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New Jersey Devils at Carolina Hurricanes

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Recap

written from the game data

The Carolina Hurricanes beat the New Jersey Devils 5-2. The Devils scored first; the Hurricanes answered. The Hurricanes led 3-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Jackson Blake's goal at 13:48 of the second period, which took the Hurricanes' chances from 53% to 73%. Expected goals favored the Hurricanes, 4.4 to 2.0; shots on goal were NJD 19, CAR 34. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Hurricanes win a replay of these chances 74% of the time. Jacob Markstrom stopped 29 of 33 (.879), 0.6 goals below expected; Brandon Bussi stopped 17 of 19 (.895). Three stars: 1. Nikolaj Ehlers (1 G, 1 A), 2. Jackson Blake (1 G), 3. Taylor Hall (2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    CAR
    N. Ehlers1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    CAR
    J. Blake1 G
  3. ★★★
    CAR
    T. Hall2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
NJDNJD160518219
CARCAR08315211534

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. NJD
    wristxG 0.12win prob +15 ptsVideo
    1-0
    17:06

2nd period

  1. CAR
    N. Ehlers(23)PPG
    A. Nikishin (19), T. Hall (24)
    snapxG 0.09win prob +18 ptsVideo
    1-1
    10:10
  2. CAR
    wristxG 0.13win prob +20 ptsVideo
    1-2
    13:48
  3. CAR
    tip-inxG 0.08win prob +16 ptsVideo
    1-3
    15:13

3rd period

  1. CAR
    Unassisted
    snapxG 0.10win prob +1 ptsVideo
    1-4
    15:25
  2. CAR
    S. Jarvis(30)EN
    S. Walker (17), S. Aho (48)
    wristxG 0.94Video
    1-5
    17:40
  3. NJD
    wristxG 0.07Video
    2-5
    19:36

Penalties

NJD 2 PIM·CAR 6 PIM

1st

  • 9:50CARJordan Staal · Hookingdrawn by Nico Hischier2 min
  • 12:16CARTaylor Hall · Trippingdrawn by Maxim Tsyplakov2 min

2nd

  • 8:27NJDLenni Hameenaho · Trippingdrawn by Taylor Hall2 min

3rd

  • 15:52CARShayne Gostisbehere · Chargingdrawn by Evgenii Dadonov2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
CAR goalNJD goalFinal: CAR 100%

Biggest swing: Jackson Blake, 2nd 13:48 — CAR 53% → 73%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
S. Jarvis · Goal · xG 0.94T. Hall · On goal · xG 0.48L. Stankoven · On goal · xG 0.20M. Jankowski · Missed · xG 0.19S. Aho · On goal · xG 0.15S. Gostisbehere · Missed · xG 0.15S. Jarvis · On goal · xG 0.13L. Stankoven · On goal · xG 0.13J. Blake · Goal · xG 0.13S. Jarvis · On goal · xG 0.12L. Stankoven · On goal · xG 0.11T. Hall · On goal · xG 0.10S. Gostisbehere · Goal · xG 0.10E. Robinson · Missed · xG 0.10L. Stankoven · On goal · xG 0.10N. Ehlers · Goal · xG 0.09J. Staal · Missed · xG 0.08A. Svechnikov · Missed · xG 0.08N. Ehlers · On goal · xG 0.08J. Staal · Goal · xG 0.08T. Hall · On goal · xG 0.06N. Ehlers · Missed · xG 0.06J. Chatfield · Missed · xG 0.06M. Jankowski · Missed · xG 0.06J. Martinook · Missed · xG 0.05A. Svechnikov · On goal · xG 0.05J. Martinook · On goal · xG 0.04J. Blake · Missed · xG 0.04J. Martinook · On goal · xG 0.04J. Blake · Missed · xG 0.04S. Aho · On goal · xG 0.03S. Gostisbehere · On goal · xG 0.03L. Stankoven · On goal · xG 0.03A. Svechnikov · Missed · xG 0.02S. Aho · On goal · xG 0.02S. Jarvis · Missed · xG 0.02J. Chatfield · Missed · xG 0.02K. Miller · On goal · xG 0.02A. Svechnikov · Missed · xG 0.02J. Slavin · Missed · xG 0.01A. Svechnikov · On goal · xG 0.01J. Chatfield · On goal · xG 0.01T. Hall · On goal · xG 0.01A. Nikishin · Missed · xG 0.01S. Walker · On goal · xG 0.01J. Slavin · Missed · xG 0.01S. Walker · On goal · xG 0.01K. Miller · On goal · xG 0.01L. Stankoven · On goal · xG 0.01S. Walker · Missed · xG 0.00J. Staal · On goal · xG 0.00A. Nikishin · Missed · xG 0.00J. Martinook · On goal · xG 0.00S. Walker · On goal · xG 0.00
CAR5 G · 4.4 xG · 54 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

NJDvsCAR
2.02 G
All situations
4 G4.4
1.62 G
Even strength
3 G3.3
0.40 G
Power play
1 G0.2

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 84 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
NJD26%74%CAR

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.98 – 3.41

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

NJDvsCAR
19
Shots on goal
34
50%
Faceoffs
50%
0/3
Power play
1/1
2
Penalty minutes
6
26
Hits
12
15
Blocked shots
9
17
Giveaways
23
4
Takeaways
7

Box score

every player line
New Jersey Devils skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
43L. HughesD000-200.00020—23:21
86J. HughesC000-230.410002022:17
7D. HamiltonD000-110.19420—20:46
16C. BrownR000-200.11000—20:01
71J. SiegenthalerD000-110.02300—19:21
8J. KovacevicD011+110.12220—19:18
63J. BrattL000-210.13100—19:15
13N. HischierC011-150.432306519:12
17S. NemecD000-100.00110—18:13
28T. MeierR101-130.2131010018:05
91D. MercerC011020.11100017:49
5B. DillonD011+100.00210—15:02
29L. HameenahoR000+100.00022—13:28
33E. DadonovL101+120.08000—12:36
12C. GlassC000+100.022104612:18
47P. CotterL000-100.003005010:26
42M. TsyplakovR000-100.12100—09:21
72N. BjugstadC000-100.0410010009:19
New Jersey Devils goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
25J. Markstrom(L)33294.8793.43-0.5758:09

Season series

CAR leads 4-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).