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Montréal Canadiens at New York Rangers

Final/OTTV MSG, SNE·Madison Square Garden

Recap

written from the game data

The New York Rangers beat the Montréal Canadiens 5-4 in overtime, J.T. Miller scoring at 2:56. The Rangers came back from three goals down. It was tied 4-4 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was J.T. Miller's goal at 2:56 of overtime, which took the Rangers' chances from 51% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Rangers, 5.1 to 2.6; shots on goal were MTL 18, NYR 29. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Rangers win a replay of these chances 82% of the time. Jacob Fowler stopped 24 of 29 (.828); Igor Shesterkin stopped 14 of 18 (.778), 1.4 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. J.T. Miller (2 G), 2. Noah Laba (1 G, 1 A), 3. Lane Hutson (2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    NYR
    J. Miller2 G
  2. ★★
    NYR
    N. Laba1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    MTL
    L. Hutson2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
MTLMTL37140601418
NYRNYR211280515529

Scoring

9 goals

1st period

  1. MTL
    wristxG 0.20win prob +14 ptsVideo
    1-0
    12:41
  2. MTL
    wristxG 0.02win prob +16 ptsVideo
    2-0
    14:10
  3. MTL
    snapxG 0.09win prob +11 ptsVideo
    3-0
    16:18
  4. NYR
    N. Laba(5)PPG
    wristxG 0.24win prob +10 ptsVideo
    3-1
    18:49
  5. NYR
    A. Panarin(11)Penalty shot
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.39win prob +16 ptsVideo
    3-2
    19:08

2nd period

  1. MTL
    L. Hutson (21), N. Suzuki (28)
    slapxG 0.11win prob +17 ptsVideo
    4-2
    3:17
  2. NYR
    wristxG 0.10win prob +17 ptsVideo
    4-3
    7:22
  3. NYR
    backhandxG 0.33win prob +18 ptsVideo
    4-4
    7:58

Overtime

  1. NYR
    J. Miller(9)PPG
    slapxG 0.14win prob +49 ptsVideo
    4-5
    2:56

Penalties

MTL 6 PIM·NYR 4 PIM

1st

  • 16:59MTLLane Hutson · Interferencedrawn by Will Cuylle2 min
  • 19:08MTLNoah Dobson · Ps holding on breakawaydrawn by Artemi Panarin0 min
  • 19:52NYRVladislav Gavrikov · Trippingdrawn by Brendan Gallagher2 min

2nd

  • 12:24NYRWill Borgen · Roughingdrawn by Owen Beck2 min
  • 12:24MTLOwen Beck · Roughingdrawn by Will Borgen2 min

OT

  • 2:29MTLJake Evans · Slashingdrawn by Artemi Panarin2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
NYR goalMTL goalFinal: NYR 100%

Biggest swing: J.T. Miller, OT 2:56 — NYR 51% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
A. Panarin · Goal · xG 0.39A. Lafrenière · On goal · xG 0.36J. Miller · Goal · xG 0.33A. Lafrenière · On goal · xG 0.29T. Raddysh · Missed · xG 0.28S. Carrick · On goal · xG 0.25N. Laba · Goal · xG 0.24N. Laba · On goal · xG 0.17A. Panarin · On goal · xG 0.17V. Gavrikov · Missed · xG 0.14J. Miller · Goal · xG 0.14M. Zibanejad · Missed · xG 0.13M. Zibanejad · Missed · xG 0.13M. Zibanejad · Missed · xG 0.13A. Panarin · On goal · xG 0.12A. Lafrenière · Missed · xG 0.12M. Zibanejad · Missed · xG 0.12M. Robertson · Missed · xG 0.11V. Trocheck · Missed · xG 0.10W. Cuylle · Goal · xG 0.10V. Trocheck · Missed · xG 0.09A. Panarin · On goal · xG 0.09M. Zibanejad · On goal · xG 0.09A. Panarin · On goal · xG 0.08C. Soucy · Missed · xG 0.08A. Panarin · Missed · xG 0.07B. Schneider · On goal · xG 0.07V. Gavrikov · Missed · xG 0.07M. Zibanejad · Missed · xG 0.06M. Zibanejad · On goal · xG 0.06M. Robertson · On goal · xG 0.06A. Panarin · Missed · xG 0.05N. Laba · Missed · xG 0.05V. Trocheck · Missed · xG 0.04A. Panarin · Missed · xG 0.04B. Schneider · On goal · xG 0.04M. Zibanejad · Missed · xG 0.03V. Gavrikov · On goal · xG 0.03A. Panarin · On goal · xG 0.03J. Miller · On goal · xG 0.03M. Robertson · On goal · xG 0.03B. Berard · Missed · xG 0.02A. Panarin · On goal · xG 0.02M. Robertson · Missed · xG 0.02A. Panarin · On goal · xG 0.02B. Schneider · On goal · xG 0.01W. Borgen · On goal · xG 0.01B. Schneider · On goal · xG 0.01M. Robertson · Missed · xG 0.01C. Sheary · Missed · xG 0.01M. Robertson · On goal · xG 0.01V. Gavrikov · On goal · xG 0.00S. Carrick · Missed · xG 0.00M. Robertson · Missed · xG 0.00
NYR5 G · 5.1 xG · 54 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

MTLvsNYR
2.64 G
All situations
5 G5.1
2.14 G
Even strength
3 G2.8
0.30 G
Power play
2 G2.3
0.20 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 90 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
MTL18%82%NYR

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.60 – 4.97

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

MTLvsNYR
18
Shots on goal
29
47%
Faceoffs
53%
0/1
Power play
2/2
6
Penalty minutes
4
21
Hits
32
23
Blocked shots
18
13
Giveaways
14
7
Takeaways
4

Box score

every player line
Montréal Canadiens skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
8M. MathesonD000000.01000—27:23
48L. HutsonD022+100.00002—26:58
14N. SuzukiC022+110.311004724:33
53N. DobsonD000+110.02050—23:45
45A. CarrierD011+110.01020—22:20
13C. CaufieldR011+110.44200—19:26
76Z. BolducR101040.45320—17:14
90J. VelenoC011010.011404415:51
20J. SlafkovskýL000000.11210—15:43
93I. DemidovR000-100.00000—15:18
91O. KapanenC000-130.670304415:12
71J. EvansC101+120.313122513:54
85A. TexierL011+100.02100—12:53
11B. GallagherR000+110.05110—12:01
17J. AndersonR101+210.11010—11:49
42A. EngstromD000000.02200—11:16
72A. XhekajD101+110.02310—10:13
62O. BeckC000+110.042228309:09
Montréal Canadiens goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
32J. Fowler(O)29245.8285.12+0.1262:56

Season series

NYR leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).