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Stars at Wild
NHL

Dallas Stars at Minnesota Wild

NHL scoreboard
Dallas Stars
1
Minnesota Wild
▸2
Final/OTTV FDSNNO, Victory+·Grand Casino Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Minnesota Wild beat the Dallas Stars 2-1 in overtime, Vladimir Tarasenko scoring at 3:06. The Stars scored first; the Wild answered. It was tied 1-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Vladimir Tarasenko's goal at 3:06 of overtime, which took the Wild's chances from 51% to 100%. Expected goals were close — DAL 2.5, MIN 2.8; shots on goal were DAL 30, MIN 28. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Wild win a replay of these chances 55% of the time. Jake Oettinger stopped 26 of 28 (.929), 0.8 goals saved above expected; Filip Gustavsson stopped 29 of 30 (.967), 1.6 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Vladimir Tarasenko (1 G), 2. Jason Robertson (1 G), 3. Filip Gustavsson (29 saves, .967).

Three stars

  1. ★
    MIN
    V. Tarasenko1 G
  2. ★★
    DAL
    J. Robertson1 G
  3. ★★★
    MIN
    F. Gustavsson29 saves, .967

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
DALDAL1100901100130
MINMIN091801011228

Scoring

3 goals

1st period

  1. DAL
    J. Robertson(38)PPG
    M. Heiskanen (49), M. Duchene (20)
    wristxG 0.06win prob +14 ptsVideo
    1-0
    14:21

2nd period

  1. MIN
    B. Brink(15)
    Q. Hughes (62), J. Spurgeon (13)
    backhandxG 0.28win prob +19 ptsVideo
    1-1
    10:45

Overtime

  1. MIN
    V. Tarasenko(20)
    B. Brink (14), Q. Hughes (63)
    snapxG 0.19win prob +49 ptsVideo
    1-2
    3:06

Penalties

DAL 6 PIM·MIN 12 PIM

1st

  • 0:56DALJason Robertson · Boardingdrawn by Quinn Hughes2 min
  • 14:10MINMats Zuccarello · Roughingdrawn by Nathan Bastian2 min
  • 14:10DALNathan Bastian · Roughingdrawn by Mats Zuccarello2 min
  • 14:10MINMats Zuccarello · Roughingdrawn by Nathan Bastian2 min

2nd

  • 13:14DALLian Bichsel · Holdingdrawn by Matt Boldy2 min
  • 16:59MINNico Sturm · Trippingdrawn by Mavrik Bourque2 min

3rd

  • 8:27MINJonas Brodin · High stickingdrawn by Mavrik Bourque2 min
  • 12:16MINBobby Brink · High sticking double minordrawn by Sam Steel4 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
MIN goalDAL goalFinal: MIN 100%

Biggest swing: Vladimir Tarasenko, OT 3:06 — MIN 51% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
B. Brink · Goal · xG 0.28N. Sturm · On goal · xG 0.25R. Hartman · On goal · xG 0.20V. Tarasenko · Goal · xG 0.19D. Yurov · Missed · xG 0.18M. Johansson · On goal · xG 0.16H. Haight · On goal · xG 0.13B. Faber · On goal · xG 0.12V. Tarasenko · Missed · xG 0.11V. Tarasenko · Missed · xG 0.10B. Faber · Missed · xG 0.10R. Hartman · On goal · xG 0.09N. Sturm · Missed · xG 0.09R. Hartman · Missed · xG 0.07V. Tarasenko · On goal · xG 0.07M. Boldy · On goal · xG 0.06B. Faber · On goal · xG 0.06B. Faber · On goal · xG 0.05M. Zuccarello · On goal · xG 0.05Q. Hughes · On goal · xG 0.05D. Yurov · Missed · xG 0.04Y. Trenin · Missed · xG 0.04Y. Trenin · On goal · xG 0.04M. Boldy · On goal · xG 0.04M. Boldy · On goal · xG 0.03J. Middleton · Missed · xG 0.03Z. Bogosian · Missed · xG 0.03R. Hartman · On goal · xG 0.02B. Faber · On goal · xG 0.02B. Faber · On goal · xG 0.02H. Haight · On goal · xG 0.02R. Hartman · On goal · xG 0.01J. Spurgeon · On goal · xG 0.01N. Foligno · Missed · xG 0.01Y. Trenin · Missed · xG 0.01J. Middleton · On goal · xG 0.01J. Brodin · On goal · xG 0.00J. Spurgeon · On goal · xG 0.00M. Boldy · On goal · xG 0.00J. Middleton · On goal · xG 0.00
MIN2 G · 2.8 xG · 40 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

DALvsMIN
2.51 G
All situations
2 G2.8
1.30 G
Even strength
2 G2.4
1.31 G
Power play
0 G0.2
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.3

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 86 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
DAL45%55%MIN

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.53 – 2.77

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

DALvsMIN
30
Shots on goal
28
61%
Faceoffs
39%
1/5
Power play
0/2
6
Penalty minutes
12
25
Hits
36
15
Blocked shots
22
10
Giveaways
16
3
Takeaways
2

Box score

every player line
Dallas Stars skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
21J. RobertsonL101-140.27002—25:51
4M. HeiskanenD011040.21020—25:00
55T. HarleyD000-100.07040—23:40
53W. JohnstonC000030.432006922:25
23E. LindellD000000.00120—21:09
22M. BourqueC000-210.172005019:25
95M. DucheneC011-110.303107018:01
5N. LundkvistD000040.06100—16:44
57T. MyersD000-110.15000—16:16
14J. BennL000010.16210—15:47
49J. HryckowianC000040.361006015:09
6L. BichselD000-120.04312—14:35
58M. BuntingL000-120.21010—13:40
18S. SteelC000000.001006712:45
15C. BlackwellC000020.074003312:31
10O. BäckC000010.051105612:22
73A. ErneL000000.00420—10:42
11N. BastianR000000.00002—09:16
Dallas Stars goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
29J. Oettinger(O)28262.9292.79+0.7963:06

Season series

Tied 2-2

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).