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Rangers at Maple Leafs
NHL

New York Rangers at Toronto Maple Leafs

NHL scoreboard
New York Rangers
3
Toronto Maple Leafs
▸4
FinalTV MSG, SN·Scotiabank Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Toronto Maple Leafs beat the New York Rangers 4-3. The Maple Leafs scored first and never trailed. The Maple Leafs led 3-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Nick Robertson's goal at 12:08 of the first period, which took the Maple Leafs' chances from 67% to 81%. Expected goals favored the Rangers, 3.2 to 1.5; shots on goal were NYR 43, TOR 18. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Rangers win a replay of these chances 78% of the time. Igor Shesterkin stopped 14 of 18 (.778), 2.5 goals below expected; Joseph Woll stopped 40 of 43 (.930). Three stars: 1. Joseph Woll (40 saves, .930), 2. Dakota Joshua (1 G, 1 A), 3. Mika Zibanejad (2 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    TOR
    J. Woll40 saves, .930
  2. ★★
    TOR
    D. Joshua1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    NYR
    M. Zibanejad2 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
NYRNYR014217112343
TORTOR2101414418

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. TOR
    J. McCabe(4)
    M. Maccelli (22), D. Joshua (6)
    wristxG 0.07win prob +12 ptsVideo
    0-1
    5:15
  2. TOR
    N. Robertson(14)
    M. Domi (23)
    snapxG 0.06win prob +14 ptsVideo
    0-2
    12:08

2nd period

  1. TOR
    D. Joshua(10)
    M. Maccelli (23), J. Woll (1)
    wristxG 0.07win prob +9 ptsVideo
    0-3
    5:41
  2. NYR
    A. Lafrenière(21)PPG
    J. Miller (28), A. Fox (33)
    wristxG 0.15win prob +6 ptsVideo
    1-3
    10:16
  3. NYR
    M. Zibanejad(31)PPG
    A. Lafrenière (28), A. Fox (34)
    snapxG 0.15win prob +14 ptsVideo
    2-3
    18:01

3rd period

  1. TOR
    J. Tavares(26)
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.04win prob +13 ptsVideo
    2-4
    11:57
  2. NYR
    M. Zibanejad(32)
    G. Perreault (14), A. Lafrenière (29)
    backhandxG 0.21win prob +11 ptsVideo
    3-4
    13:04

Penalties

NYR 4 PIM·TOR 8 PIM

1st

  • 16:55NYRMatthew Robertson · Holdingdrawn by Easton Cowan2 min

2nd

  • 1:22TORDakota Joshua · Cross checkingdrawn by Tye Kartye2 min
  • 9:55TORSimon Benoit · Roughingdrawn by Vincent Trocheck2 min
  • 17:02TOROliver Ekman-Larsson · Slashingdrawn by Will Cuylle2 min

3rd

  • 8:20NYRBraden Schneider · Holdingdrawn by William Nylander2 min
  • 19:40TORJake McCabe · Cross checkingdrawn by Gabe Perreault2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
TOR goalNYR goalFinal: TOR 100%

Biggest swing: Nick Robertson, 1st 12:08 — TOR 67% → 81%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
M. Domi · Missed · xG 0.20M. Maccelli · On goal · xG 0.16J. Tavares · On goal · xG 0.16J. Tavares · Missed · xG 0.13M. Knies · On goal · xG 0.11N. Robertson · On goal · xG 0.11S. Lorentz · On goal · xG 0.08J. McCabe · Goal · xG 0.07D. Joshua · Goal · xG 0.07N. Robertson · Goal · xG 0.06E. Cowan · Missed · xG 0.06M. Domi · Missed · xG 0.05J. Quillan · On goal · xG 0.04J. Tavares · Goal · xG 0.04M. Rielly · On goal · xG 0.04W. Nylander · On goal · xG 0.03O. Ekman-Larsson · Missed · xG 0.03C. Jarnkrok · On goal · xG 0.02S. Benoit · On goal · xG 0.02J. McCabe · Missed · xG 0.02S. Benoit · On goal · xG 0.01M. Domi · Missed · xG 0.01B. Carlo · On goal · xG 0.01J. Tavares · Missed · xG 0.00C. Jarnkrok · On goal · xG 0.00N. Robertson · On goal · xG 0.00B. Carlo · Missed · xG 0.00
TOR4 G · 1.5 xG · 27 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

NYRvsTOR
3.23 G
All situations
4 G1.5
2.31 G
Even strength
4 G1.2
0.92 G
Power play
0 G0.3

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 86 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
NYR78%22%TOR

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.17 – 1.53

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

NYRvsTOR
43
Shots on goal
18
56%
Faceoffs
44%
2/4
Power play
0/2
4
Penalty minutes
8
25
Hits
25
12
Blocked shots
17
15
Giveaways
13
3
Takeaways
5

Box score

every player line
New York Rangers skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
23A. FoxD022-210.04010—25:53
93M. ZibanejadC2020100.832004422:12
44V. GavrikovD000-210.09110—22:06
4B. SchneiderD000-110.01032—21:17
13A. LafrenièreL123070.5000010021:06
16V. TrocheckC000-220.245105319:44
8J. MillerC011-140.470007518:37
94G. PerreaultR011010.06000—17:41
17W. BorgenD000000.00130—16:48
29M. RobertsonD000-110.04202—16:34
50W. CuylleL000-170.36500—15:54
43C. ShearyL000-100.01000—14:45
24T. KartyeL000-120.09710—14:40
38A. SykoraL000-230.23010—13:33
6V. IorioD000000.00100—12:37
22J. BrodzinskiC000030.210005709:05
14T. RaddyshR000000.04010—07:53
49J. ChmelarR000-100.00100—07:25
New York Rangers goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
31I. Shesterkin(L)18144.7781.55-2.4558:10

Season series

TOR leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).