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Golden Knights at Predators
NHL

Vegas Golden Knights at Nashville Predators

NHL scoreboard
Vegas Golden Knights
1
Nashville Predators
▸4
FinalTV FDSNSO, SCRIPPS·Bridgestone Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Nashville Predators beat the Vegas Golden Knights 4-1. The Predators scored first and never trailed. The Predators led 4-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Steven Stamkos's goal at 0:40 of the first period, which took the Predators' chances from 54% to 65%. Expected goals favored the Golden Knights, 4.0 to 2.9; shots on goal were VGK 40, NSH 20. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Golden Knights win a replay of these chances 69% of the time. Akira Schmid stopped 16 of 20 (.800), 1.2 goals below expected; Justus Annunen stopped 39 of 40 (.975), 3.0 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Steven Stamkos (2 G, 1 A), 2. Justus Annunen (39 saves, .975), 3. Ryan O'Reilly (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    NSH
    S. Stamkos2 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    NSH
    J. Annunen39 saves, .975
  3. ★★★
    NSH
    R. O'Reilly1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
VGKVGK020110010140
NSHNSH1431105420

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. NSH
    S. Stamkos(32)
    R. O'Reilly (40)
    snapxG 0.04win prob +11 ptsVideo
    0-1
    0:40

2nd period

  1. NSH
    S. Stamkos(33)PPG
    F. Forsberg (29), J. Marchessault (13)
    snapxG 0.15win prob +8 ptsVideo
    0-2
    1:24
  2. NSH
    T. Jost(7)SHG
    B. Skjei (20)
    wristxG 0.20win prob +10 ptsVideo
    0-3
    11:56
  3. VGK
    S. Theodore(8)PPG
    I. Barbashev (29), B. Howden (7)
    wristxG 0.03win prob +7 ptsVideo
    1-3
    13:10
  4. NSH
    R. O'Reilly(24)PPG
    S. Stamkos (22), R. Josi (35)
    deflectedxG 0.17win prob +6 ptsVideo
    1-4
    14:53

Penalties

VGK 12 PIM·NSH 12 PIM

1st

  • 15:42NSHSteven Stamkos · Hookingdrawn by Jack Eichel2 min

2nd

  • 0:54VGKShea Theodore · High sticking double minordrawn by Ryan O'Reilly4 min
  • 4:31NSHErik Haula · Interferencedrawn by Ivan Barbashev2 min
  • 8:05VGKBen Hutton · Roughingdrawn by Ozzy Wiesblatt2 min
  • 8:05VGKNic Dowd · Roughingdrawn by Ozzy Wiesblatt2 min
  • 8:05NSHNick Perbix · Roughingdrawn by Nic Dowd2 min
  • 8:05NSHOzzy Wiesblatt · Roughingdrawn by Brett Howden2 min
  • 8:05VGKBrett Howden · Slashingdrawn by Nick Perbix2 min
  • 11:39NSHRyan O'Reilly · High stickingdrawn by Brayden McNabb2 min
  • 13:27VGKNic Dowd · Slashingdrawn by Fedor Svechkov2 min

3rd

  • 2:45NSHMatthew Wood · Slashingdrawn by Jeremy Lauzon2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
NSH goalVGK goalFinal: NSH 100%

Biggest swing: Steven Stamkos, 1st 0:40 — NSH 54% → 65%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
L. Evangelista · On goal · xG 0.32R. O'Reilly · Missed · xG 0.29R. O'Reilly · On goal · xG 0.19T. Jost · Goal · xG 0.19R. O'Reilly · Goal · xG 0.17S. Stamkos · Missed · xG 0.16S. Stamkos · Goal · xG 0.15F. Forsberg · On goal · xG 0.15E. Haula · Missed · xG 0.15F. Forsberg · On goal · xG 0.15R. O'Reilly · On goal · xG 0.15L. Evangelista · On goal · xG 0.12R. O'Reilly · On goal · xG 0.09J. Marchessault · Missed · xG 0.06R. Josi · On goal · xG 0.06L. Evangelista · On goal · xG 0.06J. Marchessault · Missed · xG 0.06R. O'Reilly · On goal · xG 0.06F. Svechkov · Missed · xG 0.05S. Stamkos · Goal · xG 0.04R. Ufko · Missed · xG 0.04T. Jost · On goal · xG 0.03B. Skjei · On goal · xG 0.03R. Josi · On goal · xG 0.03T. Jost · On goal · xG 0.03T. Jost · On goal · xG 0.03F. Svechkov · Missed · xG 0.02L. Evangelista · Missed · xG 0.02R. Ufko · Missed · xG 0.01N. Hague · Missed · xG 0.01L. Evangelista · On goal · xG 0.01
NSH4 G · 2.9 xG · 31 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

VGKvsNSH
4.01 G
All situations
4 G2.9
2.60 G
Even strength
1 G1.4
1.41 G
Power play
2 G1.2
0.00 G
Shorthanded
1 G0.2

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 90 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
VGK69%31%NSH

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.92 – 2.73

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

VGKvsNSH
40
Shots on goal
20
58%
Faceoffs
42%
1/4
Power play
2/4
12
Penalty minutes
12
13
Hits
13
8
Blocked shots
15
14
Giveaways
14
2
Takeaways
8

Box score

every player line
Vegas Golden Knights skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
93M. MarnerR000-120.53000—21:54
9J. EichelC000-230.450205721:43
16P. DorofeyevR000-120.40100—20:49
48T. HertlC000-130.450006320:45
61M. StoneR000-220.43100—20:21
27S. TheodoreD101-130.11004—19:45
15N. HanifinD000010.02000—19:25
4R. AnderssonD000020.17030—18:38
3B. McNabbD000-140.08110—18:34
5J. LauzonD000020.03310—15:20
49I. BarbashevL011-140.57000—14:59
22C. SmithR000040.35300—14:38
55K. KolesarR000000.02100—13:00
17B. HuttonD000040.08002—12:51
10C. SissonsC000010.012106212:22
21B. HowdenC011010.160023312:14
26N. DowdC000010.141046711:20
42B. BowmanR000010.00000—10:14
Vegas Golden Knights goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
40A. Schmid(L)20164.8002.77-1.2355:12

Season series

NSH leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).