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Kraken at Predators
NHL

Seattle Kraken at Nashville Predators

NHL scoreboard
Seattle Kraken
1
Nashville Predators
▸3
FinalTV FDSNSO, KHN/Prime·Bridgestone Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Nashville Predators beat the Seattle Kraken 3-1. The Predators scored first and never trailed. The Predators led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Frederick Gaudreau's goal at 18:40 of the first period, which took the Kraken's chances from 32% to 47%. Expected goals favored the Predators, 4.8 to 2.5; shots on goal were SEA 26, NSH 28. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Predators win a replay of these chances 65% of the time. Joey Daccord stopped 25 of 27 (.926), 1.4 goals saved above expected; Justus Annunen stopped 25 of 26 (.962), 1.5 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Justus Annunen (25 saves, .962), 2. Ryan Ufko (1 G), 3. Ryan O'Reilly (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    NSH
    J. Annunen25 saves, .962
  2. ★★
    NSH
    R. Ufko1 G
  3. ★★★
    NSH
    R. O'Reilly1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
SEASEA1130607126
NSHNSH1151617328

Scoring

4 goals

1st period

  1. NSH
    R. Ufko(2)
    B. Skjei (19), F. Forsberg (27)
    slapxG 0.03win prob +12 ptsVideo
    0-1
    6:14
  2. SEA
    F. Gaudreau(5)
    C. Stephenson (27), K. Kakko (18)
    tip-inxG 0.10win prob +15 ptsVideo
    1-1
    18:40

2nd period

  1. NSH
    R. O'Reilly(23)PPG
    F. Forsberg (28), S. Stamkos (21)
    snapxG 0.28win prob +13 ptsVideo
    1-2
    7:11

3rd period

  1. NSH
    F. Forsberg(30)EN
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.54win prob +4 ptsVideo
    1-3
    18:10

Penalties

SEA 8 PIM·NSH 6 PIM

1st

  • 3:34NSHNicolas Hague · Holdingdrawn by Jordan Eberle2 min

2nd

  • 2:12SEAserved by Jani Nyman · Too many men on the ice2 min
  • 6:57SEAJamie Oleksiak · Interferencedrawn by Steven Stamkos2 min
  • 19:26NSHErik Haula · Slashingdrawn by Shane Wright2 min

3rd

  • 2:59SEAJamie Oleksiak · Cross checkingdrawn by Luke Evangelista2 min
  • 7:09SEARyker Evans · Boardingdrawn by Matthew Wood2 min
  • 7:09NSHJonathan Marchessault · Roughingdrawn by Ryker Evans2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
NSH goalSEA goalFinal: NSH 100%

Biggest swing: Frederick Gaudreau, 1st 18:40 — SEA 32% → 47%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
F. Forsberg · Goal · xG 0.54E. Haula · Missed · xG 0.48R. O'Reilly · Missed · xG 0.37R. O'Reilly · Goal · xG 0.28J. Barron · On goal · xG 0.23B. Skjei · Missed · xG 0.23S. Stamkos · Missed · xG 0.20T. Jost · Missed · xG 0.18L. Evangelista · Missed · xG 0.17J. Marchessault · On goal · xG 0.16S. Stamkos · Missed · xG 0.15M. Wood · Missed · xG 0.15J. Marchessault · Missed · xG 0.12N. Hague · On goal · xG 0.11S. Stamkos · Missed · xG 0.11E. Haula · On goal · xG 0.11F. Svechkov · Missed · xG 0.10Z. L'Heureux · On goal · xG 0.08E. Haula · On goal · xG 0.07R. Schaefer · Missed · xG 0.07Z. L'Heureux · Missed · xG 0.06Z. L'Heureux · On goal · xG 0.06F. Forsberg · On goal · xG 0.06E. Haula · On goal · xG 0.05R. O'Reilly · On goal · xG 0.05J. Barron · Missed · xG 0.05L. Evangelista · Missed · xG 0.05S. Stamkos · Missed · xG 0.04F. Svechkov · On goal · xG 0.04B. Skjei · On goal · xG 0.04R. Josi · Missed · xG 0.03M. Wood · Missed · xG 0.03N. Hague · Missed · xG 0.03T. Jost · Missed · xG 0.03R. Ufko · Goal · xG 0.03R. Schaefer · Missed · xG 0.03J. Marchessault · On goal · xG 0.02J. Barron · On goal · xG 0.02E. Haula · On goal · xG 0.02T. Jost · On goal · xG 0.01R. Schaefer · On goal · xG 0.01J. Marchessault · On goal · xG 0.01E. Haula · On goal · xG 0.01Z. L'Heureux · On goal · xG 0.01R. Josi · On goal · xG 0.01J. Marchessault · Missed · xG 0.01T. Jost · On goal · xG 0.01B. Skjei · Missed · xG 0.01L. Evangelista · On goal · xG 0.01B. Skjei · On goal · xG 0.00R. Josi · On goal · xG 0.00
NSH3 G · 4.8 xG · 51 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

SEAvsNSH
2.51 G
All situations
2 G4.8
2.31 G
Even strength
1 G2.6
0.20 G
Power play
1 G0.8
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 98 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
SEA35%65%NSH

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.49 – 3.36

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

SEAvsNSH
26
Shots on goal
28
54%
Faceoffs
46%
0/2
Power play
1/3
8
Penalty minutes
6
14
Hits
18
13
Blocked shots
8
16
Giveaways
15
3
Takeaways
4

Box score

every player line
Seattle Kraken skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
29V. DunnD000-230.13130—23:25
62B. MontourD000-130.16000—22:58
10M. BeniersC000030.200005421:13
6A. LarssonD000-110.01110—20:39
9C. StephensonC011010.201205620:38
7J. EberleR000-120.24010—20:02
55R. LindgrenD000000.01010—18:57
74B. McMannC000-120.21110018:17
41R. EvansD000+110.07312—17:36
89F. GaudreauC101020.203104017:16
19J. McCannL000030.30100—17:00
84K. KakkoR011+100.06000—15:19
51S. WrightC000010.380006015:15
27B. CattonC000-130.350003314:14
24J. OleksiakD000+100.00314—13:11
59B. MeyersC000-100.000005709:18
38J. NymanR000-100.00010—06:00
63J. MelansonR000010.02000—04:14
Seattle Kraken goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
35J. Daccord(L)27252.9263.38+1.3858:14

Season series

NSH leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).