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Washington Capitals at Philadelphia Flyers

FinalTV TNT, truTV·Xfinity Mobile Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Philadelphia Flyers beat the Washington Capitals 4-1. The Capitals scored first; the Flyers answered. The Flyers led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Trevor Zegras's goal at 12:13 of the second period, which took the Flyers' chances from 53% to 72%. Expected goals favored the Flyers, 3.5 to 3.1; shots on goal were WSH 23, PHI 22. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Capitals win a replay of these chances 61% of the time. Logan Thompson stopped 18 of 21 (.857), 0.6 goals below expected; Samuel Ersson stopped 22 of 23 (.957), 2.1 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Trevor Zegras (1 G), 2. Travis Konecny (1 G), 3. Samuel Ersson (22 saves, .957).

Three stars

  1. ★
    PHI
    T. Zegras1 G
  2. ★★
    PHI
    T. Konecny1 G
  3. ★★★
    PHI
    S. Ersson22 saves, .957

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
WSHWSH170709123
PHIPHI072827422

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. WSH
    R. Leonard(13)PPG
    snapxG 0.07win prob +9 ptsVideo
    1-0
    9:51

2nd period

  1. PHI
    snapxG 0.10win prob +17 ptsVideo
    1-1
    4:23
  2. PHI
    wristxG 0.18win prob +19 ptsVideo
    1-2
    12:13

3rd period

  1. PHI
    N. Cates (21), C. York (20)
    wristxG 0.07win prob +13 ptsVideo
    1-3
    7:17
  2. PHI
    C. Dvorak (25), N. Cates (22)
    wristxG 0.56Video
    1-4
    18:57

Penalties

WSH 10 PIM·PHI 14 PIM

1st

  • 4:16WSHTimothy Liljegren · Holdingdrawn by Owen Tippett2 min
  • 9:03PHITrevor Zegras · Hookingdrawn by Hendrix Lapierre2 min
  • 11:57WSHJakob Chychrun · Hookingdrawn by Trevor Zegras2 min
  • 14:03PHINikita Grebenkin · Roughingdrawn by Brandon Duhaime2 min
  • 14:03WSHBrandon Duhaime · Roughingdrawn by Nikita Grebenkin2 min
  • 15:14PHIRasmus Ristolainen · Trippingdrawn by Rasmus Sandin2 min

3rd

  • 6:09WSHTom Wilson · Roughingdrawn by Travis Konecny2 min
  • 6:09PHITravis Konecny · Roughingdrawn by Tom Wilson2 min
  • 8:46PHISean Couturier · Slashingdrawn by Dylan Strome2 min
  • 20:00WSHBrandon Duhaime · Roughingdrawn by Nikita Grebenkin2 min
  • 20:00PHINikita Grebenkin · Roughingdrawn by Brandon Duhaime2 min
  • 20:00PHINikita Grebenkin · Roughingdrawn by Brandon Duhaime2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
PHI goalWSH goalFinal: PHI 100%

Biggest swing: Trevor Zegras, 2nd 12:13 — PHI 53% → 72%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
O. Tippett · Goal · xG 0.56A. Bump · Missed · xG 0.49C. York · On goal · xG 0.24O. Tippett · On goal · xG 0.24C. Dvorak · On goal · xG 0.23T. Zegras · Goal · xG 0.18O. Tippett · On goal · xG 0.18C. Grundstrom · Missed · xG 0.14L. Glendening · On goal · xG 0.13T. Konecny · Goal · xG 0.10N. Grebenkin · On goal · xG 0.09M. Michkov · Missed · xG 0.09C. Dvorak · On goal · xG 0.09O. Tippett · On goal · xG 0.08A. Bump · On goal · xG 0.08J. Drysdale · Goal · xG 0.07J. Drysdale · Missed · xG 0.07T. Konecny · Missed · xG 0.07C. Grundstrom · Missed · xG 0.05J. Drysdale · On goal · xG 0.05T. Sanheim · On goal · xG 0.04T. Konecny · Missed · xG 0.04C. Dvorak · On goal · xG 0.04N. Juulsen · Missed · xG 0.03R. Ristolainen · On goal · xG 0.03O. Tippett · On goal · xG 0.03T. Zegras · On goal · xG 0.02T. Zegras · On goal · xG 0.02J. Drysdale · On goal · xG 0.02O. Tippett · On goal · xG 0.02
PHI4 G · 3.5 xG · 30 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

WSHvsPHI
3.11 G
All situations
3 G3.5
2.30 G
Even strength
3 G2.2
0.81 G
Power play
0 G0.2

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 82 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
WSH61%39%PHI

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.06 – 2.42

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

WSHvsPHI
23
Shots on goal
22
55%
Faceoffs
45%
1/3
Power play
0/2
10
Penalty minutes
14
20
Hits
16
11
Blocked shots
16
10
Giveaways
11
3
Takeaways
3

Box score

every player line
Washington Capitals skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
6J. ChychrunD000-410.11002—24:44
43T. WilsonR000-220.446125021:39
3M. RoyD000-120.06110—19:54
38R. SandinD000-100.03100—19:19
42M. FehérváryD000010.02010—19:09
17D. StromeC000-300.310005018:38
80P. DuboisC011-200.130106718:10
21A. ProtasL000-200.22000—18:03
34J. SourdifC000040.511004017:32
24C. McMichaelL000-120.080106016:31
57T. van RiemsdykD000-110.02010—16:25
8A. OvechkinL011-150.54200—15:45
27T. LiljegrenD000010.02042—14:48
9R. LeonardR101-220.45400—14:35
72A. BeauvillierR000000.001007514:27
53E. FrankR000010.12010—08:46
22B. DuhaimeL000010.01304—08:10
29H. LapierreC000000.051005006:55
Washington Capitals goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
48L. Thompson(L)21183.8572.45-0.5558:30

Season series

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).