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Los Angeles Kings at Utah Mammoth

FinalTV FDSNW, Utah16·Delta Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Los Angeles Kings beat the Utah Mammoth 4-2. The Kings scored first and never trailed. The Kings led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Anze Kopitar's goal at 3:27 of the third period, which took the Kings' chances from 74% to 91%. Expected goals favored the Kings, 3.7 to 2.1; shots on goal were LAK 27, UTA 21. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Kings win a replay of these chances 56% of the time. Darcy Kuemper stopped 19 of 21 (.905); Karel Vejmelka stopped 23 of 26 (.885), 0.5 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Adrian Kempe (1 G, 1 A), 2. Clayton Keller (1 G, 1 A), 3. Joel Armia (2 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    LAK
    A. Kempe1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    UTA
    C. Keller1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    LAK
    J. Armia2 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
LAKLAK2120728427
UTAUTA071618221

Scoring

6 goals

1st period

  1. LAK
    backhandxG 0.25win prob +13 ptsVideo
    1-0
    7:50
  2. LAK
    snapxG 0.12win prob +16 ptsVideo
    2-0
    10:08

2nd period

  1. UTA
    slapxG 0.06win prob +15 ptsVideo
    2-1
    0:34

3rd period

  1. LAK
    backhandxG 0.23win prob +17 ptsVideo
    3-1
    3:27
  2. UTA
    backhandxG 0.04win prob +13 ptsVideo
    3-2
    12:15
  3. LAK
    Unassisted
    snapxG 0.50win prob +5 ptsVideo
    4-2
    18:22

Penalties

LAK 8 PIM·UTA 2 PIM

1st

  • 2:08UTADaniil But · Hookingdrawn by Quinton Byfield2 min
  • 5:11LAKWarren Foegele · Hookingdrawn by Sean Durzi2 min
  • 18:43LAKAndrei Kuzmenko · Interferencedrawn by Dylan Guenther2 min

2nd

  • 1:35LAKAdrian Kempe · Trippingdrawn by Michael Carcone2 min

3rd

  • 19:31LAKDrew Doughty · Cross checkingdrawn by JJ Peterka2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
UTA goalLAK goalFinal: UTA 0%

Biggest swing: Anze Kopitar, 3rd 3:27 — LAK 74% → 91%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
L. Crouse · Missed · xG 0.24D. But · Missed · xG 0.16N. Schmaltz · On goal · xG 0.15K. Stenlund · Missed · xG 0.14N. Schmaltz · Missed · xG 0.14N. Schmaltz · On goal · xG 0.14M. Carcone · On goal · xG 0.11S. Durzi · Missed · xG 0.11D. But · On goal · xG 0.10D. But · On goal · xG 0.10B. Hayton · On goal · xG 0.09S. Durzi · On goal · xG 0.08B. Hayton · On goal · xG 0.08L. Crouse · Missed · xG 0.07D. Guenther · Goal · xG 0.06C. Keller · Goal · xG 0.04J. Peterka · Missed · xG 0.04S. Durzi · Missed · xG 0.04K. Stenlund · Missed · xG 0.03D. But · Missed · xG 0.03S. Durzi · On goal · xG 0.03S. Durzi · On goal · xG 0.03C. Keller · On goal · xG 0.02M. Sergachev · On goal · xG 0.02D. But · On goal · xG 0.02B. Tanev · Missed · xG 0.01I. Cole · Missed · xG 0.01M. Carcone · On goal · xG 0.01M. Sergachev · On goal · xG 0.01C. Keller · On goal · xG 0.01S. Durzi · Missed · xG 0.01M. Sergachev · On goal · xG 0.01I. Cole · Missed · xG 0.01M. Sergachev · On goal · xG 0.00B. Tanev · On goal · xG 0.00
UTA2 G · 2.1 xG · 35 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

LAKvsUTA
3.73 G
All situations
2 G2.1
2.53 G
Even strength
1 G1.5
0.00 G
Power play
1 G0.6

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 74 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
LAK56%44%UTA

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.45 – 2.12

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

LAKvsUTA
27
Shots on goal
21
40%
Faceoffs
60%
0/1
Power play
1/4
8
Penalty minutes
2
17
Hits
32
15
Blocked shots
18
13
Giveaways
12
2
Takeaways
5

Box score

every player line
Los Angeles Kings skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
44M. AndersonD000+220.02140—23:50
8D. DoughtyD000+230.04012—21:54
6J. EdmundsonD011+110.18020—20:44
55Q. ByfieldR000+200.221003318:19
11A. KopitarC101+230.452105218:03
22K. FialaL022+210.09100—17:38
2B. DumoulinD000030.09010—17:37
5C. CeciD000+110.14100—17:27
92B. ClarkeD000020.05030—16:48
9A. KempeR112+210.54002—16:37
40J. ArmiaR202+240.71010—16:21
14A. LaferriereR000+130.31500—16:19
12T. MooreL000-100.27200—16:15
37W. FoegeleL000010.51112—15:51
24P. DanaultC000-100.000003315:33
10C. PerryR000000.00200—09:51
15A. TurcotteC000020.111106007:35
96A. KuzmenkoL000000.00002—06:58
Los Angeles Kings goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
35D. Kuemper(W)21192.9052.14+0.1460:00

Season series

UTA leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).