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Red Wings at Penguins
NHL

Detroit Red Wings at Pittsburgh Penguins

FinalTV FDSNDET, SN-PIT+·PPG Paints Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Pittsburgh Penguins beat the Detroit Red Wings 5-1. The Penguins scored first and never trailed. The Penguins led 4-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Anthony Mantha's goal at 8:34 of the first period, which took the Penguins' chances from 66% to 80%. Expected goals favored the Penguins, 3.8 to 2.9; shots on goal were DET 23, PIT 32. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Penguins win a replay of these chances 64% of the time. Cam Talbot stopped 16 of 18 (.889); Stuart Skinner stopped 22 of 23 (.957), 1.9 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Egor Chinakhov (1 G, 1 A), 2. Stuart Skinner (22 saves, .957), 3. Anthony Mantha (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    PIT
    E. Chinakhov1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    PIT
    S. Skinner22 saves, .957
  3. ★★★
    PIT
    A. Mantha1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
DETDET061908123
PITPIT3141919532

Scoring

6 goals

1st period

  1. PIT
    wristxG 0.04win prob +12 ptsVideo
    0-1
    4:10
  2. PIT
    E. Malkin (38), C. Dewar (15)
    wristxG 0.20win prob +14 ptsVideo
    0-2
    8:34
  3. PIT
    wristxG 0.04win prob +9 ptsVideo
    0-3
    18:02

2nd period

  1. DET
    D. Larkin(30)PPG
    P. Kane (34)
    wristxG 0.34win prob +7 ptsVideo
    1-3
    3:17
  2. PIT
    tip-inxG 0.10win prob +8 ptsVideo
    1-4
    12:23

3rd period

  1. PIT
    wristxG 0.16Video
    1-5
    12:09

Penalties

DET 13 PIM·PIT 9 PIM

1st

  • 12:04PITConnor Dewar · Fightingdrawn by Jacob Bernard-Docker5 min
  • 12:04DETJacob Bernard-Docker · Fightingdrawn by Connor Dewar5 min
  • 15:37DETBen Chiarot · High stickingdrawn by Elmer Soderblom2 min

2nd

  • 3:12PITAnthony Mantha · Hookingdrawn by Simon Edvinsson2 min
  • 19:58PITSamuel Girard · Roughingdrawn by Lucas Raymond2 min
  • 19:58DETLucas Raymond · Roughingdrawn by Samuel Girard2 min

3rd

  • 1:23DETDylan Larkin · Trippingdrawn by Connor Dewar2 min
  • 13:31DETserved by D. Perron · Too many men on the ice2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
PIT goalDET goalFinal: PIT 100%

Biggest swing: Anthony Mantha, 1st 8:34 — PIT 66% → 80%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
T. Novak · On goal · xG 0.26E. Malkin · On goal · xG 0.22A. Mantha · Goal · xG 0.19N. Acciari · Goal · xG 0.16E. Chinakhov · Missed · xG 0.15A. Mantha · Missed · xG 0.15A. Mantha · On goal · xG 0.15P. Wotherspoon · On goal · xG 0.13J. Brazeau · Missed · xG 0.12R. Rakell · Missed · xG 0.12J. Brazeau · On goal · xG 0.12E. Malkin · Missed · xG 0.11B. Kindel · Missed · xG 0.11N. Acciari · On goal · xG 0.10A. Mantha · On goal · xG 0.10J. Brazeau · Goal · xG 0.09E. Chinakhov · Missed · xG 0.09E. Malkin · Missed · xG 0.08R. Rakell · On goal · xG 0.07E. Soderblom · On goal · xG 0.07T. Novak · Missed · xG 0.07N. Acciari · On goal · xG 0.07A. Mantha · Missed · xG 0.06E. Karlsson · On goal · xG 0.06E. Chinakhov · Missed · xG 0.06C. Dewar · On goal · xG 0.06N. Acciari · On goal · xG 0.06E. Chinakhov · Missed · xG 0.05E. Soderblom · Missed · xG 0.05A. Mantha · On goal · xG 0.05C. Dewar · On goal · xG 0.05C. Dewar · Missed · xG 0.05E. Karlsson · On goal · xG 0.04E. Chinakhov · Goal · xG 0.04E. Chinakhov · Missed · xG 0.04R. Rakell · Goal · xG 0.03E. Soderblom · On goal · xG 0.03E. Malkin · On goal · xG 0.03S. Crosby · On goal · xG 0.03E. Malkin · On goal · xG 0.03E. Malkin · On goal · xG 0.03R. Shea · Missed · xG 0.02E. Karlsson · Missed · xG 0.02E. Malkin · On goal · xG 0.02A. Hayes · Missed · xG 0.02E. Karlsson · On goal · xG 0.02E. Karlsson · Missed · xG 0.02P. Wotherspoon · On goal · xG 0.01S. Girard · On goal · xG 0.01E. Karlsson · Missed · xG 0.01P. Wotherspoon · On goal · xG 0.01P. Wotherspoon · Missed · xG 0.01E. Karlsson · On goal · xG 0.00
PIT5 G · 3.8 xG · 53 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

DETvsPIT
2.91 G
All situations
5 G3.8
2.40 G
Even strength
5 G2.6
0.41 G
Power play
0 G1.2
0.20 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 95 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
DET36%64%PIT

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.88 – 3.73

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

DETvsPIT
23
Shots on goal
32
52%
Faceoffs
48%
1/1
Power play
0/3
13
Penalty minutes
9
32
Hits
18
13
Blocked shots
13
17
Giveaways
14
5
Takeaways
6

Box score

every player line
Detroit Red Wings skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
72J. FaulkD000-220.13220—22:40
77S. EdvinssonD000-200.05150—22:09
53M. SeiderD000-320.12310—21:51
8B. ChiarotD000-220.06322—19:29
20A. JohanssonD000-120.10000—19:14
93A. DeBrincatR000-140.88000—18:26
88P. KaneR011-120.17100—17:41
18A. CoppC000-120.264006017:34
22M. AppletonC000-110.13410016:33
25J. Bernard-DockerD000000.00005—14:47
71D. LarkinC101-120.425024514:10
92M. KasperC000-110.175005813:57
23L. RaymondL000-310.17212—13:54
37J. CompherL000-210.060004613:48
21J. van RiemsdykL000-100.00000—13:26
58E. FinnieC000-100.001004013:12
57D. PerronL000-210.23110—12:17
34C. MazurL000000.00000—06:54
Detroit Red Wings goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
39C. Talbot18162.8892.48+0.4839:58
36J. Gibson(L)14113.7861.29-1.7120:00

Season series

PIT leads 3-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).