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Rangers at Maple Leafs
NHL

New York Rangers at Toronto Maple Leafs

NHL scoreboard
New York Rangers
1
Toronto Maple Leafs
▸2
Final/OTTV MSG, TSN4·Scotiabank Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Toronto Maple Leafs beat the New York Rangers 2-1 in overtime, Auston Matthews scoring at 0:58. The Maple Leafs scored first and never trailed. The Maple Leafs led 1-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Auston Matthews's goal at 0:58 of overtime, which took the Maple Leafs' chances from 51% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Rangers, 3.2 to 2.5; shots on goal were NYR 29, TOR 24. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Rangers win a replay of these chances 62% of the time. Igor Shesterkin stopped 22 of 24 (.917); Anthony Stolarz stopped 28 of 29 (.966), 2.2 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Anthony Stolarz (28 saves, .966), 2. Igor Shesterkin (22 saves, .917), 3. Auston Matthews (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    TOR
    A. Stolarz28 saves, .966
  2. ★★
    NYR
    I. Shesterkin22 saves, .917
  3. ★★★
    TOR
    A. Matthews1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
NYRNYR0100911000129
TORTOR190100411224

Scoring

3 goals

1st period

  1. TOR
    M. Knies(2)PPG
    W. Nylander (6), O. Ekman-Larsson (3)
    deflectedxG 0.33win prob +12 ptsVideo
    0-1
    11:48

3rd period

  1. NYR
    J. Parssinen(1)
    B. Schneider (2)
    tip-inxG 0.13win prob +26 ptsVideo
    1-1
    4:51

Overtime

  1. TOR
    A. Matthews(4)
    W. Nylander (7), M. Rielly (4)
    tip-inxG 0.14win prob +49 ptsVideo
    1-2
    0:58

Penalties

NYR 4 PIM·TOR 6 PIM

1st

  • 4:20NYRArtemi Panarin · Hookingdrawn by Jake McCabe2 min
  • 7:22TORDakota Joshua · Roughingdrawn by Will Cuylle2 min
  • 10:00NYRWill Cuylle · Hookingdrawn by John Tavares2 min
  • 15:43TORMatthew Knies · Trippingdrawn by Artemi Panarin2 min

2nd

  • 13:58TORSimon Benoit · Trippingdrawn by Conor Sheary2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
TOR goalNYR goalFinal: TOR 100%

Biggest swing: Auston Matthews, OT 0:58 — TOR 51% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
M. Knies · Goal · xG 0.33M. Knies · Missed · xG 0.21J. Tavares · On goal · xG 0.14A. Matthews · Goal · xG 0.13N. Robertson · On goal · xG 0.13M. Knies · On goal · xG 0.13M. Rielly · On goal · xG 0.12M. Domi · On goal · xG 0.12M. Domi · On goal · xG 0.12M. Knies · On goal · xG 0.11W. Nylander · On goal · xG 0.10J. Tavares · Missed · xG 0.09J. Tavares · Missed · xG 0.06M. Knies · On goal · xG 0.06W. Nylander · Missed · xG 0.06N. Robertson · On goal · xG 0.05B. Carlo · On goal · xG 0.05B. Carlo · On goal · xG 0.04M. Rielly · On goal · xG 0.04A. Matthews · On goal · xG 0.04E. Cowan · Missed · xG 0.04O. Ekman-Larsson · Missed · xG 0.03W. Nylander · On goal · xG 0.03W. Nylander · Missed · xG 0.03M. Domi · Missed · xG 0.02M. Rielly · Missed · xG 0.02E. Cowan · On goal · xG 0.02N. Robertson · On goal · xG 0.02M. Rielly · Missed · xG 0.02M. Domi · On goal · xG 0.02M. Domi · On goal · xG 0.02C. Jarnkrok · On goal · xG 0.01B. McMann · Missed · xG 0.01C. Tanev · On goal · xG 0.01E. Cowan · On goal · xG 0.01J. McCabe · Missed · xG 0.01J. Tavares · Missed · xG 0.01J. McCabe · Missed · xG 0.00
TOR2 G · 2.5 xG · 38 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

NYRvsTOR
3.21 G
All situations
2 G2.5
1.91 G
Even strength
1 G1.4
1.20 G
Power play
1 G1.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 83 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
NYR62%38%TOR

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.12 – 2.45

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

NYRvsTOR
29
Shots on goal
24
53%
Faceoffs
47%
0/3
Power play
1/2
4
Penalty minutes
6
22
Hits
18
10
Blocked shots
13
13
Giveaways
21
6
Takeaways
2

Box score

every player line
New York Rangers skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
23A. FoxD000-120.04010—25:36
44V. GavrikovD000020.12120—24:47
10A. PanarinL000-120.19202—22:42
93M. ZibanejadC000-120.460005321:41
8J. MillerC000020.591005721:12
13A. LafrenièreL000020.49000—19:31
4B. SchneiderD011+120.02110—19:17
43C. ShearyL000000.00000—17:41
17W. BorgenD000010.13010—16:22
50W. CuylleL000050.4930210016:21
29M. RobertsonD000000.00100—15:24
18U. VaakanainenD000+120.02100—13:44
73M. RempeC000030.25610012:34
39S. CarrickC000020.210204512:24
14T. RaddyshR000+100.00200—11:08
42N. LabaC000+100.001005010:24
84A. EdstromC000000.00110009:44
71J. ParssinenC101+120.14210008:41
New York Rangers goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
31I. Shesterkin(O)24222.9172.46+0.4660:51

Season series

TOR leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).