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Carolina Hurricanes at New Jersey Devils

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Recap

written from the game data

The Carolina Hurricanes beat the New Jersey Devils 3-1. The Hurricanes scored first and never trailed. The Hurricanes led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Taylor Hall's goal at 7:47 of the second period, which took the Hurricanes' chances from 47% to 65%. Expected goals favored the Hurricanes, 2.9 to 2.6; shots on goal were CAR 29, NJD 29. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Devils win a replay of these chances 52% of the time. Brandon Bussi stopped 28 of 29 (.966), 1.6 goals saved above expected; Jake Allen stopped 27 of 29 (.931), 0.5 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Brandon Bussi (28 saves, .966), 2. Taylor Hall (1 G, 1 A), 3. Logan Stankoven (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    CAR
    B. Bussi28 saves, .966
  2. ★★
    CAR
    T. Hall1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    CAR
    L. Stankoven1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
CARCAR1151915329
NJDNJD1806015129

Scoring

4 goals

1st period

  1. CAR
    Unassisted
    xG 0.21win prob +11 ptsVideo
    1-0
    0:51
  2. NJD
    wristxG 0.16win prob +12 ptsVideo
    1-1
    7:34

2nd period

  1. CAR
    Unassisted
    pokexG 0.10win prob +18 ptsVideo
    2-1
    7:47

3rd period

  1. CAR
    T. Hall (12)
    wristxG 0.05win prob +14 ptsVideo
    3-1
    12:16

Penalties

CAR 10 PIM·NJD 6 PIM

1st

  • 2:38NJDDawson Mercer · Hookingdrawn by Shayne Gostisbehere2 min

2nd

  • 2:14NJDDougie Hamilton · Interferencedrawn by Jackson Blake2 min
  • 12:56CARSean Walker · High stickingdrawn by Jack Hughes2 min
  • 16:03CARLogan Stankoven · Trippingdrawn by Cody Glass2 min
  • 18:13CARLogan Stankoven · Roughingdrawn by Nico Hischier2 min

3rd

  • 2:53CARJordan Staal · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
  • 5:21NJDOndrej Palat · Hookingdrawn by Taylor Hall2 min
  • 18:27CARAndrei Svechnikov · Trippingdrawn by Luke Hughes2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
NJD goalCAR goalFinal: NJD 0%

Biggest swing: Taylor Hall, 2nd 7:47 — CAR 47% → 65%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
T. Meier · Missed · xG 0.19D. Mercer · Goal · xG 0.16S. Noesen · Missed · xG 0.13D. Mercer · Missed · xG 0.13N. Hischier · On goal · xG 0.12T. Meier · On goal · xG 0.12N. Hischier · On goal · xG 0.11T. Meier · On goal · xG 0.11N. Hischier · On goal · xG 0.10D. Mercer · Missed · xG 0.09N. Hischier · Missed · xG 0.09N. Hischier · On goal · xG 0.09N. Hischier · On goal · xG 0.08J. Hughes · On goal · xG 0.07J. Bratt · On goal · xG 0.07L. Glendening · On goal · xG 0.07J. Hughes · On goal · xG 0.07C. Brown · On goal · xG 0.07J. Lammikko · Missed · xG 0.07L. Hughes · Missed · xG 0.06A. Gritsyuk · On goal · xG 0.06D. Mercer · On goal · xG 0.06J. Hughes · On goal · xG 0.05J. Hughes · On goal · xG 0.05D. Hamilton · Missed · xG 0.04C. Glass · Missed · xG 0.04N. Hischier · On goal · xG 0.04A. Gritsyuk · On goal · xG 0.03L. Hughes · Missed · xG 0.03J. Hughes · On goal · xG 0.03A. Gritsyuk · On goal · xG 0.03T. Meier · Missed · xG 0.03D. Hamilton · On goal · xG 0.03D. Hamilton · On goal · xG 0.02C. Brown · On goal · xG 0.01T. Meier · On goal · xG 0.01D. Hamilton · On goal · xG 0.01J. Bratt · Missed · xG 0.01B. Pesce · Missed · xG 0.01C. White · On goal · xG 0.01J. Bratt · On goal · xG 0.00J. Bratt · On goal · xG 0.00
NJD1 G · 2.6 xG · 42 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

CARvsNJD
2.93 G
All situations
1 G2.6
1.93 G
Even strength
1 G1.2
0.60 G
Power play
0 G1.4

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 83 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
CAR48%52%NJD

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.39 – 2.50

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

CARvsNJD
29
Shots on goal
29
56%
Faceoffs
44%
0/3
Power play
0/5
10
Penalty minutes
6
16
Hits
22
18
Blocked shots
9
19
Giveaways
12
6
Takeaways
3

Box score

every player line
Carolina Hurricanes skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
26S. WalkerD000+130.14142—23:55
19K. MillerD000+110.01010—23:22
4S. GostisbehereD000-120.11030—21:39
5J. ChatfieldD000+110.05010—21:26
20S. AhoC000+120.090006721:08
48J. MartinookL000010.5122010019:56
11J. StaalC000000.001225617:11
27N. EhlersL101+130.48000—16:20
37A. SvechnikovR000+120.26002—15:34
71T. HallL112+140.3710010015:07
53J. BlakeR000+120.36000—14:57
21A. NikishinD000000.00110—14:23
22L. StankovenC101+140.280045012:58
64J. NystromD000+210.09010—12:11
28W. CarrierL000010.00500—11:26
15N. PhilpC000010.102004410:48
50E. RobinsonL000010.04300—09:42
77M. JankowskiL000000.000305008:24
Carolina Hurricanes goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
32B. Bussi(W)29281.9662.60+1.6060:00

Season series

CAR leads 4-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).