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Washington Capitals at Philadelphia Flyers

FinalTV NBCSP, MNMT2·Xfinity Mobile Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Philadelphia Flyers beat the Washington Capitals 4-2. The Flyers scored first and never trailed. The Flyers led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Jamie Drysdale's goal at 14:37 of the third period, which took the Flyers' chances from 60% to 89%. Expected goals were close — WSH 2.9, PHI 3.1; shots on goal were WSH 28, PHI 22. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Capitals win a replay of these chances 56% of the time. Clay Stevenson stopped 18 of 21 (.857); Dan Vladar stopped 26 of 28 (.929), 0.9 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Jamie Drysdale (1 G), 2. Owen Tippett (1 G), 3. Anthony Beauvillier (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    PHI
    J. Drysdale1 G
  2. ★★
    PHI
    O. Tippett1 G
  3. ★★★
    WSH
    A. Beauvillier1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
WSHWSH01117110228
PHIPHI171629422

Scoring

6 goals

1st period

  1. PHI
    backhandxG 0.22win prob +12 ptsVideo
    0-1
    5:56

2nd period

  1. PHI
    wristxG 0.01win prob +15 ptsVideo
    0-2
    4:45
  2. WSH
    A. Protas(19)SHG
    snapxG 0.17win prob +15 ptsVideo
    1-2
    8:12

3rd period

  1. WSH
    wristxG 0.32win prob +24 ptsVideo
    2-2
    2:40
  2. PHI
    slapxG 0.04win prob +29 ptsVideo
    2-3
    14:37
  3. PHI
    wristxG 0.55win prob +5 ptsVideo
    2-4
    19:43

Penalties

WSH 16 PIM·PHI 2 PIM

1st

  • 2:55PHINicolas Deslauriers · Trippingdrawn by Ryan Leonard2 min

2nd

  • 2:02WSHAlex Ovechkin · Slashingdrawn by Nikita Grebenkin2 min
  • 6:59WSHJakob Chychrun · Holdingdrawn by Owen Tippett2 min

3rd

  • 14:13WSHJustin Sourdif · Hookingdrawn by Travis Konecny2 min
  • 19:43WSHDylan Strome · Misconduct10 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
PHI goalWSH goalFinal: PHI 100%

Biggest swing: Jamie Drysdale, 3rd 14:37 — PHI 60% → 89%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
R. Ristolainen · Goal · xG 0.55N. Cates · On goal · xG 0.32O. Tippett · Goal · xG 0.22B. Brink · Missed · xG 0.19T. Zegras · On goal · xG 0.19N. Cates · Missed · xG 0.15T. Zegras · Missed · xG 0.15S. Couturier · On goal · xG 0.12T. Zegras · Missed · xG 0.12C. Grundstrom · Missed · xG 0.11N. Cates · Missed · xG 0.11T. Konecny · Missed · xG 0.10T. Zegras · On goal · xG 0.10C. Dvorak · Missed · xG 0.09C. Grundstrom · On goal · xG 0.07O. Tippett · On goal · xG 0.05B. Brink · On goal · xG 0.05J. Drysdale · On goal · xG 0.04J. Drysdale · Goal · xG 0.04B. Brink · On goal · xG 0.04J. Drysdale · Missed · xG 0.03O. Tippett · On goal · xG 0.03B. Brink · Missed · xG 0.03N. Cates · On goal · xG 0.03J. Drysdale · Missed · xG 0.03N. Grebenkin · On goal · xG 0.02M. Michkov · On goal · xG 0.02R. Ristolainen · On goal · xG 0.02T. Zegras · On goal · xG 0.02S. Couturier · On goal · xG 0.02R. Ristolainen · Missed · xG 0.01T. Konecny · Missed · xG 0.01N. Seeler · On goal · xG 0.01C. Grundstrom · Goal · xG 0.01O. Tippett · Missed · xG 0.01S. Couturier · On goal · xG 0.01
PHI4 G · 3.1 xG · 36 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

WSHvsPHI
2.92 G
All situations
3 G3.1
2.11 G
Even strength
2 G2.0
0.60 G
Power play
1 G0.6
0.21 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 75 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
WSH56%44%PHI

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.85 – 2.50

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

WSHvsPHI
28
Shots on goal
22
51%
Faceoffs
49%
0/1
Power play
1/3
16
Penalty minutes
2
27
Hits
21
12
Blocked shots
25
9
Giveaways
21
4
Takeaways
3

Box score

every player line
Washington Capitals skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
74J. CarlsonD000-250.09040—25:09
6J. ChychrunD000-200.07012—23:59
21A. ProtasL101-120.40000—20:27
43T. WilsonR000-120.23110—20:19
17D. StromeC000-130.4600107019:23
42M. FehérváryD000+100.00210—18:54
38R. SandinD000-210.03210—18:29
72A. BeauvillierR112+120.4610010017:51
3M. RoyD000+110.01220—17:26
9R. LeonardR000+120.33200—16:27
26N. DowdC000-100.005203915:57
34J. SourdifC011020.123024515:48
8A. OvechkinL000-240.22202—15:35
57T. van RiemsdykD011+200.01000—15:08
53E. FrankR000-110.05100—14:25
22B. DuhaimeL000010.19500—09:01
29H. LapierreC000020.181002006:44
15S. MilanoL000000.04000—06:09
Washington Capitals goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
33C. Stevenson(L)21183.8572.56-0.4458:25

Season series

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).