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Carolina Hurricanes at New Jersey Devils

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Recap

written from the game data

The Carolina Hurricanes beat the New Jersey Devils 4-1. The Hurricanes scored first and never trailed. The Hurricanes led 2-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Andrei Svechnikov's goal at 13:12 of the second period, which took the Hurricanes' chances from 47% to 67%. Expected goals favored the Hurricanes, 3.7 to 2.8; shots on goal were CAR 35, NJD 30. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Hurricanes win a replay of these chances 63% of the time. Frederik Andersen stopped 29 of 30 (.967), 1.8 goals saved above expected; Jacob Markstrom stopped 31 of 35 (.886). Three stars: 1. Andrei Svechnikov (3 G), 2. Sebastian Aho (3 A), 3. Frederik Andersen (29 saves, .967).

Three stars

  1. ★
    CAR
    A. Svechnikov3 G
  2. ★★
    CAR
    S. Aho3 A
  3. ★★★
    CAR
    F. Andersen29 saves, .967

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
CARCAR04216215435
NJDNJD01001119130

Scoring

5 goals

2nd period

  1. CAR
    S. Aho (31)
    snapxG 0.12win prob +20 ptsVideo
    1-0
    13:12
  2. CAR
    S. Aho (32), S. Walker (9)
    snapxG 0.08win prob +18 ptsVideo
    2-0
    14:09

3rd period

  1. NJD
    T. Meier(13)PPG
    wristxG 0.03win prob +14 ptsVideo
    2-1
    4:27
  2. CAR
    N. Ehlers (25), K. Miller (18)
    backhandxG 0.18win prob +16 ptsVideo
    3-1
    8:33
  3. CAR
    S. Aho (33), S. Jarvis (15)
    snapxG 0.15win prob +1 ptsVideo
    4-1
    15:52

Penalties

CAR 8 PIM·NJD 2 PIM

1st

  • 2:22CARSean Walker · Trippingdrawn by Paul Cotter2 min

2nd

  • 6:47CARSean Walker · High stickingdrawn by Timo Meier2 min
  • 8:52NJDPaul Cotter · Trippingdrawn by Jaccob Slavin2 min
  • 18:29CARK'Andre Miller · Hookingdrawn by Arseny Gritsyuk2 min

3rd

  • 3:16CARSean Walker · Slashingdrawn by Evgenii Dadonov2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
NJD goalCAR goalFinal: NJD 0%

Biggest swing: Andrei Svechnikov, 2nd 13:12 — CAR 47% → 67%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
D. Mercer · On goal · xG 0.29J. Hughes · On goal · xG 0.23C. Brown · On goal · xG 0.16T. Meier · On goal · xG 0.16D. Mercer · Missed · xG 0.15L. Glendening · On goal · xG 0.14J. Bratt · Missed · xG 0.13E. Dadonov · On goal · xG 0.13C. Glass · On goal · xG 0.12T. Meier · On goal · xG 0.11T. Meier · On goal · xG 0.11T. Meier · Missed · xG 0.10T. Meier · Missed · xG 0.08L. Hughes · On goal · xG 0.08E. Dadonov · On goal · xG 0.07T. Meier · Missed · xG 0.06T. Meier · On goal · xG 0.06J. Hughes · On goal · xG 0.05J. Hughes · Missed · xG 0.05L. Glendening · On goal · xG 0.05J. Hughes · On goal · xG 0.04T. Meier · Missed · xG 0.04D. Mercer · Missed · xG 0.04D. Hamilton · On goal · xG 0.04B. Pesce · On goal · xG 0.03A. Gritsyuk · On goal · xG 0.03D. Hamilton · On goal · xG 0.03T. Meier · Goal · xG 0.03T. Meier · On goal · xG 0.02A. Gritsyuk · Missed · xG 0.02T. Meier · Missed · xG 0.02B. Pesce · On goal · xG 0.02B. Dillon · On goal · xG 0.02C. Glass · On goal · xG 0.02L. Hughes · Missed · xG 0.02L. Hughes · On goal · xG 0.02T. Meier · On goal · xG 0.01B. Pesce · On goal · xG 0.01A. Gritsyuk · On goal · xG 0.01J. Bratt · On goal · xG 0.00C. Brown · On goal · xG 0.00
NJD1 G · 2.8 xG · 41 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

CARvsNJD
3.74 G
All situations
1 G2.8
3.14 G
Even strength
0 G2.2
0.60 G
Power play
1 G0.4
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 93 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
CAR63%37%NJD

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.54 – 2.76

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

CARvsNJD
35
Shots on goal
30
44%
Faceoffs
56%
0/1
Power play
1/4
8
Penalty minutes
2
20
Hits
22
12
Blocked shots
15
9
Giveaways
19
9
Takeaways
2

Box score

every player line
Carolina Hurricanes skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
19K. MillerD011+330.04112—24:11
26S. WalkerD011+220.07026—21:37
21A. NikishinD000040.47220—21:13
5J. ChatfieldD000+110.01200—19:55
74J. SlavinD000+220.11000—19:22
20S. AhoC033+300.002003319:17
48J. MartinookL000+120.37200—17:56
24S. JarvisR011+300.09130—17:24
11J. StaalC000+130.403105017:05
27N. EhlersL011+110.11000—15:20
37A. SvechnikovR303+340.41400—14:53
22L. StankovenC000030.361004714:45
53J. BlakeR101+160.74000—14:32
71T. HallL000020.40010—13:19
64J. NystromD000010.05000—12:10
50E. RobinsonL000010.03120—10:25
77M. JankowskiL000000.000005010:01
82J. KotkaniemiC000000.001004009:32
Carolina Hurricanes goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
31F. Andersen(W)30291.9672.78+1.7859:52

Season series

CAR leads 4-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).