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Islanders at Panthers
NHL

New York Islanders at Florida Panthers

NHL scoreboard
New York Islanders
1
Florida Panthers
▸4
FinalTV MSGSN, SCRIPPS·Amerant Bank Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Florida Panthers beat the New York Islanders 4-1. The Panthers scored first and never trailed. The Panthers led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Mathew Barzal's goal at 9:03 of the second period, which took the Islanders' chances from 14% to 29%. Expected goals favored the Panthers, 3.1 to 1.9; shots on goal were NYI 21, FLA 30. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Panthers win a replay of these chances 58% of the time. David Rittich stopped 26 of 29 (.897), 0.8 goals below expected; Daniil Tarasov stopped 20 of 21 (.952), 0.9 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Carter Verhaeghe (1 G), 2. Daniil Tarasov (20 saves, .952), 3. Uvis Balinskis (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    FLA
    C. Verhaeghe1 G
  2. ★★
    FLA
    D. Tarasov20 saves, .952
  3. ★★★
    FLA
    U. Balinskis1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
NYINYI0101803121
FLAFLA11111128430

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. FLA
    U. Balinskis(1)
    M. Samoskevich (11), A. Greer (6)
    wristxG 0.01win prob +13 ptsVideo
    0-1
    12:14

2nd period

  1. FLA
    C. Verhaeghe(8)
    J. Petry (6)
    wristxG 0.09win prob +15 ptsVideo
    0-2
    7:05
  2. NYI
    M. Barzal(9)
    M. Schaefer (13), R. Pulock (14)
    backhandxG 0.04win prob +15 ptsVideo
    1-2
    9:03

3rd period

  1. FLA
    S. Jones(5)
    A. Lundell (15), S. Reinhart (12)
    wristxG 0.12win prob +9 ptsVideo
    1-3
    13:57
  2. FLA
    S. Reinhart(15)EN
    G. Forsling (13)
    wristxG 0.86Video
    1-4
    17:06

Penalties

NYI 6 PIM·FLA 6 PIM

2nd

  • 3:07NYIMatthew Schaefer · Interferencedrawn by Brad Marchand2 min
  • 11:21FLAA.J. Greer · Hookingdrawn by Scott Mayfield2 min

3rd

  • 2:38NYITravis Mitchell · Roughingdrawn by Noah Gregor2 min
  • 2:38FLANoah Gregor · Roughingdrawn by Travis Mitchell2 min
  • 13:28NYITravis Mitchell · Roughingdrawn by A.J. Greer2 min
  • 13:28FLAA.J. Greer · Roughingdrawn by Travis Mitchell2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
FLA goalNYI goalFinal: FLA 100%

Biggest swing: Mathew Barzal, 2nd 9:03 — NYI 14% → 29%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
S. Reinhart · Goal · xG 0.86A. Ekblad · On goal · xG 0.22B. Marchand · Missed · xG 0.17S. Bennett · On goal · xG 0.16A. Ekblad · On goal · xG 0.13S. Jones · Goal · xG 0.12A. Greer · Missed · xG 0.12M. Samoskevich · On goal · xG 0.11E. Luostarinen · Missed · xG 0.09S. Reinhart · On goal · xG 0.09C. Verhaeghe · Goal · xG 0.09S. Bennett · On goal · xG 0.08G. Forsling · On goal · xG 0.08N. Mikkola · On goal · xG 0.07S. Bennett · On goal · xG 0.06A. Lundell · On goal · xG 0.05C. Verhaeghe · On goal · xG 0.05B. Marchand · On goal · xG 0.05N. Gregor · Missed · xG 0.04J. Studnicka · On goal · xG 0.04E. Luostarinen · On goal · xG 0.04U. Balinskis · On goal · xG 0.03J. Studnicka · On goal · xG 0.03A. Greer · Missed · xG 0.03J. Petry · Missed · xG 0.03B. Marchand · Missed · xG 0.03J. Petry · On goal · xG 0.03M. Samoskevich · On goal · xG 0.02U. Balinskis · On goal · xG 0.02A. Ekblad · Missed · xG 0.02U. Balinskis · Missed · xG 0.02S. Bennett · On goal · xG 0.02C. Verhaeghe · On goal · xG 0.02M. Samoskevich · On goal · xG 0.02A. Greer · Missed · xG 0.01N. Mikkola · Missed · xG 0.01S. Jones · On goal · xG 0.01A. Ekblad · Missed · xG 0.01U. Balinskis · Goal · xG 0.01J. Petry · On goal · xG 0.01A. Lundell · On goal · xG 0.01B. Marchand · Missed · xG 0.01N. Gregor · Missed · xG 0.01A. Lundell · On goal · xG 0.00
FLA4 G · 3.1 xG · 44 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

NYIvsFLA
1.91 G
All situations
3 G3.1
1.51 G
Even strength
3 G2.0
0.40 G
Power play
0 G0.3

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 80 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
NYI42%58%FLA

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.83 – 2.25

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

NYIvsFLA
21
Shots on goal
30
49%
Faceoffs
51%
0/1
Power play
0/1
6
Penalty minutes
6
23
Hits
18
16
Blocked shots
16
13
Giveaways
12
4
Takeaways
6

Box score

every player line
New York Islanders skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
3A. PelechD000020.09010—23:07
48M. SchaeferD011-120.11032—22:38
77T. DeAngeloD000-120.03040—22:29
6R. PulockD011+110.01010—19:55
14B. HorvatC000-330.282104719:10
13M. BarzalC101-110.040005017:21
24S. MayfieldD000-200.00120—17:14
51E. HeinemanL000-130.09510—16:38
49M. ShabanovR000-210.00000—16:22
32K. MacLeanC000000.1920010014:26
10S. HolmstromR000-100.00000—14:13
27A. LeeL000030.4400010013:40
53C. CizikasC000010.263107013:34
64C. RitchieC000-100.100002213:33
38T. MitchellD000-200.00204—13:26
16M. GatcombC000020.09510013:10
11A. DuclairL000-200.03010—12:20
7M. TsyplakovR000+100.11300—11:22
New York Islanders goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
33D. Rittich(L)29263.8972.25-0.7559:22

Season series

NYI leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).