M. Johansson · On goal · xG 0.09K. Kaprizov · On goal · xG 0.09M. Boldy · On goal · xG 0.08M. Johansson · On goal · xG 0.08T. Pitlick · On goal · xG 0.08V. Hinostroza · Goal · xG 0.07M. Boldy · Missed · xG 0.07M. Boldy · On goal · xG 0.07M. Rossi · Missed · xG 0.06J. Spurgeon · On goal · xG 0.06J. Eriksson Ek · On goal · xG 0.05R. Hartman · Missed · xG 0.05K. Kaprizov · On goal · xG 0.05V. Hinostroza · On goal · xG 0.04M. Rossi · On goal · xG 0.04M. Boldy · On goal · xG 0.04B. Faber · On goal · xG 0.03M. Rossi · On goal · xG 0.03M. Johansson · On goal · xG 0.03Y. Trenin · Missed · xG 0.03J. Eriksson Ek · Missed · xG 0.02V. Hinostroza · On goal · xG 0.02B. Jones · Missed · xG 0.02B. Faber · On goal · xG 0.02B. Faber · Missed · xG 0.02M. Johansson · Missed · xG 0.01M. Boldy · On goal · xG 0.01J. Brodin · Goal · xG 0.01B. Faber · On goal · xG 0.01D. Jiricek · Missed · xG 0.01J. Eriksson Ek · On goal · xG 0.01J. Spurgeon · Missed · xG 0.01K. Kaprizov · Missed · xG 0.01J. Middleton · Missed · xG 0.01Y. Trenin · On goal · xG 0.01J. Eriksson Ek · Missed · xG 0.00B. Faber · Missed · xG 0.00Z. Buium · Missed · xG 0.00
MIN5 G · 3.2 xG · 46 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

VANvsMIN
1.92 G
All situations
4 G3.2
1.32 G
Even strength
3 G1.9
0.70 G
Power play
1 G0.4

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 93 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
VAN43%57%MIN

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.94 – 2.30

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

VANvsMIN
28
Shots on goal
28
49%
Faceoffs
51%
0/3
Power play
1/3
18
Penalty minutes
18
22
Hits
26
12
Blocked shots
15
14
Giveaways
11
2
Takeaways
1

Box score

every player line
Vancouver Canucks skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
17F. HronekD000+150.13200—25:47
40E. PetterssonC000-200.040103321:59
29M. PetterssonD000-110.02210—21:59
6B. BoeserR000-220.17010—21:13
44K. SherwoodL000-210.13400—19:13
57T. MyersD000-130.05310—18:46
74J. DeBruskL000-330.29100—16:58
25E. PetterssonD000000.00312—16:40
5T. WillanderD000-110.03000—16:08
18D. O'ConnorL202+120.24010—15:37
91E. KaneL000040.271012—15:10
7P. JosephD000-100.02020—14:28
54A. RätyC022000.005006713:51
73L. ReichelL000-200.090105013:14
13A. BainsL000000.00004—11:36
63M. SassonC000010.030105811:02
20M. MacEachernL011+230.17110—10:56
94L. KarlssonC000020.28010009:50
Vancouver Canucks goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
35T. Demko(L)27234.8522.32-1.6858:54

Season series

MIN leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).