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Panthers at Islanders
NHL

Florida Panthers at New York Islanders

NHL scoreboard
Florida Panthers
2
New York Islanders
▸5
FinalTV MSGSN, SCRIPPS·UBS Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The New York Islanders beat the Florida Panthers 5-2. The Islanders came back from two goals down. The Islanders led 5-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Brayden Schenn's goal at 12:09 of the second period, which took the Islanders' chances from 33% to 53%. Expected goals favored the Islanders, 5.0 to 2.7; shots on goal were FLA 21, NYI 40. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Islanders win a replay of these chances 69% of the time. Daniil Tarasov stopped 35 of 40 (.875), 1.0 goals below expected; Ilya Sorokin stopped 19 of 21 (.905), 0.7 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Brayden Schenn (1 G, 2 A), 2. Marc Gatcomb (1 G, 1 A), 3. Casey Cizikas (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    NYI
    B. Schenn1 G, 2 A
  2. ★★
    NYI
    M. Gatcomb1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    NYI
    C. Cizikas1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
FLAFLA280508221
NYINYI0852408540

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. FLA
    M. Tkachuk(11)
    S. Jones (20)
    backhandxG 0.19win prob +13 ptsVideo
    1-0
    8:06
  2. FLA
    M. Tkachuk(12)
    Unassisted
    between-legsxG 0.18win prob +16 ptsVideo
    2-0
    14:03

2nd period

  1. NYI
    M. Gatcomb(2)
    A. Pelech (11), S. Mayfield (11)
    wristxG 0.02win prob +17 ptsVideo
    2-1
    5:28
  2. NYI
    B. Schenn(15)
    C. Ritchie (13), M. Schaefer (33)
    snapxG 0.19win prob +20 ptsVideo
    2-2
    12:09
  3. NYI
    S. Holmstrom(19)PPG
    M. Schaefer (34), B. Schenn (19)
    snapxG 0.05win prob +16 ptsVideo
    2-3
    14:52
  4. NYI
    E. Heineman(21)
    A. Lee (23), B. Schenn (20)
    snapxG 0.07win prob +16 ptsVideo
    2-4
    17:00
  5. NYI
    C. Cizikas(9)
    C. Soucy (7), M. Gatcomb (4)
    wristxG 0.06win prob +7 ptsVideo
    2-5
    17:57

Penalties

FLA 6 PIM·NYI 2 PIM

1st

  • 17:04FLANolan Foote · High stickingdrawn by Kyle MacLean2 min

2nd

  • 2:21FLADonovan Sebrango · Interferencedrawn by Ondrej Palat2 min
  • 13:40FLAGustav Forsling · Trippingdrawn by Mathew Barzal2 min

3rd

  • 15:04NYICarson Soucy · Interferencedrawn by Eetu Luostarinen2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
NYI goalFLA goalFinal: NYI 100%

Biggest swing: Brayden Schenn, 2nd 12:09 — NYI 33% → 53%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
J. Pageau · Missed · xG 0.42M. Barzal · Missed · xG 0.32A. Lee · On goal · xG 0.32B. Schenn · On goal · xG 0.31M. Barzal · Missed · xG 0.29M. Schaefer · On goal · xG 0.24B. Schenn · Goal · xG 0.19M. Barzal · On goal · xG 0.18E. Heineman · Missed · xG 0.16C. Cizikas · On goal · xG 0.15K. MacLean · Missed · xG 0.15B. Horvat · On goal · xG 0.13S. Holmstrom · On goal · xG 0.13B. Schenn · On goal · xG 0.12C. Cizikas · On goal · xG 0.11S. Holmstrom · On goal · xG 0.11M. Barzal · Missed · xG 0.11A. Lee · Missed · xG 0.10B. Schenn · On goal · xG 0.10R. Pulock · On goal · xG 0.08E. Heineman · Goal · xG 0.07M. Schaefer · On goal · xG 0.07C. Cizikas · Goal · xG 0.06C. Cizikas · Missed · xG 0.06B. Horvat · On goal · xG 0.06A. Pelech · Missed · xG 0.05B. Horvat · On goal · xG 0.05E. Heineman · On goal · xG 0.05A. Boqvist · On goal · xG 0.05S. Holmstrom · Goal · xG 0.05M. Schaefer · On goal · xG 0.05B. Schenn · Missed · xG 0.05M. Schaefer · Missed · xG 0.04B. Horvat · On goal · xG 0.04A. Lee · Missed · xG 0.04M. Barzal · On goal · xG 0.04C. Soucy · On goal · xG 0.03A. Pelech · On goal · xG 0.03M. Barzal · Missed · xG 0.03E. Heineman · Missed · xG 0.03A. Lee · On goal · xG 0.03C. Cizikas · On goal · xG 0.02M. Gatcomb · Goal · xG 0.02A. Pelech · On goal · xG 0.02A. Lee · Missed · xG 0.02M. Schaefer · On goal · xG 0.02R. Pulock · On goal · xG 0.02E. Heineman · On goal · xG 0.02K. MacLean · Missed · xG 0.02A. Pelech · On goal · xG 0.02M. Barzal · Missed · xG 0.02K. MacLean · Missed · xG 0.02A. Pelech · Missed · xG 0.01R. Pulock · Missed · xG 0.01M. Schaefer · On goal · xG 0.01B. Schenn · On goal · xG 0.01A. Lee · Missed · xG 0.01M. Schaefer · Missed · xG 0.01O. Palat · On goal · xG 0.00R. Pulock · On goal · xG 0.00A. Pelech · On goal · xG 0.00R. Pulock · On goal · xG 0.00
NYI5 G · 5.0 xG · 62 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

FLAvsNYI
2.72 G
All situations
5 G5.0
1.82 G
Even strength
4 G3.8
0.80 G
Power play
1 G0.2
0.20 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 104 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
FLA31%69%NYI

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.69 – 3.91

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

FLAvsNYI
21
Shots on goal
40
35%
Faceoffs
65%
0/1
Power play
1/3
6
Penalty minutes
2
21
Hits
13
10
Blocked shots
18
17
Giveaways
17
4
Takeaways
3

Box score

every player line
Florida Panthers skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
3S. JonesD011+100.07110—25:21
5A. EkbladD000020.23110—24:07
19M. TkachukL202+140.43100—23:43
27E. LuostarinenC000+110.360003923:06
42G. ForslingD000030.13132—21:25
23C. VerhaegheC000+140.40010021:11
7D. KulikovD000+110.02110—20:18
11M. SamoskevichR000-210.24210—16:51
70J. BoqvistC000-110.112001314:50
20M. BenningD000-300.01010—14:30
6D. SebrangoD000-300.02302—14:29
92T. NosekL000-100.332004013:47
18N. GregorL000-220.25100—12:49
24V. HinostrozaC000-100.01000012:29
71L. KuninC000-100.001105011:27
29C. ReinhardtL000000.00300—11:12
25N. FooteL000-120.12202—10:56
53J. StudnickaC000000.00000007:32
Florida Panthers goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
40D. Tarasov(L)40355.8753.98-1.0254:45

Season series

NYI leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).