Ottawa Senators at New York Rangers
Recap
written from the game dataThe Ottawa Senators beat the New York Rangers 8-4. The Senators scored first and never trailed. The Senators led 6-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Nick Jensen's goal at 4:53 of the first period, which took the Senators' chances from 58% to 73%. Expected goals favored the Senators, 3.8 to 1.7; shots on goal were OTT 30, NYR 22. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Senators win a replay of these chances 72% of the time. Leevi Meriläinen stopped 18 of 22 (.818), 2.3 goals below expected; Jonathan Quick stopped 11 of 17 (.647), 4.0 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Brady Tkachuk (1 G, 3 A), 2. Dylan Cozens (1 G, 2 A), 3. Ridly Greig (3 A).
Three stars
- ★B. Tkachuk1 G, 3 A

- ★★D. Cozens1 G, 2 A

- ★★★R. Greig3 A

Line score
goals · shots on goal beneathScoring
12 goals1st period
1-02:18
2-04:53
3-015:01
4-019:54
2nd period
5-05:57
6-012:23
6-118:55
3rd period
6-25:26
7-28:20
7-310:44
7-415:58
8-419:11
Penalties
1st
- 1:33
Vincent Trocheck · Holdingdrawn by Ridly Greig2 min
2nd
- 20:00
Vincent Trocheck · High stickingdrawn by Thomas Chabot2 min
3rd
- 8:55
David Perron · Interferencedrawn by Brennan Othmann2 min
- 15:58
Noah Laba · High stickingdrawn by Brady Tkachuk2 min
Win probability
ours · the whole gameBiggest swing: Nick Jensen, 1st 4:53 — 58% → 73%
Shot map
unblocked attempts · size = our xGExpected goals
- 3.87 G
- All situations
- 4 G1.7
- 1.46 G
- Even strength
- 3 G1.4
- 1.51 G
- Power play
- 1 G0.3
Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 73 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.
Deserve to win
on the chances createdFlurry-adjusted xG 2.82 – 1.69
How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.
Team stats
- 30
- Shots on goal
- 22
- 34%
- Faceoffs
- 66%
- 1/3
- Power play
- 1/1
- 2
- Penalty minutes
- 6
- 13
- Hits
- 38
- 16
- Blocked shots
- 20
- 12
- Giveaways
- 24
- 3
- Takeaways
- 6
Box score
every player line
Season series
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).




















