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San Jose Sharks at St. Louis Blues

Final/OTTV FDSNMW, NBCSCA·Enterprise Center

Recap

written from the game data

The St. Louis Blues beat the San Jose Sharks 2-1 in overtime, Dylan Holloway scoring at 4:57. The Blues scored first and never trailed. The Blues led 1-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Dylan Holloway's goal at 4:57 of overtime, which took the Blues' chances from 51% to 100%. Expected goals were close — SJS 2.3, STL 2.3; shots on goal were SJS 25, STL 23. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Blues win a replay of these chances 50% of the time. Alex Nedeljkovic stopped 10 of 12 (.833), 0.7 goals below expected; Joel Hofer stopped 24 of 25 (.960), 1.4 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Dylan Holloway (1 G, 1 A), 2. Joel Hofer (24 saves, .960), 3. Logan Mailloux.

Three stars

  1. ★
    STL
    D. Holloway1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    STL
    J. Hofer24 saves, .960
  3. ★★★
    STL
    L. Mailloux

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
SJSSJS09061802125
STLSTL061110412223

Scoring

3 goals

2nd period

  1. STL
    snapxG 0.18win prob +22 ptsVideo
    0-1
    17:19

3rd period

  1. SJS
    wristxG 0.14win prob +27 ptsVideo
    1-1
    5:04

Overtime

  1. STL
    backhandxG 0.17win prob +49 ptsVideo
    1-2
    4:57

Penalties

SJS 21 PIM·STL 9 PIM

1st

  • 3:40STLPhilip Broberg · Holding the stickdrawn by Igor Chernyshov2 min
  • 6:09SJSAdam Gaudette · Hookingdrawn by Matthew Kessel2 min

2nd

  • 3:03SJSZack Ostapchuk · Instigatordrawn by Logan Mailloux2 min
  • 3:03STLLogan Mailloux · Fightingdrawn by Zack Ostapchuk5 min
  • 3:03SJSZack Ostapchuk · Fightingdrawn by Logan Mailloux5 min
  • 3:03SJSZack Ostapchuk · Instigator misconduct10 min
  • 9:06STLNathan Walker · Roughingdrawn by Dmitry Orlov2 min
  • 9:06SJSDmitry Orlov · Roughingdrawn by Nathan Walker2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
STL goalSJS goalFinal: STL 100%

Biggest swing: Dylan Holloway, OT 4:57 — STL 51% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
D. Dvorsky · On goal · xG 0.27D. Dvorsky · Goal · xG 0.18N. Walker · Missed · xG 0.17D. Holloway · Goal · xG 0.17J. Kyrou · Missed · xG 0.14D. Dvorsky · On goal · xG 0.14P. Suter · On goal · xG 0.14D. Dvorsky · Missed · xG 0.12J. Berggren · On goal · xG 0.12C. Parayko · On goal · xG 0.11J. Berggren · Missed · xG 0.10D. Holloway · On goal · xG 0.08D. Holloway · On goal · xG 0.08L. Mailloux · Missed · xG 0.07J. Snuggerud · On goal · xG 0.07C. Parayko · On goal · xG 0.07L. Mailloux · On goal · xG 0.05J. Berggren · Missed · xG 0.04M. Kessel · On goal · xG 0.03C. Parayko · Missed · xG 0.03J. Berggren · On goal · xG 0.03A. Toropchenko · On goal · xG 0.02J. Finley · On goal · xG 0.02M. Kessel · On goal · xG 0.02J. Snuggerud · On goal · xG 0.02J. Snuggerud · Missed · xG 0.02C. Parayko · On goal · xG 0.01C. Fowler · Missed · xG 0.01J. Snuggerud · Missed · xG 0.01N. Walker · Missed · xG 0.01L. Mailloux · On goal · xG 0.01M. Kessel · On goal · xG 0.00C. Fowler · On goal · xG 0.00A. Toropchenko · On goal · xG 0.00
STL2 G · 2.3 xG · 34 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

SJSvsSTL
2.31 G
All situations
2 G2.3
2.31 G
Even strength
2 G1.8
0.00 G
Power play
0 G0.6

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 71 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
SJS50%50%STL

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.34 – 2.35

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

SJSvsSTL
25
Shots on goal
23
42%
Faceoffs
58%
0/1
Power play
0/2
21
Penalty minutes
9
27
Hits
27
13
Blocked shots
21
22
Giveaways
12
5
Takeaways
5

Box score

every player line
San Jose Sharks skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
71M. CelebriniC000-230.231004222:56
9D. OrlovD000-100.13302—22:52
21A. WennbergC101+120.201204122:37
6S. DickinsonD000+130.30200—21:33
5V. DesharnaisD000020.03320—20:57
38M. FerraroD000-110.03320—20:02
4N. LeddyD000+100.02110—19:44
44K. SherwoodL011+120.41300—19:33
72W. EklundL011030.1420010019:29
85S. MukhamadullinD000-110.04220—17:36
51C. GrafR000020.22100—16:35
2W. SmithC000-100.0300010015:17
92I. ChernyshovL000-110.06010—15:16
73T. ToffoliC000020.09100013:03
77M. MisaC000010.080104012:59
23B. GoodrowC000010.10320010:24
81A. GaudetteR000000.000027510:07
63Z. OstapchukC000010.2210172007:55
San Jose Sharks goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
33A. Nedeljkovic(O)12102.8331.32-0.6835:51
30Y. Askarov111101.0001.03+1.0329:02

Season series

STL leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).