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Rangers at Senators
NHL

New York Rangers at Ottawa Senators

NHL scoreboard
New York Rangers
▸4
Ottawa Senators
2
FinalTV MSG, TSN5·Canadian Tire Centre

Recap

written from the game data

The New York Rangers beat the Ottawa Senators 4-2. The Rangers scored first and never trailed. The Rangers led 3-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Will Borgen's goal at 7:24 of the second period, which took the Rangers' chances from 65% to 82%. Expected goals favored the Rangers, 4.2 to 2.5; shots on goal were NYR 28, OTT 27. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Senators win a replay of these chances 54% of the time. Igor Shesterkin stopped 25 of 27 (.926); Leevi Meriläinen stopped 24 of 27 (.889), 0.7 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Igor Shesterkin (25 saves, .926), 2. Artemi Panarin (1 G, 1 A), 3. Jake Sanderson (2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    NYR
    I. Shesterkin25 saves, .926
  2. ★★
    NYR
    A. Panarin1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    OTT
    J. Sanderson2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
NYRNYR2911316428
OTTOTT1110719227

Scoring

6 goals

1st period

  1. NYR
    M. Zibanejad(10)
    J. Miller (8), A. Panarin (21)
    wristxG 0.13win prob +12 ptsVideo
    1-0
    3:19
  2. NYR
    V. Gavrikov(6)
    B. Schneider (5), J. Miller (9)
    snapxG 0.05win prob +16 ptsVideo
    2-0
    9:45
  3. OTT
    D. Cozens(9)PPG
    D. Batherson (14), J. Sanderson (16)
    wristxG 0.08win prob +13 ptsVideo
    2-1
    18:30

2nd period

  1. NYR
    W. Borgen(2)
    C. Soucy (3), J. Brodzinski (3)
    wristxG 0.03win prob +17 ptsVideo
    3-1
    7:24

3rd period

  1. OTT
    D. Batherson(10)PPG
    B. Tkachuk (6), J. Sanderson (17)
    deflectedxG 0.14win prob +11 ptsVideo
    3-2
    13:08
  2. NYR
    A. Panarin(9)EN
    J. Miller (10), V. Trocheck (8)
    snapxG 0.29win prob +3 ptsVideo
    4-2
    19:16

Penalties

NYR 6 PIM·OTT 2 PIM

1st

  • 17:43NYRWill Cuylle · Holdingdrawn by David Perron2 min

2nd

  • 12:13OTTTim Stützle · Cross checkingdrawn by Vincent Trocheck2 min

3rd

  • 8:50NYRWill Borgen · Elbowingdrawn by Michael Amadio2 min
  • 12:09NYRJ.T. Miller · Slashingdrawn by Jake Sanderson2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
OTT goalNYR goalFinal: OTT 0%

Biggest swing: Will Borgen, 2nd 7:24 — NYR 65% → 82%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
B. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.27D. Batherson · Goal · xG 0.14D. Perron · Missed · xG 0.13C. Giroux · Missed · xG 0.13T. Stützle · On goal · xG 0.12D. Cozens · On goal · xG 0.11R. Greig · Missed · xG 0.11D. Perron · Missed · xG 0.10B. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.09D. Cozens · Goal · xG 0.08N. Cousins · On goal · xG 0.08T. Stützle · On goal · xG 0.07D. Perron · On goal · xG 0.07F. Zetterlund · On goal · xG 0.07B. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.07B. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.06D. Batherson · On goal · xG 0.06D. Batherson · Missed · xG 0.06M. Amadio · Missed · xG 0.06D. Perron · On goal · xG 0.06D. Cozens · On goal · xG 0.05J. Sanderson · On goal · xG 0.05N. Matinpalo · Missed · xG 0.04J. Sanderson · On goal · xG 0.04T. Stützle · Missed · xG 0.04D. Perron · On goal · xG 0.04D. Batherson · On goal · xG 0.03D. Batherson · Missed · xG 0.03J. Sanderson · Missed · xG 0.02B. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.02S. Halliday · On goal · xG 0.02S. Halliday · On goal · xG 0.02S. Halliday · Missed · xG 0.02N. Matinpalo · On goal · xG 0.02B. Tkachuk · Missed · xG 0.02N. Jensen · On goal · xG 0.02N. Matinpalo · On goal · xG 0.02D. Batherson · Missed · xG 0.01D. Batherson · Missed · xG 0.01B. Tkachuk · Missed · xG 0.01D. Batherson · On goal · xG 0.01J. Spence · On goal · xG 0.01D. Batherson · Missed · xG 0.00
OTT2 G · 2.5 xG · 43 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

NYRvsOTT
4.23 G
All situations
2 G2.5
2.23 G
Even strength
0 G2.1
0.00 G
Power play
2 G0.4
0.10 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 83 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
NYR46%54%OTT

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.23 – 2.43

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

NYRvsOTT
28
Shots on goal
27
55%
Faceoffs
45%
0/1
Power play
2/3
6
Penalty minutes
2
20
Hits
29
13
Blocked shots
17
18
Giveaways
13
2
Takeaways
6

Box score

every player line
New York Rangers skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
44V. GavrikovD101+310.05000—25:16
4B. SchneiderD011+300.00110—24:05
16V. TrocheckC011+220.032105721:12
8J. MillerC033+310.401025620:56
93M. ZibanejadC101+150.500004019:46
10A. PanarinL112+221.61000—19:21
17W. BorgenD101+120.06202—18:43
24C. SoucyD011+100.02120—16:37
29M. RobertsonD000020.24020—16:21
13A. LafrenièreL000030.22000—16:19
60S. MorrowD000010.03000—15:27
43C. ShearyL000020.06020—15:03
42N. LabaC000020.244007813:48
50W. CuylleL000010.0563210013:18
65B. BerardL000+110.09110—11:58
22J. BrodzinskiC011+100.10100010:55
14T. RaddyshR000+100.00000—08:53
39S. CarrickC000+130.471105008:16
New York Rangers goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
31I. Shesterkin(W)27252.9262.47+0.4760:00

Season series

OTT leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).