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Philadelphia Flyers at Washington Capitals

FinalTV NBCSP, MNMT·Capital One Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Washington Capitals beat the Philadelphia Flyers 6-4. The Capitals scored first and never trailed. The Capitals led 4-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Carl Grundstrom's goal at 4:36 of the second period, which took the Flyers' chances from 30% to 47%. Expected goals favored the Flyers, 3.4 to 2.6; shots on goal were PHI 24, WSH 18. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Flyers win a replay of these chances 73% of the time. Dan Vladar stopped 12 of 17 (.706), 2.9 goals below expected; Logan Thompson stopped 20 of 24 (.833), 0.6 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Tom Wilson (2 G), 2. Alex Ovechkin (2 G), 3. Pierre-Luc Dubois (4 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    WSH
    T. Wilson2 G
  2. ★★
    WSH
    A. Ovechkin2 G
  3. ★★★
    WSH
    P. Dubois4 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
PHIPHI0112528424
WSHWSH252825618

Scoring

10 goals

1st period

  1. WSH
    snapxG 0.04win prob +14 ptsVideo
    0-1
    14:59
  2. WSH
    M. Roy (16), C. McMichael (28)
    snapxG 0.22win prob +15 ptsVideo
    0-2
    18:35

2nd period

  1. PHI
    snapxG 0.03win prob +12 ptsVideo
    1-2
    0:39
  2. PHI
    wristxG 0.71win prob +16 ptsVideo
    2-2
    4:36
  3. WSH
    slapxG 0.09win prob +14 ptsVideo
    2-3
    6:58
  4. WSH
    R. Leonard(16)PPG
    snapxG 0.12win prob +14 ptsVideo
    2-4
    17:37

3rd period

  1. PHI
    snapxG 0.38win prob +15 ptsVideo
    3-4
    0:33
  2. WSH
    snapxG 0.21win prob +16 ptsVideo
    3-5
    3:47
  3. PHI
    tip-inxG 0.06win prob +14 ptsVideo
    4-5
    7:52
  4. WSH
    T. Wilson(27)EN
    P. Dubois (9), M. Roy (17)
    snapxG 0.53win prob +5 ptsVideo
    4-6
    18:56

Penalties

PHI 10 PIM·WSH 12 PIM

1st

  • 3:29PHIPorter Martone · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
  • 11:07WSHCole Hutson · Trippingdrawn by Travis Sanheim2 min
  • 19:47PHITrevor Zegras · Slashingdrawn by Connor McMichael2 min
  • 19:47WSHConnor McMichael · Slashingdrawn by Trevor Zegras2 min

2nd

  • 5:29PHITravis Konecny · Trippingdrawn by Anthony Beauvillier2 min
  • 9:51WSHCole Hutson · Hookingdrawn by Carl Grundstrom2 min
  • 15:59PHITrevor Zegras · Trippingdrawn by Pierre-Luc Dubois2 min

3rd

  • 9:38WSHJustin Sourdif · Roughingdrawn by Emil Andrae2 min
  • 9:38PHIEmil Andrae · Roughingdrawn by Justin Sourdif2 min
  • 16:13WSHDylan Strome · Trippingdrawn by Rasmus Ristolainen2 min
  • 20:00WSHJustin Sourdif · Trippingdrawn by Travis Konecny2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
WSH goalPHI goalFinal: WSH 100%

Biggest swing: Carl Grundstrom, 2nd 4:36 — PHI 30% → 47%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
T. Wilson · Goal · xG 0.53C. McMichael · On goal · xG 0.25A. Ovechkin · Goal · xG 0.22A. Ovechkin · Goal · xG 0.21J. Sourdif · Missed · xG 0.18M. Roy · On goal · xG 0.14R. Leonard · Goal · xG 0.12A. Ovechkin · Missed · xG 0.11R. Leonard · On goal · xG 0.11A. Ovechkin · Missed · xG 0.09J. Chychrun · Goal · xG 0.09A. Ovechkin · Missed · xG 0.07J. Sourdif · On goal · xG 0.07J. Chychrun · On goal · xG 0.06A. Beauvillier · On goal · xG 0.05H. Lapierre · On goal · xG 0.05T. Wilson · Goal · xG 0.05M. Roy · On goal · xG 0.04C. McMichael · On goal · xG 0.03J. Chychrun · Missed · xG 0.03C. Hutson · Missed · xG 0.03A. Ovechkin · Missed · xG 0.03R. Leonard · Missed · xG 0.01T. van Riemsdyk · On goal · xG 0.01T. Wilson · On goal · xG 0.01A. Ovechkin · On goal · xG 0.00
WSH6 G · 2.6 xG · 26 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

PHIvsWSH
3.44 G
All situations
5 G2.6
2.84 G
Even strength
3 G1.1
0.60 G
Power play
2 G0.9
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 69 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
PHI73%27%WSH

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.34 – 2.07

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

PHIvsWSH
24
Shots on goal
18
56%
Faceoffs
44%
0/3
Power play
2/3
10
Penalty minutes
12
34
Hits
25
11
Blocked shots
21
18
Giveaways
9
3
Takeaways
7

Box score

every player line
Philadelphia Flyers skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
55R. RistolainenD011+200.03410—24:59
6T. SanheimD112+240.11010—22:59
11T. KonecnyR022-130.21302—22:30
22C. DvorakC112030.581106920:37
9J. DrysdaleD000-200.10000—19:49
27N. CatesL011+110.140005018:19
8C. YorkD000-110.13120—18:18
46T. ZegrasC011-100.041141317:46
74O. TippettR000-210.13310—17:17
94P. MartoneR000050.63102—16:54
24N. SeelerD000000.03110—14:12
39M. MichkovR000010.05110—14:09
52D. BarkeyC101+130.23000013:38
36E. AndraeD000000.00112—12:59
14S. CouturierC000-110.006007511:02
91C. GrundstromR101010.95410—10:46
41L. GlendeningC000000.002008009:22
19G. HathawayR000000.02500—07:23
Philadelphia Flyers goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
80D. Vladar(L)17125.7062.07-2.9357:54

Season series

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).