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Ottawa Senators at New York Rangers

FinalTV NHLN, MSG·Madison Square Garden

Recap

written from the game data

The Ottawa Senators beat the New York Rangers 2-1. The Senators scored first and never trailed. The Senators led 2-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Warren Foegele's goal at 6:46 of the second period, which took the Senators' chances from 64% to 82%. Expected goals favored the Senators, 2.9 to 1.4; shots on goal were OTT 33, NYR 10. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Senators win a replay of these chances 77% of the time. James Reimer stopped 9 of 10 (.900); Igor Shesterkin stopped 31 of 33 (.939), 0.9 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Warren Foegele (1 G), 2. Shane Pinto (1 G), 3. Igor Shesterkin (31 saves, .939).

Three stars

  1. ★
    OTT
    W. Foegele1 G
  2. ★★
    OTT
    S. Pinto1 G
  3. ★★★
    NYR
    I. Shesterkin31 saves, .939

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
OTTOTT11311307233
NYRNYR030215110

Scoring

3 goals

1st period

  1. OTT
    S. Pinto(19)PPG
    C. Giroux (32), J. Spence (20)
    wristxG 0.08win prob +11 ptsVideo
    1-0
    6:30

2nd period

  1. OTT
    snapxG 0.16win prob +17 ptsVideo
    2-0
    6:46

3rd period

  1. NYR
    wristxG 0.17win prob +16 ptsVideo
    2-1
    7:03

Penalties

OTT 8 PIM·NYR 16 PIM

1st

  • 4:59NYRTaylor Raddysh · Hookingdrawn by Drake Batherson2 min
  • 15:29OTTNick Cousins · High stickingdrawn by Will Borgen2 min
  • 18:03NYRJuuso Parssinen · Delaying game puck over glass2 min

2nd

  • 7:02NYRJ.T. Miller · High sticking double minordrawn by Artem Zub4 min
  • 13:41OTTserved by F. Zetterlund · Too many men on the ice2 min
  • 17:21NYRConnor Mackey · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
  • 19:16NYRVincent Trocheck · Trippingdrawn by Shane Pinto2 min

3rd

  • 3:27OTTArtem Zub · Slashingdrawn by J.T. Miller2 min
  • 15:54OTTNikolas Matinpalo · Unsportsmanlike conductdrawn by Vincent Trocheck2 min
  • 15:54NYRVincent Trocheck · High sticking double minordrawn by Nikolas Matinpalo4 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
NYR goalOTT goalFinal: NYR 0%

Biggest swing: Warren Foegele, 2nd 6:46 — OTT 64% → 82%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
C. Sheary · Goal · xG 0.18M. Zibanejad · On goal · xG 0.12W. Cuylle · On goal · xG 0.12J. Parssinen · On goal · xG 0.10V. Trocheck · On goal · xG 0.09M. Zibanejad · Missed · xG 0.08T. Kartye · Missed · xG 0.08V. Trocheck · On goal · xG 0.07J. Chmelar · Missed · xG 0.07J. Miller · Missed · xG 0.07T. Raddysh · Missed · xG 0.06M. Zibanejad · On goal · xG 0.06T. Kartye · Missed · xG 0.05B. Schneider · Missed · xG 0.04A. Edstrom · Missed · xG 0.04C. Mackey · On goal · xG 0.04M. Zibanejad · On goal · xG 0.03V. Gavrikov · Missed · xG 0.02M. Zibanejad · Missed · xG 0.02J. Miller · Missed · xG 0.01B. Schneider · On goal · xG 0.01W. Borgen · Missed · xG 0.01A. Lafrenière · Missed · xG 0.01W. Cuylle · Missed · xG 0.01A. Fox · Missed · xG 0.00
NYR1 G · 1.4 xG · 25 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

OTTvsNYR
2.92 G
All situations
1 G1.4
1.51 G
Even strength
1 G1.1
1.21 G
Power play
0 G0.3
0.20 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 67 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
OTT77%23%NYR

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.85 – 1.37

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

OTTvsNYR
33
Shots on goal
10
38%
Faceoffs
62%
1/7
Power play
0/3
8
Penalty minutes
16
20
Hits
39
12
Blocked shots
8
16
Giveaways
17
5
Takeaways
4

Box score

every player line
Ottawa Senators skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
10J. SpenceD011-110.14420—26:44
43T. KlevenD000+160.16100—24:30
2A. ZubD000010.02022—23:44
18T. StützleC000010.22100022:16
7B. TkachukL000030.305001319:41
19D. BathersonR000020.37100—18:33
33N. MatinpaloD000020.05142—18:19
24D. CozensC000040.310004017:10
71R. GreigC000000.000106716:40
12S. PintoC101-140.451006716:39
28C. GirouxR011000.000006315:45
22M. AmadioR000-100.02210—14:05
37W. FoegeleL101+130.35200—12:17
20F. ZetterlundL000+120.33000—12:07
89L. EllerC011+110.151102911:01
72T. ChabotD000010.04010—10:21
21N. CousinsC000-100.00102009:53
60L. ThomsonD000020.02000—04:25
Ottawa Senators goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
47J. Reimer(W)1091.9001.38+0.3859:50

Season series

OTT leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).