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Blues at Sharks
NHL

St. Louis Blues at San Jose Sharks

NHL scoreboard
St. Louis Blues
4
San Jose Sharks
▸5
FinalTV FDSNMW, NBCSCA+·SAP Center at San Jose

Recap

written from the game data

The San Jose Sharks beat the St. Louis Blues 5-4. The lead changed hands 3 times. The Sharks led 4-3 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Adam Gaudette's goal at 19:38 of the third period, which took the Sharks' chances from 52% to 99%. Expected goals favored the Sharks, 2.8 to 2.1; shots on goal were STL 26, SJS 29. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Sharks win a replay of these chances 59% of the time. Joel Hofer stopped 24 of 29 (.828), 2.5 goals below expected; Yaroslav Askarov stopped 22 of 26 (.846), 1.9 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Macklin Celebrini (2 G, 1 A), 2. Adam Gaudette (1 G), 3. Alexander Wennberg (2 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    SJS
    M. Celebrini2 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    SJS
    A. Gaudette1 G
  3. ★★★
    SJS
    A. Wennberg2 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
STLSTL2419113426
SJSSJS3111919529

Scoring

9 goals

1st period

  1. STL
    T. Lindstein(1)
    J. Neighbours (15)
    wristxG 0.03win prob +12 ptsVideo
    1-0
    5:28
  2. SJS
    A. Wennberg(15)PPG
    M. Celebrini (63), T. Toffoli (27)
    wristxG 0.14win prob +10 ptsVideo
    1-1
    8:30
  3. SJS
    M. Celebrini(37)PPG
    D. Orlov (28), A. Wennberg (33)
    slapxG 0.07win prob +10 ptsVideo
    1-2
    13:25
  4. STL
    P. Buchnevich(17)
    J. Neighbours (16)
    tip-inxG 0.09win prob +14 ptsVideo
    2-2
    16:39
  5. SJS
    M. Celebrini(38)
    N. Leddy (5), W. Smith (29)
    wristxG 0.16win prob +15 ptsVideo
    2-3
    19:04

2nd period

  1. SJS
    A. Wennberg(16)PPG
    T. Toffoli (28), W. Smith (30)
    wristxG 0.31win prob +13 ptsVideo
    2-4
    10:13
  2. STL
    P. Broberg(6)PPG
    D. Holloway (20), R. Thomas (33)
    wristxG 0.13win prob +12 ptsVideo
    3-4
    19:34

3rd period

  1. STL
    C. Fowler(3)PPG
    J. Kyrou (23), P. Suter (13)
    wristxG 0.04win prob +30 ptsVideo
    4-4
    12:53
  2. SJS
    A. Gaudette(16)
    M. Ferraro (15), V. Desharnais (6)
    wristxG 0.06win prob +48 ptsVideo
    4-5
    19:38

Penalties

STL 8 PIM·SJS 6 PIM

1st

  • 7:11STLRobert Thomas · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
  • 12:39STLDalibor Dvorsky · Interferencedrawn by Barclay Goodrow2 min

2nd

  • 1:14SJSShakir Mukhamadullin · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
  • 1:52STLPius Suter · High stickingdrawn by Yaroslav Askarov2 min
  • 9:08STLPhilip Broberg · Hookingdrawn by Barclay Goodrow2 min
  • 19:06SJSShakir Mukhamadullin · Hookingdrawn by Jonatan Berggren2 min

3rd

  • 11:08SJSYaroslav Askarov · Trippingdrawn by Dylan Holloway2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
SJS goalSTL goalFinal: SJS 100%

Biggest swing: Adam Gaudette, 3rd 19:38 — SJS 52% → 99%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
A. Wennberg · Goal · xG 0.31M. Celebrini · Missed · xG 0.27M. Celebrini · Goal · xG 0.16K. Sherwood · On goal · xG 0.16W. Smith · On goal · xG 0.14A. Wennberg · Goal · xG 0.14T. Toffoli · On goal · xG 0.14I. Chernyshov · On goal · xG 0.13T. Toffoli · On goal · xG 0.12M. Celebrini · Missed · xG 0.12K. Sherwood · On goal · xG 0.10M. Celebrini · On goal · xG 0.09M. Celebrini · Goal · xG 0.07Z. Ostapchuk · On goal · xG 0.07A. Gaudette · Missed · xG 0.07A. Gaudette · On goal · xG 0.07A. Wennberg · Missed · xG 0.06A. Gaudette · Goal · xG 0.06M. Celebrini · On goal · xG 0.06M. Celebrini · Missed · xG 0.05W. Smith · On goal · xG 0.05W. Smith · On goal · xG 0.05A. Gaudette · Missed · xG 0.04K. Sherwood · On goal · xG 0.04S. Dickinson · On goal · xG 0.03D. Orlov · Missed · xG 0.03A. Gaudette · On goal · xG 0.03N. Leddy · Missed · xG 0.02M. Ferraro · Missed · xG 0.02M. Celebrini · On goal · xG 0.02K. Sherwood · On goal · xG 0.02B. Goodrow · On goal · xG 0.02T. Toffoli · On goal · xG 0.01Z. Ostapchuk · On goal · xG 0.01I. Chernyshov · On goal · xG 0.01M. Ferraro · On goal · xG 0.01T. Toffoli · Missed · xG 0.01K. Sherwood · On goal · xG 0.00C. Graf · On goal · xG 0.00
SJS5 G · 2.8 xG · 39 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

STLvsSJS
2.14 G
All situations
5 G2.8
1.62 G
Even strength
2 G1.6
0.42 G
Power play
3 G0.9

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 74 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
STL41%59%SJS

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.04 – 2.50

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

STLvsSJS
26
Shots on goal
29
54%
Faceoffs
46%
2/3
Power play
3/4
8
Penalty minutes
6
15
Hits
18
15
Blocked shots
15
11
Giveaways
12
1
Takeaways
3

Box score

every player line
St. Louis Blues skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
6P. BrobergD101-210.19002—23:49
55C. ParaykoD000+110.01230—21:23
18R. ThomasC011010.012226120:52
17C. FowlerD101+110.04030—20:28
81D. HollowayL011-140.52100—20:05
23L. MaillouxD000-200.00040—19:50
21J. SnuggerudR000030.06200—18:19
89P. BuchnevichL101030.180005617:49
41T. LindsteinD101+120.07000—17:12
63J. NeighboursL022+120.33000—15:58
4J. HollD000+110.03010—14:35
25J. KyrouR011000.28000—14:22
22P. SuterC011010.050126712:44
29J. BerggrenR000020.17100—12:40
28O. StenbergC000020.07200012:00
54D. DvorskyR000020.051027111:56
37J. FinleyC000000.002003010:43
13A. ToropchenkoR000000.00210—10:38
St. Louis Blues goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
30J. Hofer(L)29245.8282.55-2.4559:27

Season series

STL leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).