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Maple Leafs at Rangers
NHL

Toronto Maple Leafs at New York Rangers

NHL scoreboard
Toronto Maple Leafs
2
New York Rangers
▸6
FinalTV MSG, TSN4·Madison Square Garden

Recap

written from the game data

The New York Rangers beat the Toronto Maple Leafs 6-2. The Maple Leafs scored first; the Rangers answered. It was tied 2-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Alexis Lafrenière's goal at 5:38 of the third period, which took the Rangers' chances from 52% to 79%. Expected goals favored the Rangers, 3.4 to 3.1; shots on goal were TOR 32, NYR 24. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Maple Leafs win a replay of these chances 54% of the time. Joseph Woll stopped 18 of 23 (.783), 2.2 goals below expected; Igor Shesterkin stopped 30 of 32 (.938), 1.1 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Alexis Lafrenière (1 G, 2 A), 2. Will Cuylle (2 G), 3. Jaroslav Chmelar (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    NYR
    A. Lafrenière1 G, 2 A
  2. ★★
    NYR
    W. Cuylle2 G
  3. ★★★
    NYR
    J. Chmelar1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
TORTOR110112010232
NYRNYR1419411624

Scoring

8 goals

1st period

  1. TOR
    M. Maccelli(12)
    W. Nylander (37)
    wristxG 0.26win prob +11 ptsVideo
    1-0
    0:13
  2. NYR
    W. Cuylle(14)
    B. Schneider (10)
    tip-inxG 0.06win prob +12 ptsVideo
    1-1
    6:45

2nd period

  1. TOR
    E. Cowan(8)
    M. Knies (35), J. Tavares (30)
    wristxG 0.04win prob +17 ptsVideo
    2-1
    5:27
  2. NYR
    V. Gavrikov(11)PPG
    T. Raddysh (7), J. Brodzinski (7)
    snapxG 0.34win prob +15 ptsVideo
    2-2
    7:29

3rd period

  1. NYR
    A. Lafrenière(14)
    M. Zibanejad (30)
    tip-inxG 0.16win prob +27 ptsVideo
    2-3
    5:38
  2. NYR
    J. Chmelar(1)
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.13win prob +13 ptsVideo
    2-4
    10:27
  3. NYR
    M. Zibanejad(25)
    A. Lafrenière (22), A. Fox (25)
    slapxG 0.09win prob +3 ptsVideo
    2-5
    11:19
  4. NYR
    W. Cuylle(15)EN
    A. Lafrenière (23), M. Zibanejad (31)
    wristxG 0.55Video
    2-6
    17:09

Penalties

TOR 4 PIM·NYR 2 PIM

1st

  • 0:38TORMatias Maccelli · Slashingdrawn by Will Borgen2 min
  • 15:34NYRJuuso Parssinen · Hookingdrawn by Max Domi2 min

2nd

  • 6:06TORMorgan Rielly · Hookingdrawn by Vincent Iorio2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
NYR goalTOR goalFinal: NYR 100%

Biggest swing: Alexis Lafrenière, 3rd 5:38 — NYR 52% → 79%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
W. Cuylle · Goal · xG 0.55V. Gavrikov · Goal · xG 0.34M. Zibanejad · Missed · xG 0.20G. Perreault · Missed · xG 0.17A. Lafrenière · Goal · xG 0.16A. Lafrenière · On goal · xG 0.15W. Cuylle · Missed · xG 0.13J. Chmelar · Goal · xG 0.13V. Iorio · On goal · xG 0.12A. Lafrenière · Missed · xG 0.11G. Perreault · On goal · xG 0.10M. Zibanejad · Goal · xG 0.09N. Laba · Missed · xG 0.09W. Cuylle · On goal · xG 0.09J. Brodzinski · On goal · xG 0.08T. Raddysh · On goal · xG 0.08W. Cuylle · On goal · xG 0.08T. Kartye · Missed · xG 0.07N. Laba · Missed · xG 0.07W. Cuylle · Missed · xG 0.07W. Cuylle · Goal · xG 0.06A. Fox · On goal · xG 0.06C. Sheary · Missed · xG 0.05A. Lafrenière · On goal · xG 0.05M. Zibanejad · Missed · xG 0.05A. Lafrenière · Missed · xG 0.04T. Raddysh · On goal · xG 0.04V. Iorio · On goal · xG 0.02B. Schneider · On goal · xG 0.02M. Zibanejad · On goal · xG 0.02W. Cuylle · On goal · xG 0.01M. Robertson · On goal · xG 0.01B. Schneider · Missed · xG 0.01V. Iorio · On goal · xG 0.01J. Chmelar · Missed · xG 0.01B. Schneider · On goal · xG 0.01V. Gavrikov · On goal · xG 0.01
NYR6 G · 3.4 xG · 37 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

TORvsNYR
3.12 G
All situations
5 G3.4
2.32 G
Even strength
4 G2.3
0.80 G
Power play
1 G0.6

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 82 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
TOR54%46%NYR

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.02 – 2.77

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

TORvsNYR
32
Shots on goal
24
54%
Faceoffs
46%
0/1
Power play
1/2
4
Penalty minutes
2
27
Hits
22
24
Blocked shots
9
12
Giveaways
13
3
Takeaways
5

Box score

every player line
Toronto Maple Leafs skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
44M. RiellyD000-120.09002—20:47
34A. MatthewsC000040.422107720:46
28T. StecherD000-100.00010—20:25
22J. McCabeD000-210.02150—20:23
25B. CarloD000+120.02340—19:48
63M. MaccelliL101-120.50002—19:32
51P. MyersD000-100.00150—18:26
88W. NylanderR011-120.08010—18:18
23M. KniesL011030.32100—17:39
91J. TavaresC011-120.400003617:11
53E. CowanR101+130.16200—16:48
2S. BenoitD000-110.01520—15:36
89N. RobertsonL000-340.3310010014:42
81D. JoshuaC000-310.11820013:27
11M. DomiC000-220.320105613:09
19C. JarnkrokC000010.03100011:40
18S. LorentzC000010.14100011:07
26J. QuillanC000-110.131203309:53
Toronto Maple Leafs goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
60J. Woll(L)23185.7832.81-2.1957:00

Season series

TOR leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).