San Jose Sharks at St. Louis Blues
Recap
written from the game dataThe St. Louis Blues beat the San Jose Sharks 2-1 in overtime, Dylan Holloway scoring at 4:57. The Blues scored first and never trailed. The Blues led 1-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Dylan Holloway's goal at 4:57 of overtime, which took the Blues' chances from 51% to 100%. Expected goals were close — SJS 2.3, STL 2.3; shots on goal were SJS 25, STL 23. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Blues win a replay of these chances 50% of the time. Alex Nedeljkovic stopped 10 of 12 (.833), 0.7 goals below expected; Joel Hofer stopped 24 of 25 (.960), 1.4 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Dylan Holloway (1 G, 1 A), 2. Joel Hofer (24 saves, .960), 3. Logan Mailloux.
Three stars
- ★D. Holloway1 G, 1 A

- ★★J. Hofer24 saves, .960

- ★★★L. Mailloux

Line score
goals · shots on goal beneathScoring
3 goals2nd period
0-117:19
3rd period
1-15:04
Overtime
1-24:57
Penalties
1st
- 3:40
Philip Broberg · Holding the stickdrawn by Igor Chernyshov2 min
- 6:09
Adam Gaudette · Hookingdrawn by Matthew Kessel2 min
2nd
- 3:03
Zack Ostapchuk · Instigatordrawn by Logan Mailloux2 min
- 3:03
Logan Mailloux · Fightingdrawn by Zack Ostapchuk5 min
- 3:03
Zack Ostapchuk · Fightingdrawn by Logan Mailloux5 min
- 3:03
Zack Ostapchuk · Instigator misconduct10 min
- 9:06
Nathan Walker · Roughingdrawn by Dmitry Orlov2 min
- 9:06
Dmitry Orlov · Roughingdrawn by Nathan Walker2 min
Win probability
ours · the whole gameBiggest swing: Dylan Holloway, OT 4:57 — 51% → 100%
Shot map
unblocked attempts · size = our xGExpected goals
- 2.31 G
- All situations
- 2 G2.3
- 2.31 G
- Even strength
- 2 G1.8
- 0.00 G
- Power play
- 0 G0.6
Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 71 unblocked attempts.
Deserve to win
on the chances createdFlurry-adjusted xG 2.34 – 2.35
How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.
Team stats
- 25
- Shots on goal
- 23
- 42%
- Faceoffs
- 58%
- 0/1
- Power play
- 0/2
- 21
- Penalty minutes
- 9
- 27
- Hits
- 27
- 13
- Blocked shots
- 21
- 22
- Giveaways
- 12
- 5
- Takeaways
- 5
Box score
every player line
Season series
STL leads 2-1
3@
2OTFinal
1@
2OTthis game
4@
5Final
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).




















