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Red Wings at Penguins
NHL

Detroit Red Wings at Pittsburgh Penguins

Final/OTTV FDSNDET, SN-PIT·PPG Paints Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Pittsburgh Penguins beat the Detroit Red Wings 4-3 in overtime, Kris Letang scoring at 0:58. The Penguins scored first and never trailed. It was tied 2-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Kris Letang's goal at 0:58 of overtime, which took the Penguins' chances from 51% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Red Wings, 3.0 to 2.3; shots on goal were DET 27, PIT 31. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Red Wings win a replay of these chances 64% of the time. Cam Talbot stopped 27 of 31 (.871), 1.7 goals below expected; Arturs Silovs stopped 24 of 27 (.889). Three stars: 1. Kris Letang (1 G), 2. Sidney Crosby (2 G, 1 A), 3. Erik Karlsson (2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    PIT
    K. Letang1 G
  2. ★★
    PIT
    S. Crosby2 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    PIT
    E. Karlsson2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
DETDET1101101700327
PITPIT260911412431

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. PIT
    S. Crosby(22)PPG
    slapxG 0.03win prob +9 ptsVideo
    0-1
    4:08
  2. PIT
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.17win prob +14 ptsVideo
    0-2
    5:46
  3. DET
    tip-inxG 0.12win prob +9 ptsVideo
    1-2
    17:46

2nd period

  1. DET
    wristxG 0.13win prob +15 ptsVideo
    2-2
    1:01

3rd period

  1. PIT
    wristxG 0.04win prob +40 ptsVideo
    2-3
    15:51
  2. DET
    backhandxG 0.56win prob +37 ptsVideo
    3-3
    17:02

Overtime

  1. PIT
    S. Crosby (20), B. Rust (20)
    slapxG 0.14win prob +49 ptsVideo
    3-4
    0:58

Penalties

DET 6 PIM·PIT 16 PIM

1st

  • 0:20PITSidney Crosby · Trippingdrawn by Simon Edvinsson2 min
  • 3:44DETNate Danielson · Holdingdrawn by Justin Brazeau2 min
  • 9:43PITBrett Kulak · Holdingdrawn by Marco Kasper2 min
  • 12:47PITParker Wotherspoon · Roughingdrawn by Michael Rasmussen2 min
  • 16:19PITTommy Novak · High sticking double minordrawn by Patrick Kane4 min

2nd

  • 10:09PITBryan Rust · Abuse of officials2 min
  • 11:42DETLucas Raymond · Holding the stickdrawn by Ben Kindel2 min

3rd

  • 4:01DETLucas Raymond · High stickingdrawn by Noel Acciari2 min
  • 7:08PITBlake Lizotte · Trippingdrawn by J.T. Compher2 min
  • 16:14PITJack St. Ivany · Delaying game puck over glass2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
PIT goalDET goalFinal: PIT 100%

Biggest swing: Kris Letang, OT 0:58 — PIT 51% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
E. Karlsson · On goal · xG 0.18S. Crosby · Goal · xG 0.17J. Brazeau · Missed · xG 0.16K. Letang · Goal · xG 0.14J. Brazeau · Missed · xG 0.14R. Rakell · Missed · xG 0.12R. Rakell · On goal · xG 0.11N. Acciari · On goal · xG 0.09J. Brazeau · Missed · xG 0.08B. Rust · Missed · xG 0.08B. Lizotte · Missed · xG 0.07K. Letang · Missed · xG 0.06B. Rust · Missed · xG 0.06J. Brazeau · On goal · xG 0.05T. Novak · On goal · xG 0.05B. Rust · Missed · xG 0.05K. Letang · On goal · xG 0.05R. Rakell · On goal · xG 0.04B. Rust · Missed · xG 0.04B. Lizotte · Goal · xG 0.04B. Rust · On goal · xG 0.04R. Rakell · On goal · xG 0.04B. Rust · Missed · xG 0.04N. Acciari · On goal · xG 0.04B. Rust · Missed · xG 0.03S. Crosby · Goal · xG 0.03S. Crosby · On goal · xG 0.03R. Rakell · On goal · xG 0.02T. Novak · On goal · xG 0.02B. Kindel · On goal · xG 0.02C. Dewar · On goal · xG 0.02P. Wotherspoon · Missed · xG 0.02J. Brazeau · On goal · xG 0.02J. Brazeau · On goal · xG 0.02A. Mantha · On goal · xG 0.01P. Wotherspoon · On goal · xG 0.01B. Kulak · On goal · xG 0.01E. Chinakhov · On goal · xG 0.01B. Rust · Missed · xG 0.01C. Dewar · On goal · xG 0.01C. Dewar · Missed · xG 0.01B. Kulak · On goal · xG 0.01J. St. Ivany · On goal · xG 0.00B. Kulak · On goal · xG 0.00S. Crosby · On goal · xG 0.00B. Rust · On goal · xG 0.00
PIT4 G · 2.3 xG · 46 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

DETvsPIT
3.03 G
All situations
4 G2.3
1.01 G
Even strength
3 G2.0
2.02 G
Power play
1 G0.2
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 93 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
DET64%36%PIT

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.01 – 2.24

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

DETvsPIT
27
Shots on goal
31
47%
Faceoffs
53%
2/8
Power play
1/3
6
Penalty minutes
16
21
Hits
15
17
Blocked shots
18
11
Giveaways
11
4
Takeaways
4

Box score

every player line
Detroit Red Wings skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
53M. SeiderD000010.02030—26:10
71D. LarkinC011-100.200105023:32
77S. EdvinssonD011-230.06140—22:24
23L. RaymondL011-120.38204—21:58
8B. ChiarotD011-100.00320—19:54
58E. FinnieC000-210.32000017:21
93A. DeBrincatR101030.75300—17:08
18A. CoppC101+120.361204016:46
37J. CompherL000-110.160004616:41
88P. KaneR011+140.20010—15:41
27M. RasmussenC000-160.10100015:39
20A. JohanssonD000020.03010—15:12
22M. AppletonC000-100.00200015:02
44A. Sandin-PellikkaD000000.06000—12:43
29N. DanielsonC000000.0000210011:44
25J. Bernard-DockerD000000.02320—11:40
21J. van RiemsdykL101020.3710010010:01
92M. KasperC011000.004105009:06
Detroit Red Wings goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
39C. Talbot(O)31274.8712.26-1.7460:46

Season series

PIT leads 3-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).