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New York Rangers at Montréal Canadiens

FinalTV MSG, SNE·Centre Bell

Recap

written from the game data

The New York Rangers beat the Montréal Canadiens 4-3. The Rangers came back from two goals down. The Canadiens led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Matthew Robertson's goal at 4:11 of the third period, which took the Rangers' chances from 48% to 75%. Expected goals favored the Rangers, 3.4 to 2.3; shots on goal were NYR 22, MTL 24. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Rangers win a replay of these chances 54% of the time. Jonathan Quick stopped 21 of 24 (.875), 0.7 goals below expected; Samuel Montembeault stopped 18 of 22 (.818), 1.5 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Artemi Panarin (1 G, 3 A), 2. Mika Zibanejad (1 G, 1 A), 3. Noah Dobson (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    NYR
    A. Panarin1 G, 3 A
  2. ★★
    NYR
    M. Zibanejad1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    MTL
    N. Dobson1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
NYRNYR1606310422
MTLMTL280818324

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. MTL
    snapxG 0.21win prob +12 ptsVideo
    0-1
    1:33
  2. MTL
    N. Suzuki(1)PPG
    snapxG 0.14win prob +12 ptsVideo
    0-2
    3:42
  3. NYR
    slapxG 0.09win prob +12 ptsVideo
    1-2
    11:56

3rd period

  1. NYR
    deflectedxG 0.13win prob +22 ptsVideo
    2-2
    0:34
  2. NYR
    slapxG 0.03win prob +27 ptsVideo
    3-2
    4:11
  3. NYR
    snapxG 0.08win prob +17 ptsVideo
    4-2
    5:51
  4. MTL
    snapxG 0.01win prob +15 ptsVideo
    4-3
    8:26

Penalties

NYR 13 PIM·MTL 13 PIM

1st

  • 2:11NYRUrho Vaakanainen · Hookingdrawn by Oliver Kapanen2 min
  • 6:50NYRConor Sheary · Slashingdrawn by Ivan Demidov2 min
  • 10:24MTLJosh Anderson · Holdingdrawn by Will Borgen2 min

2nd

  • 15:10NYRSam Carrick · Fightingdrawn by Arber Xhekaj5 min
  • 15:10MTLArber Xhekaj · Fightingdrawn by Sam Carrick5 min
  • 18:32MTLAlexandre Carrier · Holdingdrawn by Mika Zibanejad2 min

3rd

  • 0:58MTLArber Xhekaj · Cross checkingdrawn by Matt Rempe2 min
  • 0:58NYRMatt Rempe · Roughingdrawn by Arber Xhekaj2 min
  • 16:55MTLAlex Newhook · Roughingdrawn by Vladislav Gavrikov2 min
  • 16:55NYRVladislav Gavrikov · Roughingdrawn by Alex Newhook2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
MTL goalNYR goalFinal: MTL 0%

Biggest swing: Matthew Robertson, 3rd 4:11 — NYR 48% → 75%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
J. Slafkovský · Goal · xG 0.21C. Caufield · On goal · xG 0.20I. Demidov · On goal · xG 0.17J. Veleno · Missed · xG 0.16N. Suzuki · Missed · xG 0.16O. Kapanen · On goal · xG 0.14N. Suzuki · Goal · xG 0.14B. Gallagher · On goal · xG 0.11B. Gallagher · Missed · xG 0.10N. Suzuki · Missed · xG 0.08N. Dobson · On goal · xG 0.07O. Kapanen · Missed · xG 0.07O. Kapanen · Missed · xG 0.06M. Matheson · On goal · xG 0.05J. Veleno · On goal · xG 0.05A. Newhook · On goal · xG 0.05I. Demidov · Missed · xG 0.05Z. Bolduc · On goal · xG 0.04A. Newhook · On goal · xG 0.04C. Caufield · Missed · xG 0.04N. Dobson · On goal · xG 0.04J. Evans · Missed · xG 0.03J. Veleno · On goal · xG 0.03A. Xhekaj · On goal · xG 0.02N. Suzuki · On goal · xG 0.02O. Beck · On goal · xG 0.02L. Hutson · On goal · xG 0.02Z. Bolduc · Missed · xG 0.01N. Dobson · Missed · xG 0.01J. Struble · Missed · xG 0.01L. Hutson · On goal · xG 0.01N. Dobson · Goal · xG 0.01A. Carrier · On goal · xG 0.01I. Demidov · Missed · xG 0.01A. Xhekaj · On goal · xG 0.01A. Newhook · On goal · xG 0.01Z. Bolduc · On goal · xG 0.00
MTL3 G · 2.3 xG · 37 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

NYRvsMTL
3.44 G
All situations
3 G2.3
1.83 G
Even strength
2 G1.7
0.71 G
Power play
1 G0.5

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 77 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
NYR54%46%MTL

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.49 – 2.26

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

NYRvsMTL
22
Shots on goal
24
48%
Faceoffs
52%
1/2
Power play
1/2
13
Penalty minutes
13
24
Hits
16
13
Blocked shots
11
11
Giveaways
13
4
Takeaways
4

Box score

every player line
New York Rangers skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
23A. FoxD022+120.55220—25:02
93M. ZibanejadC112+130.361005022:16
44V. GavrikovD011+100.00002—21:57
8J. MillerC101+240.422005220:49
17W. BorgenD000000.00310—20:45
10A. PanarinL134+230.63000—20:05
4B. SchneiderD000010.01120—19:05
29M. RobertsonD101-120.20010—17:33
13A. LafrenièreL000+100.13000—17:27
50W. CuylleL000010.73510—17:20
43C. ShearyL011+120.1111210014:46
39S. CarrickC000020.063053012:48
18U. VaakanainenD000010.01112—12:22
14T. RaddyshR000-100.00000—11:25
42N. LabaC000-100.051203810:50
73M. RempeC000010.06402009:38
84A. EdstromC000000.01010009:24
71J. ParssinenC000-100.0701010009:05
New York Rangers goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
32J. Quick(W)24213.8752.27-0.7359:52

Season series

NYR leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).