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Wild at Canucks
NHL

Minnesota Wild at Vancouver Canucks

NHL scoreboard
Minnesota Wild
2
Vancouver Canucks
▸4
FinalTV FDSNNOX, FDSNWI·Rogers Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Vancouver Canucks beat the Minnesota Wild 4-2. The Wild scored first; the Canucks answered. The Canucks led 3-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Elias Pettersson's goal at 11:46 of the second period, which took the Canucks' chances from 53% to 72%. Expected goals favored the Wild, 2.8 to 2.0; shots on goal were MIN 30, VAN 21. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Wild win a replay of these chances 64% of the time. Jesper Wallstedt stopped 17 of 21 (.810), 2.0 goals below expected; Nikita Tolopilo stopped 28 of 30 (.933), 0.8 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Aatu Räty (2 G, 1 A), 2. Nikita Tolopilo (28 saves, .933), 3. Tom Willander (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    VAN
    A. Räty2 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    VAN
    N. Tolopilo28 saves, .933
  3. ★★★
    VAN
    T. Willander1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
MINMIN11006114230
VANVAN0536110421

Scoring

6 goals

1st period

  1. MIN
    M. Boldy(16)
    M. Zuccarello (10), Y. Trenin (6)
    snapxG 0.14win prob +12 ptsVideo
    1-0
    3:11

2nd period

  1. VAN
    T. Willander(1)
    L. Karlsson (5), J. DeBrusk (5)
    wristxG 0.05win prob +18 ptsVideo
    1-1
    9:29
  2. VAN
    E. Pettersson(1)
    T. Willander (7), A. Räty (8)
    wristxG 0.02win prob +19 ptsVideo
    1-2
    11:46
  3. VAN
    A. Räty(2)
    E. Kane (10)
    wristxG 0.07win prob +16 ptsVideo
    1-3
    15:12

3rd period

  1. VAN
    A. Räty(3)
    Unassisted
    backhandxG 0.29win prob +5 ptsVideo
    1-4
    5:09
  2. MIN
    M. Zuccarello(2)PPG
    K. Kaprizov (15), M. Boldy (15)
    wristxG 0.05Video
    2-4
    17:22

Penalties

MIN 10 PIM·VAN 10 PIM

1st

  • 1:00MINJesper Wallstedt · Trippingdrawn by Filip Hronek2 min
  • 8:50VANLinus Karlsson · Cross checkingdrawn by Jared Spurgeon2 min
  • 8:50MINJake Middleton · Roughingdrawn by Linus Karlsson2 min

2nd

  • 0:08VANMarcus Pettersson · Cross checkingdrawn by Matt Boldy2 min

3rd

  • 6:21VANDrew O'Connor · Cross checkingdrawn by Jake Middleton2 min
  • 6:55MINBrock Faber · Slashingdrawn by Kiefer Sherwood2 min
  • 9:26VANAatu Räty · Slashingdrawn by Zach Bogosian2 min
  • 9:26MINZach Bogosian · Slashingdrawn by Aatu Räty2 min
  • 16:27VANBrock Boeser · Trippingdrawn by Matt Boldy2 min
  • 19:19MINKirill Kaprizov · Cross checkingdrawn by Linus Karlsson2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
VAN goalMIN goalFinal: VAN 100%

Biggest swing: Elias Pettersson, 2nd 11:46 — VAN 53% → 72%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
A. Räty · Goal · xG 0.29K. Sherwood · On goal · xG 0.19B. Boeser · On goal · xG 0.13E. Kane · Missed · xG 0.12M. Sasson · On goal · xG 0.12C. Garland · On goal · xG 0.12M. Sasson · On goal · xG 0.09K. Sherwood · On goal · xG 0.08M. Sasson · On goal · xG 0.07A. Räty · Goal · xG 0.07C. Garland · On goal · xG 0.06A. Räty · Missed · xG 0.06C. Garland · On goal · xG 0.06B. Boeser · On goal · xG 0.06T. Willander · Goal · xG 0.05C. Garland · Missed · xG 0.05T. Myers · On goal · xG 0.05A. Räty · Missed · xG 0.04Q. Hughes · Missed · xG 0.03B. Boeser · Missed · xG 0.03E. Kane · Missed · xG 0.03Q. Hughes · On goal · xG 0.03Q. Hughes · On goal · xG 0.03C. Garland · Missed · xG 0.02E. Pettersson · Goal · xG 0.02J. DeBrusk · Missed · xG 0.02C. Garland · Missed · xG 0.02D. O'Connor · Missed · xG 0.01B. Boeser · Missed · xG 0.01T. Willander · On goal · xG 0.01T. Myers · On goal · xG 0.01Q. Hughes · On goal · xG 0.01E. Kane · On goal · xG 0.01C. Garland · Missed · xG 0.00
VAN4 G · 2.0 xG · 34 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

MINvsVAN
2.82 G
All situations
4 G2.0
2.11 G
Even strength
4 G1.8
0.71 G
Power play
0 G0.1
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.2

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 81 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
MIN64%36%VAN

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.79 – 2.00

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

MINvsVAN
30
Shots on goal
21
37%
Faceoffs
63%
1/3
Power play
0/3
10
Penalty minutes
10
22
Hits
27
13
Blocked shots
9
16
Giveaways
13
4
Takeaways
4

Box score

every player line
Minnesota Wild skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
7B. FaberD000020.13032—25:06
12M. BoldyL112+150.421005021:27
97K. KaprizovL011-110.41202—21:20
25J. BrodinD000010.03130—20:07
14J. Eriksson EkC000020.212004019:54
8Z. BuiumD000-210.11000—19:40
46J. SpurgeonD000-120.19020—18:36
5J. MiddletonD000-120.09232—18:19
90M. JohanssonL000040.41100—18:12
36M. ZuccarelloR112-210.22110—17:43
38R. HartmanR000020.022004315:20
24Z. BogosianD000-200.00102—15:15
13Y. TreninC011-230.21400013:23
91V. TarasenkoR000-120.24000—12:42
22D. YurovR000-200.011103112:25
78N. SturmC000-210.050003309:34
28L. OhgrenL000010.04100—08:14
19T. PitlickC000000.00300006:57
Minnesota Wild goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
30J. Wallstedt(L)21174.8102.00-2.0057:05

Season series

MIN leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).