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Los Angeles Kings at Utah Mammoth

Final/OTTV FDSNSC, Utah16·Delta Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Utah Mammoth beat the Los Angeles Kings 4-3 in overtime, Nick Schmaltz scoring at 1:46. The Mammoth scored first and never trailed. The Mammoth led 3-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Nick Schmaltz's goal at 1:46 of overtime, which took the Mammoth's chances from 51% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Mammoth, 3.6 to 3.1; shots on goal were LAK 36, UTA 34. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Mammoth win a replay of these chances 56% of the time. Darcy Kuemper stopped 30 of 34 (.882); Karel Vejmelka stopped 33 of 36 (.917). Three stars: 1. Nick Schmaltz (2 G), 2. Lawson Crouse (2 G, 1 A), 3. Jack McBain.

Three stars

  1. ★
    UTA
    N. Schmaltz2 G
  2. ★★
    UTA
    L. Crouse2 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    UTA
    J. McBain

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
LAKLAK21201011400336
UTAUTA2151601211434

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. UTA
    snapxG 0.23win prob +12 ptsVideo
    0-1
    7:04
  2. LAK
    snapxG 0.08win prob +12 ptsVideo
    1-1
    7:40
  3. UTA
    snapxG 0.09win prob +13 ptsVideo
    1-2
    9:19
  4. LAK
    Unassisted
    snapxG 0.03win prob +13 ptsVideo
    2-2
    9:47

2nd period

  1. UTA
    C. Keller (46), L. Crouse (18)
    batxG 0.03win prob +21 ptsVideo
    2-3
    16:11

3rd period

  1. LAK
    wristxG 0.02win prob +38 ptsVideo
    3-3
    16:30

Overtime

  1. UTA
    snapxG 0.14win prob +49 ptsVideo
    3-4
    1:46

Penalties

LAK 2 PIM·UTA 2 PIM

3rd

  • 0:16LAKMikey Anderson · Cross checkingdrawn by Clayton Keller2 min
  • 14:22UTAIan Cole · Trippingdrawn by Quinton Byfield2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
UTA goalLAK goalFinal: UTA 100%

Biggest swing: Nick Schmaltz, OT 1:46 — UTA 51% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
L. Crouse · On goal · xG 0.34N. Schmaltz · On goal · xG 0.28J. McBain · On goal · xG 0.23L. Crouse · Goal · xG 0.23C. Keller · Missed · xG 0.22K. Stenlund · On goal · xG 0.17C. Keller · Missed · xG 0.16N. Schmaltz · On goal · xG 0.15N. Schmaltz · Goal · xG 0.14N. Schmaltz · On goal · xG 0.13M. Carcone · On goal · xG 0.13C. Keller · On goal · xG 0.12D. Guenther · Missed · xG 0.12I. Cole · On goal · xG 0.11I. Cole · On goal · xG 0.11C. Keller · On goal · xG 0.10L. Crouse · Goal · xG 0.09M. Carcone · On goal · xG 0.09K. Yamamoto · On goal · xG 0.07I. Cole · On goal · xG 0.06L. Crouse · On goal · xG 0.05C. Keller · On goal · xG 0.05J. Peterka · On goal · xG 0.03N. Schmaltz · Goal · xG 0.03N. Schmaltz · On goal · xG 0.03J. McBain · Missed · xG 0.03J. McBain · On goal · xG 0.03L. Cooley · Missed · xG 0.03M. Sergachev · Missed · xG 0.02S. Durzi · Missed · xG 0.02J. Marino · On goal · xG 0.02L. Crouse · Missed · xG 0.02J. McBain · On goal · xG 0.02I. Cole · Missed · xG 0.02N. Schmidt · On goal · xG 0.02M. Weegar · On goal · xG 0.01K. Yamamoto · On goal · xG 0.01M. Weegar · On goal · xG 0.01M. Carcone · Missed · xG 0.01D. Guenther · Missed · xG 0.01B. Hayton · Missed · xG 0.01C. Keller · On goal · xG 0.01K. Stenlund · Missed · xG 0.01N. Schmaltz · On goal · xG 0.01D. Guenther · On goal · xG 0.01L. Crouse · On goal · xG 0.00A. Kerfoot · On goal · xG 0.00
UTA4 G · 3.6 xG · 47 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

LAKvsUTA
3.13 G
All situations
4 G3.6
2.83 G
Even strength
4 G2.9
0.30 G
Power play
0 G0.6

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 104 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
LAK44%56%UTA

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.10 – 3.45

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

LAKvsUTA
36
Shots on goal
34
55%
Faceoffs
45%
0/1
Power play
0/1
2
Penalty minutes
2
30
Hits
31
14
Blocked shots
20
16
Giveaways
16
5
Takeaways
7

Box score

every player line
Los Angeles Kings skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
8D. DoughtyD011010.02300—27:51
44M. AndersonD000010.02412—24:18
55Q. ByfieldR112030.351006221:01
10A. PanarinL101040.41110—20:58
14A. LaferriereR101010.27600—20:48
92B. ClarkeD000+260.24030—20:44
11A. KopitarC000030.270205220:10
6J. EdmundsonD000+310.14110—20:08
12T. MooreL000+250.43100—20:04
9A. KempeR000010.28000—18:21
21S. LaughtonC000040.451206014:53
5C. CeciD000-310.01000—13:56
53J. WrightR000-110.11000—13:14
2B. DumoulinD000-310.03110—12:59
17M. JosephR000010.05300—12:17
40J. ArmiaR000-110.01110—08:15
15A. TurcotteC000-110.0431010006:51
79S. HeleniusC000-100.004105006:30
Los Angeles Kings goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
35D. Kuemper(O)34304.8823.55-0.4561:46

Season series

UTA leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).