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Ottawa Senators at New York Rangers

FinalTV MSG, SN·Madison Square Garden

Recap

written from the game data

The Ottawa Senators beat the New York Rangers 8-4. The Senators scored first and never trailed. The Senators led 6-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Nick Jensen's goal at 4:53 of the first period, which took the Senators' chances from 58% to 73%. Expected goals favored the Senators, 3.8 to 1.7; shots on goal were OTT 30, NYR 22. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Senators win a replay of these chances 72% of the time. Leevi Meriläinen stopped 18 of 22 (.818), 2.3 goals below expected; Jonathan Quick stopped 11 of 17 (.647), 4.0 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Brady Tkachuk (1 G, 3 A), 2. Dylan Cozens (1 G, 2 A), 3. Ridly Greig (3 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    OTT
    B. Tkachuk1 G, 3 A
  2. ★★
    OTT
    D. Cozens1 G, 2 A
  3. ★★★
    OTT
    R. Greig3 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
OTTOTT41426210830
NYRNYR0616310422

Scoring

12 goals

1st period

  1. OTT
    wristxG 0.59win prob +9 ptsVideo
    1-0
    2:18
  2. OTT
    R. Greig (11), D. Cozens (21)
    slapxG 0.01win prob +15 ptsVideo
    2-0
    4:53
  3. OTT
    snapxG 0.10win prob +11 ptsVideo
    3-0
    15:01
  4. OTT
    R. Greig (13), B. Tkachuk (15)
    wristxG 0.11win prob +6 ptsVideo
    4-0
    19:54

2nd period

  1. OTT
    A. Zub (11), N. Cousins (5)
    snapxG 0.05win prob +2 ptsVideo
    5-0
    5:57
  2. OTT
    slapxG 0.03Video
    6-0
    12:23
  3. NYR
    backhandxG 0.11Video
    6-1
    18:55

3rd period

  1. NYR
    backhandxG 0.49Video
    6-2
    5:26
  2. OTT
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.09Video
    7-2
    8:20
  3. NYR
    N. Laba(6)PPG
    tip-inxG 0.16Video
    7-3
    10:44
  4. NYR
    wristxG 0.05Video
    7-4
    15:58
  5. OTT
    wristxG 0.90Video
    8-4
    19:11

Penalties

OTT 2 PIM·NYR 6 PIM

1st

  • 1:33NYRVincent Trocheck · Holdingdrawn by Ridly Greig2 min

2nd

  • 20:00NYRVincent Trocheck · High stickingdrawn by Thomas Chabot2 min

3rd

  • 8:55OTTDavid Perron · Interferencedrawn by Brennan Othmann2 min
  • 15:58NYRNoah Laba · High stickingdrawn by Brady Tkachuk2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
NYR goalOTT goalFinal: NYR 0%

Biggest swing: Nick Jensen, 1st 4:53 — OTT 58% → 73%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
G. Perreault · Goal · xG 0.50N. Laba · Goal · xG 0.16J. Miller · On goal · xG 0.13M. Zibanejad · On goal · xG 0.11W. Cuylle · On goal · xG 0.11G. Perreault · Goal · xG 0.11A. Panarin · Missed · xG 0.06V. Gavrikov · Missed · xG 0.05A. Panarin · On goal · xG 0.05V. Gavrikov · On goal · xG 0.05A. Lafrenière · Goal · xG 0.05B. Othmann · On goal · xG 0.05A. Lafrenière · On goal · xG 0.05S. Carrick · Missed · xG 0.03B. Schneider · Missed · xG 0.03S. Carrick · On goal · xG 0.02A. Panarin · Missed · xG 0.02M. Zibanejad · On goal · xG 0.02J. Brodzinski · Missed · xG 0.02J. Brodzinski · On goal · xG 0.02M. Robertson · Missed · xG 0.01T. Raddysh · Missed · xG 0.01C. Soucy · Missed · xG 0.01A. Panarin · On goal · xG 0.01S. Morrow · On goal · xG 0.01V. Gavrikov · On goal · xG 0.01M. Zibanejad · On goal · xG 0.00M. Zibanejad · On goal · xG 0.00C. Soucy · On goal · xG 0.00B. Schneider · On goal · xG 0.00M. Zibanejad · On goal · xG 0.00
NYR4 G · 1.7 xG · 31 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

OTTvsNYR
3.87 G
All situations
4 G1.7
1.46 G
Even strength
3 G1.4
1.51 G
Power play
1 G0.3

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 73 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
OTT72%28%NYR

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.82 – 1.69

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

OTTvsNYR
30
Shots on goal
22
34%
Faceoffs
66%
1/3
Power play
1/1
2
Penalty minutes
6
13
Hits
38
16
Blocked shots
20
12
Giveaways
24
3
Takeaways
6

Box score

every player line
Ottawa Senators skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
72T. ChabotD101+220.05100—23:12
85J. SandersonD112010.21050—21:09
3N. JensenD112+220.05020—20:37
10J. SpenceD000+100.02020—19:44
18T. StützleC101031.181005017:43
12S. PintoC000-120.260003617:32
19D. BathersonR101-110.651103317:31
2A. ZubD011+140.08010—17:10
71R. GreigC033+200.00110016:35
28C. GirouxR000010.011004316:21
43T. KlevenD000+210.01010—16:02
22M. AmadioR000-100.00000—16:01
89L. EllerC000+300.010103613:37
24D. CozensC123+240.551001713:30
57D. PerronL112+310.15002—13:28
7B. TkachukL134+360.4820010013:17
20F. ZetterlundL000-110.08510—12:29
21N. CousinsC022+310.03010012:13
Ottawa Senators goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
1L. Meriläinen(W)22184.8181.70-2.3060:00

Season series

OTT leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).