Montréal Canadiens at New York Rangers
Recap
written from the game dataThe Montréal Canadiens beat the New York Rangers 3-2. The Canadiens scored first and never trailed. The Canadiens led 2-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Cole Caufield's goal at 14:55 of the third period, which took the Canadiens' chances from 48% to 88%. Expected goals favored the Canadiens, 3.5 to 2.9; shots on goal were MTL 25, NYR 24. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Rangers win a replay of these chances 58% of the time. Jacob Fowler stopped 22 of 24 (.917), 0.9 goals saved above expected; Igor Shesterkin stopped 22 of 25 (.880), 0.6 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Cole Caufield (2 G), 2. Jacob Fowler (22 saves, .917), 3. Will Cuylle (1 G).
Three stars
- ★C. Caufield2 G

- ★★J. Fowler22 saves, .917

- ★★★W. Cuylle1 G

Line score
goals · shots on goal beneathScoring
5 goals2nd period
1-04:36
2-06:20
3rd period
2-19:23
2-214:08
3-214:55
Penalties
1st
- 7:21
Juraj Slafkovský · High sticking double minordrawn by Vladislav Gavrikov4 min
- 11:49
Noah Laba · Hookingdrawn by Oliver Kapanen2 min
2nd
- 9:12
Will Borgen · High stickingdrawn by Zachary Bolduc2 min
- 13:41
served by Ivan Demidov · Too many men on the ice2 min
Win probability
ours · the whole gameBiggest swing: Cole Caufield, 3rd 14:55 — 48% → 88%
Shot map
unblocked attempts · size = our xGExpected goals
- 3.53 G
- All situations
- 2 G2.9
- 2.03 G
- Even strength
- 2 G1.6
- 0.20 G
- Power play
- 0 G1.3
- 0.20 G
- Shorthanded
- 0 G0.0
Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 81 unblocked attempts.
Deserve to win
on the chances createdFlurry-adjusted xG 2.40 – 2.86
How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.
Team stats
- 25
- Shots on goal
- 24
- 58%
- Faceoffs
- 42%
- 0/2
- Power play
- 0/3
- 6
- Penalty minutes
- 4
- 22
- Hits
- 27
- 13
- Blocked shots
- 5
- 15
- Giveaways
- 18
- 3
- Takeaways
- 5
Box score
every player line
Season series
NYR leads 2-1
4@
3Final
4@
5OTFinal
3@
2this game
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).




















