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Panthers at Islanders
NHL

Florida Panthers at New York Islanders

NHL scoreboard
Florida Panthers
4
New York Islanders
▸5
FinalTV ESPN, SN·UBS Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The New York Islanders beat the Florida Panthers 5-4. The Islanders came back from two goals down. It was tied 3-3 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Anders Lee's goal at 19:28 of the third period, which took the Islanders' chances from 52% to 99%. Expected goals favored the Panthers, 3.5 to 2.1; shots on goal were FLA 33, NYI 26. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Panthers win a replay of these chances 73% of the time. Sergei Bobrovsky stopped 21 of 26 (.808), 2.9 goals below expected; David Rittich stopped 29 of 33 (.879). Three stars: 1. Matthew Schaefer (2 G, 1 A), 2. Anders Lee (1 G), 3. Sam Bennett (2 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    NYI
    M. Schaefer2 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    NYI
    A. Lee1 G
  3. ★★★
    FLA
    S. Bennett2 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
FLAFLA2818117433
NYINYI1726213526

Scoring

9 goals

1st period

  1. FLA
    S. Vilmanis(3)
    A. Greer (11), S. Bobrovsky (2)
    backhandxG 0.06win prob +12 pts
    1-0
    3:44
  2. FLA
    S. Bennett(21)PPG
    A. Ekblad (19), M. Tkachuk (6)
    snapxG 0.06win prob +12 ptsVideo
    2-0
    14:54
  3. NYI
    M. Schaefer(19)
    R. Pulock (21), M. Barzal (38)
    slapxG 0.03win prob +16 ptsVideo
    2-1
    18:01

2nd period

  1. NYI
    C. Soucy(5)
    S. Holmstrom (19), T. DeAngelo (23)
    snapxG 0.14win prob +16 ptsVideo
    2-2
    7:28
  2. FLA
    S. Bennett(22)
    M. Tkachuk (7)
    backhandxG 0.02win prob +20 ptsVideo
    3-2
    12:04
  3. NYI
    B. Horvat(25)
    M. Schaefer (24)
    snapxG 0.02win prob +22 ptsVideo
    3-3
    17:14

3rd period

  1. NYI
    M. Schaefer(20)
    O. Palat (9)
    snapxG 0.09win prob +32 ptsVideo
    3-4
    10:29
  2. FLA
    S. Reinhart(28)
    A. Ekblad (20), M. Tkachuk (8)
    snapxG 0.05win prob +44 ptsVideo
    4-4
    18:02
  3. NYI
    A. Lee(14)
    T. DeAngelo (24), A. Pelech (8)
    wristxG 0.21win prob +47 ptsVideo
    4-5
    19:28

Penalties

FLA 2 PIM·NYI 6 PIM

1st

  • 14:48NYIRyan Pulock · Hookingdrawn by Matthew Tkachuk2 min

2nd

  • 6:04FLADonovan Sebrango · Holdingdrawn by Calum Ritchie2 min
  • 6:28NYIMatthew Schaefer · Interferencedrawn by Anton Lundell2 min

3rd

  • 0:33NYICalum Ritchie · Slashingdrawn by Eetu Luostarinen2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
NYI goalFLA goalFinal: NYI 100%

Biggest swing: Anders Lee, 3rd 19:28 — NYI 52% → 99%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
A. Lee · Goal · xG 0.21S. Holmstrom · On goal · xG 0.18A. Duclair · On goal · xG 0.15B. Horvat · Missed · xG 0.15C. Soucy · Goal · xG 0.14M. Barzal · On goal · xG 0.14O. Palat · On goal · xG 0.13O. Palat · On goal · xG 0.11M. Schaefer · Goal · xG 0.09M. Barzal · Missed · xG 0.09J. Pageau · On goal · xG 0.07B. Horvat · On goal · xG 0.06O. Palat · Missed · xG 0.06B. Horvat · Missed · xG 0.05B. Horvat · Missed · xG 0.05T. DeAngelo · Missed · xG 0.04M. Barzal · On goal · xG 0.04M. Schaefer · Goal · xG 0.03M. Schaefer · Missed · xG 0.02J. Pageau · On goal · xG 0.02C. Ritchie · Missed · xG 0.02B. Horvat · Goal · xG 0.02M. Schaefer · On goal · xG 0.02S. Mayfield · On goal · xG 0.02S. Mayfield · On goal · xG 0.02R. Pulock · Missed · xG 0.01C. Soucy · Missed · xG 0.01S. Mayfield · On goal · xG 0.01M. Barzal · On goal · xG 0.01T. DeAngelo · On goal · xG 0.01M. Schaefer · Missed · xG 0.01B. Horvat · On goal · xG 0.01M. Schaefer · On goal · xG 0.01K. MacLean · Missed · xG 0.01S. Mayfield · On goal · xG 0.01M. Schaefer · On goal · xG 0.01M. Barzal · On goal · xG 0.01M. Barzal · Missed · xG 0.00M. Barzal · On goal · xG 0.00
NYI5 G · 2.1 xG · 39 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

FLAvsNYI
3.54 G
All situations
5 G2.1
2.63 G
Even strength
5 G2.1
0.91 G
Power play
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 99 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
FLA73%27%NYI

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.38 – 2.05

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

FLAvsNYI
33
Shots on goal
26
51%
Faceoffs
49%
1/3
Power play
0/1
2
Penalty minutes
6
23
Hits
25
13
Blocked shots
17
12
Giveaways
15
5
Takeaways
6

Box score

every player line
Florida Panthers skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
5A. EkbladD022+110.03210—26:24
42G. ForslingD000-230.25120—26:11
77N. MikkolaD000-120.04010—23:03
13S. ReinhartC101-140.94100020:34
7D. KulikovD000-210.02100—20:27
9S. BennettC202-140.400006519:58
19M. TkachukL033-130.40110—19:16
15A. LundellC000+100.003005717:30
23C. VerhaegheC000-230.39010017:14
17E. RodriguesC000-220.100103617:11
63B. MarchandL000+110.16000—16:14
11M. SamoskevichR000-110.1611010015:43
27E. LuostarinenC000020.2540010015:24
6D. SebrangoD000010.02112—10:29
2J. PetryD000-110.01320—09:50
10A. GreerL011+110.11400—07:57
95S. VilmanisL101+120.10010—07:45
70J. BoqvistC000+110.131102507:44
Florida Panthers goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
72S. Bobrovsky(L)26215.8082.06-2.9459:06

Season series

NYI leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).