Detroit Red Wings at Pittsburgh Penguins
Recap
written from the game dataThe Pittsburgh Penguins beat the Detroit Red Wings 5-1. The Penguins scored first and never trailed. The Penguins led 4-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Anthony Mantha's goal at 8:34 of the first period, which took the Penguins' chances from 66% to 80%. Expected goals favored the Penguins, 3.8 to 2.9; shots on goal were DET 23, PIT 32. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Penguins win a replay of these chances 64% of the time. Cam Talbot stopped 16 of 18 (.889); Stuart Skinner stopped 22 of 23 (.957), 1.9 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Egor Chinakhov (1 G, 1 A), 2. Stuart Skinner (22 saves, .957), 3. Anthony Mantha (1 G).
Three stars
- ★E. Chinakhov1 G, 1 A

- ★★S. Skinner22 saves, .957

- ★★★A. Mantha1 G

Line score
goals · shots on goal beneathScoring
6 goals1st period
0-14:10
0-28:34
0-318:02
2nd period
1-33:17
1-412:23
3rd period
1-512:09
Penalties
1st
- 12:04
Connor Dewar · Fightingdrawn by Jacob Bernard-Docker5 min
- 12:04
Jacob Bernard-Docker · Fightingdrawn by Connor Dewar5 min
- 15:37
Ben Chiarot · High stickingdrawn by Elmer Soderblom2 min
2nd
- 3:12
Anthony Mantha · Hookingdrawn by Simon Edvinsson2 min
- 19:58
Samuel Girard · Roughingdrawn by Lucas Raymond2 min
- 19:58
Lucas Raymond · Roughingdrawn by Samuel Girard2 min
3rd
- 1:23
Dylan Larkin · Trippingdrawn by Connor Dewar2 min
- 13:31
served by D. Perron · Too many men on the ice2 min
Win probability
ours · the whole gameBiggest swing: Anthony Mantha, 1st 8:34 — 66% → 80%
Shot map
unblocked attempts · size = our xGExpected goals
- 2.91 G
- All situations
- 5 G3.8
- 2.40 G
- Even strength
- 5 G2.6
- 0.41 G
- Power play
- 0 G1.2
- 0.20 G
- Shorthanded
- 0 G0.0
Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 95 unblocked attempts.
Deserve to win
on the chances createdFlurry-adjusted xG 2.88 – 3.73
How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.
Team stats
- 23
- Shots on goal
- 32
- 52%
- Faceoffs
- 48%
- 1/1
- Power play
- 0/3
- 13
- Penalty minutes
- 9
- 32
- Hits
- 18
- 13
- Blocked shots
- 13
- 17
- Giveaways
- 14
- 5
- Takeaways
- 6
Box score
every player line
Season series
PIT leads 3-0
3@
4OTFinal
4@
1Final
1@
5this game
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).




















