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St. Louis Blues at San Jose Sharks

Final/OTTV FDSNMW, NBCSCA·SAP Center at San Jose

Recap

written from the game data

The St. Louis Blues beat the San Jose Sharks 3-2 in overtime, Robert Thomas scoring at 0:54. The Blues scored first and never trailed. The Blues led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Robert Thomas's goal at 0:54 of overtime, which took the Blues' chances from 49% to 100%. Expected goals were close — STL 2.3, SJS 2.3; shots on goal were STL 14, SJS 25. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Blues win a replay of these chances 51% of the time. Jordan Binnington stopped 23 of 25 (.920); Alex Nedeljkovic stopped 11 of 14 (.786), 0.7 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Robert Thomas (2 G), 2. Dylan Holloway (3 A), 3. Kiefer Sherwood (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    STL
    R. Thomas2 G
  2. ★★
    STL
    D. Holloway3 A
  3. ★★★
    SJS
    K. Sherwood1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
STLSTL13190111314
SJSSJS011161800225

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. STL
    wristxG 0.06win prob +13 ptsVideo
    1-0
    6:55

2nd period

  1. SJS
    D. Orlov (24), T. Toffoli (23)
    wristxG 0.05win prob +19 ptsVideo
    1-1
    14:31
  2. STL
    snapxG 0.18win prob +23 ptsVideo
    2-1
    17:46

3rd period

  1. SJS
    P. Kurashev (13), C. Graf (19)
    slapxG 0.08win prob +37 ptsVideo
    2-2
    13:26

Overtime

  1. STL
    wristxG 0.31win prob +51 ptsVideo
    3-2
    0:54

Penalties

STL 14 PIM·SJS 14 PIM

1st

  • 0:29SJSMario Ferraro · Roughingdrawn by Dylan Holloway2 min
  • 0:29STLDylan Holloway · Fightingdrawn by Mario Ferraro5 min
  • 0:29SJSMario Ferraro · Fightingdrawn by Dylan Holloway5 min
  • 4:17STLMatthew Kessel · High stickingdrawn by Michael Misa2 min
  • 11:34SJSBarclay Goodrow · Fightingdrawn by Jake Neighbours5 min
  • 11:34STLJake Neighbours · Fightingdrawn by Barclay Goodrow5 min

2nd

  • 11:19SJSZack Ostapchuk · Roughingdrawn by Tyler Tucker2 min
  • 12:27STLJonatan Berggren · Cross checkingdrawn by Vincent Desharnais2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
SJS goalSTL goalFinal: SJS 0%

Biggest swing: Robert Thomas, OT 0:54 — STL 49% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
T. Toffoli · Missed · xG 0.27P. Kurashev · On goal · xG 0.16S. Dickinson · Missed · xG 0.15Z. Ostapchuk · On goal · xG 0.14C. Graf · On goal · xG 0.12W. Smith · On goal · xG 0.11B. Goodrow · Missed · xG 0.09A. Gaudette · Missed · xG 0.09A. Gaudette · On goal · xG 0.09A. Wennberg · Missed · xG 0.08K. Sherwood · Goal · xG 0.08M. Celebrini · Missed · xG 0.08M. Misa · Missed · xG 0.08M. Celebrini · On goal · xG 0.07S. Mukhamadullin · On goal · xG 0.07D. Orlov · On goal · xG 0.06W. Smith · Missed · xG 0.06P. Kurashev · On goal · xG 0.06M. Celebrini · Missed · xG 0.06M. Celebrini · Goal · xG 0.05M. Celebrini · On goal · xG 0.03M. Ferraro · On goal · xG 0.03W. Eklund · On goal · xG 0.03M. Celebrini · Missed · xG 0.03S. Dickinson · On goal · xG 0.03S. Dickinson · On goal · xG 0.02S. Mukhamadullin · On goal · xG 0.02S. Mukhamadullin · On goal · xG 0.02J. Klingberg · On goal · xG 0.02A. Gaudette · Missed · xG 0.01T. Toffoli · On goal · xG 0.01J. Klingberg · On goal · xG 0.01P. Kurashev · On goal · xG 0.01S. Dickinson · Missed · xG 0.01J. Klingberg · Missed · xG 0.01W. Eklund · On goal · xG 0.01J. Klingberg · On goal · xG 0.01S. Mukhamadullin · Missed · xG 0.01B. Goodrow · Missed · xG 0.00M. Ferraro · On goal · xG 0.00
SJS2 G · 2.3 xG · 40 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

STLvsSJS
2.33 G
All situations
2 G2.3
2.13 G
Even strength
2 G2.1
0.20 G
Power play
0 G0.2

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 62 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
STL51%49%SJS

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.23 – 2.22

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

STLvsSJS
14
Shots on goal
25
39%
Faceoffs
61%
0/2
Power play
0/2
14
Penalty minutes
14
19
Hits
25
12
Blocked shots
9
17
Giveaways
23
5
Takeaways
5

Box score

every player line
St. Louis Blues skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
6P. BrobergD011+100.08000—32:51
17C. FowlerD011000.00010—26:53
23L. MaillouxD000-210.00220—25:03
18R. ThomasC202+350.990104719:06
75T. TuckerD000+100.00110—18:59
29J. BerggrenR000-200.22102—17:32
89P. BuchnevichL000-120.240101717:17
21J. SnuggerudR112+120.14200—17:08
22P. SuterC000010.230003816:14
81D. HollowayL033+300.18215—15:48
51M. KesselD000+100.00022—14:21
13A. ToropchenkoR000-100.00110—12:41
54D. DvorskyR000-110.022002011:21
37J. FinleyC000020.062005011:10
63J. NeighboursL000000.00105—11:02
70O. SundqvistC000000.0030010010:39
25J. KyrouR000000.12000—10:34
26N. WalkerL000000.00220—10:03
St. Louis Blues goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
50J. Binnington(W)25232.9202.28+0.2860:54

Season series

STL leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).