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Penguins at Red Wings
NHL

Pittsburgh Penguins at Detroit Red Wings

NHL scoreboard
Pittsburgh Penguins
▸4
Detroit Red Wings
1
FinalTV ABC, SN·Little Caesars Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Pittsburgh Penguins beat the Detroit Red Wings 4-1. The Penguins scored first and never trailed. The Penguins led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Alex DeBrincat's goal at 15:06 of the second period, which took the Red Wings' chances from 14% to 32%. Expected goals favored the Penguins, 3.5 to 1.5; shots on goal were PIT 31, DET 12. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Penguins win a replay of these chances 68% of the time. Stuart Skinner stopped 11 of 12 (.917); John Gibson stopped 27 of 29 (.931). Three stars: 1. Egor Chinakhov (1 G), 2. Alex DeBrincat (1 G), 3. Bryan Rust (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    PIT
    E. Chinakhov1 G
  2. ★★
    DET
    A. DeBrincat1 G
  3. ★★★
    PIT
    B. Rust1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
PITPIT21009212431
DETDET051403112

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. PIT
    B. Rust(16)
    S. Crosby (21), P. Wotherspoon (12)
    wristxG 0.07win prob +12 ptsVideo
    1-0
    3:44
  2. PIT
    E. Chinakhov(4)
    B. Kindel (8), P. Wotherspoon (13)
    wristxG 0.14win prob +16 ptsVideo
    2-0
    17:30

2nd period

  1. DET
    A. DeBrincat(22)
    Unassisted
    snapxG 0.11win prob +17 ptsVideo
    2-1
    15:06

3rd period

  1. PIT
    R. Rakell(5)EN
    S. Crosby (22), B. Kulak (4)
    wristxG 0.66win prob +5 ptsVideo
    3-1
    19:00
  2. PIT
    C. Dewar(7)EN
    B. Lizotte (5), K. Letang (18)
    wristxG 0.48Video
    4-1
    19:28

Penalties

PIT 4 PIM·DET 4 PIM

1st

  • 7:45PITBrett Kulak · Holdingdrawn by Andrew Copp2 min
  • 8:47DETMoritz Seider · High stickingdrawn by Connor Dewar2 min

2nd

  • 16:41PITTommy Novak · Hookingdrawn by Emmitt Finnie2 min

3rd

  • 0:34DETSimon Edvinsson · Hookingdrawn by Sidney Crosby2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
DET goalPIT goalFinal: DET 0%

Biggest swing: Alex DeBrincat, 2nd 15:06 — DET 14% → 32%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
P. Kane · Missed · xG 0.22A. Copp · Missed · xG 0.17J. van Riemsdyk · Missed · xG 0.15D. Larkin · On goal · xG 0.13A. DeBrincat · Goal · xG 0.11J. van Riemsdyk · On goal · xG 0.09A. Copp · On goal · xG 0.07A. DeBrincat · Missed · xG 0.07P. Kane · Missed · xG 0.06P. Kane · Missed · xG 0.04D. Larkin · Missed · xG 0.04M. Rasmussen · Missed · xG 0.03A. Johansson · Missed · xG 0.03L. Raymond · Missed · xG 0.03P. Kane · Missed · xG 0.02A. DeBrincat · On goal · xG 0.02A. Sandin-Pellikka · On goal · xG 0.02N. Danielson · Missed · xG 0.02E. Finnie · On goal · xG 0.02J. Compher · Missed · xG 0.02A. Johansson · Missed · xG 0.02M. Seider · Missed · xG 0.01A. Sandin-Pellikka · Missed · xG 0.01A. DeBrincat · On goal · xG 0.01P. Kane · On goal · xG 0.01A. DeBrincat · On goal · xG 0.01M. Appleton · On goal · xG 0.01M. Appleton · On goal · xG 0.01
DET1 G · 1.5 xG · 28 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

PITvsDET
3.52 G
All situations
1 G1.5
1.92 G
Even strength
1 G1.2
0.30 G
Power play
0 G0.3
0.10 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 71 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
PIT68%32%DET

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.33 – 1.46

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

PITvsDET
31
Shots on goal
12
54%
Faceoffs
46%
0/2
Power play
0/2
4
Penalty minutes
4
20
Hits
21
13
Blocked shots
12
16
Giveaways
19
8
Takeaways
2

Box score

every player line
Pittsburgh Penguins skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
58K. LetangD011+110.06220—22:26
65E. KarlssonD000+200.11100—20:59
77B. KulakD011+120.16042—20:13
67R. RakellR101+260.89220—19:02
17B. RustR101+250.67210—18:56
28P. WotherspoonD022+210.03200—18:49
5R. SheaD000000.00120—18:29
87S. CrosbyC022+210.070005918:17
3J. St. IvanyD000020.17300—16:38
46B. LizotteC011+100.001004315:12
19C. DewarC101+130.57100014:40
55N. AcciariC000+120.100105714:02
39A. ManthaR000030.26200—13:43
81B. KindelC011000.001008013:36
18T. NovakC000010.050026313:07
16J. BrazeauR000000.11000—13:00
59E. ChinakhovR101030.21110—12:26
2R. McGroartyR000010.02100—12:25
Pittsburgh Penguins goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
74S. Skinner(W)12111.9171.47+0.4760:00

Season series

PIT leads 3-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).