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Stars at Wild
NHL

Dallas Stars at Minnesota Wild

NHL scoreboard
Dallas Stars
2
Minnesota Wild
▸5
FinalTV FDSNNO, Victory+·Grand Casino Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Minnesota Wild beat the Dallas Stars 5-2. The Stars scored first; the Wild answered. It was tied 2-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Marcus Johansson's goal at 8:40 of the third period, which took the Wild's chances from 52% to 82%. Expected goals favored the Wild, 4.8 to 1.1; shots on goal were DAL 18, MIN 32. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Wild win a replay of these chances 88% of the time. Jake Oettinger stopped 27 of 30 (.900), 0.5 goals saved above expected; Filip Gustavsson stopped 16 of 18 (.889), 0.9 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Matt Boldy (1 G, 2 A), 2. Joel Eriksson Ek (1 G, 1 A), 3. Marcus Johansson (2 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    MIN
    M. Boldy1 G, 2 A
  2. ★★
    MIN
    J. Eriksson Ek1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    MIN
    M. Johansson2 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
DALDAL151409218
MINMIN11411236532

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. DAL
    J. Robertson(20)PPG
    M. Heiskanen (22), W. Johnston (21)
    wristxG 0.06win prob +9 ptsVideo
    1-0
    9:32
  2. MIN
    J. Eriksson Ek(6)
    M. Boldy (17)
    snapxG 0.15win prob +14 ptsVideo
    1-1
    16:10

2nd period

  1. DAL
    M. Heiskanen(7)SHG
    E. Lindell (8), R. Faksa (10)
    slapxG 0.03win prob +20 ptsVideo
    2-1
    10:19
  2. MIN
    Z. Bogosian(1)
    Z. Buium (11), V. Tarasenko (9)
    slapxG 0.02win prob +22 ptsVideo
    2-2
    17:30

3rd period

  1. MIN
    M. Johansson(10)
    M. Boldy (18), J. Eriksson Ek (15)
    snapxG 0.14win prob +30 ptsVideo
    2-3
    8:40
  2. MIN
    M. Boldy(17)EN
    K. Kaprizov (16)
    wristxG 0.96win prob +5 ptsVideo
    2-4
    18:29
  3. MIN
    M. Johansson(11)EN
    V. Tarasenko (10), J. Spurgeon (5)
    backhandxG 0.33Video
    2-5
    19:10

Penalties

DAL 6 PIM·MIN 2 PIM

1st

  • 8:51MINRyan Hartman · Hookingdrawn by Vladislav Kolyachonok2 min

2nd

  • 2:17DALMatt Duchene · High stickingdrawn by Joel Eriksson Ek2 min
  • 9:38DALRoope Hintz · Interferencedrawn by Matt Boldy2 min
  • 19:45DALColin Blackwell · Holdingdrawn by Ryan Hartman2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
MIN goalDAL goalFinal: MIN 100%

Biggest swing: Marcus Johansson, 3rd 8:40 — MIN 52% → 82%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
M. Boldy · Goal · xG 0.96M. Johansson · Goal · xG 0.33D. Yurov · On goal · xG 0.26V. Tarasenko · Missed · xG 0.21J. Eriksson Ek · On goal · xG 0.21J. Spurgeon · On goal · xG 0.20D. Yurov · Missed · xG 0.20L. Ohgren · Missed · xG 0.19D. Yurov · Missed · xG 0.16J. Eriksson Ek · Goal · xG 0.15K. Kaprizov · Missed · xG 0.15M. Johansson · Goal · xG 0.14K. Kaprizov · On goal · xG 0.13V. Tarasenko · On goal · xG 0.13M. Johansson · Missed · xG 0.13K. Kaprizov · On goal · xG 0.10L. Ohgren · Missed · xG 0.09M. Boldy · On goal · xG 0.08Y. Trenin · On goal · xG 0.08Y. Trenin · On goal · xG 0.07J. Eriksson Ek · On goal · xG 0.06J. Eriksson Ek · On goal · xG 0.06M. Boldy · Missed · xG 0.06L. Ohgren · Missed · xG 0.06D. Yurov · Missed · xG 0.06M. Boldy · On goal · xG 0.05V. Tarasenko · On goal · xG 0.05V. Tarasenko · Missed · xG 0.04J. Brodin · Missed · xG 0.04B. Faber · On goal · xG 0.03L. Ohgren · On goal · xG 0.03K. Kaprizov · On goal · xG 0.03D. Yurov · Missed · xG 0.03K. Kaprizov · On goal · xG 0.03L. Ohgren · On goal · xG 0.03B. Faber · Missed · xG 0.03Z. Bogosian · On goal · xG 0.03L. Ohgren · Missed · xG 0.02D. Hunt · On goal · xG 0.02M. Boldy · On goal · xG 0.02Z. Bogosian · Goal · xG 0.02Z. Bogosian · On goal · xG 0.01T. Pitlick · On goal · xG 0.01M. Boldy · On goal · xG 0.01B. Faber · Missed · xG 0.01B. Faber · Missed · xG 0.01J. Eriksson Ek · On goal · xG 0.01V. Tarasenko · On goal · xG 0.01J. Brodin · Missed · xG 0.00J. Eriksson Ek · Missed · xG 0.00R. Hartman · On goal · xG 0.00
MIN5 G · 4.8 xG · 51 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

DALvsMIN
1.12 G
All situations
3 G4.8
0.90 G
Even strength
3 G2.8
0.21 G
Power play
0 G0.7
0.01 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 80 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
DAL12%88%MIN

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.08 – 3.48

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

DALvsMIN
18
Shots on goal
32
52%
Faceoffs
48%
1/1
Power play
0/3
6
Penalty minutes
2
12
Hits
26
14
Blocked shots
20
13
Giveaways
17
8
Takeaways
6

Box score

every player line
Dallas Stars skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
4M. HeiskanenD112-120.18030—26:11
23E. LindellD011-110.02020—25:13
55T. HarleyD000-300.00120—22:43
28A. PetrovicD000-210.02120—20:03
53W. JohnstonC011-310.050002718:44
96M. RantanenR000-230.15110—18:08
18S. SteelC000-110.0701010016:35
21J. RobertsonL101-350.28120—16:29
95M. DucheneC000-200.001025715:14
49J. HryckowianC000-120.122005015:08
24R. HintzC000-200.111026514:16
22M. BourqueC000-110.031005013:57
14J. BennL000-300.00100—13:40
10O. BäckC000+100.00000012:35
20K. CapobiancoD000000.02000—12:04
44V. KolyachonokD000010.03010—11:55
12R. FaksaC011+100.001008011:38
15C. BlackwellC000000.001022510:47
Dallas Stars goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
29J. Oettinger(L)30273.9003.54+0.5458:40

Season series

Tied 2-2

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).