Skip to content
Predators at Kraken
NHL

Nashville Predators at Seattle Kraken

NHL scoreboard
Nashville Predators
1
Seattle Kraken
▸4
FinalTV FDSNSO, KHN/Prime·Climate Pledge Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Seattle Kraken beat the Nashville Predators 4-1. The Kraken scored first and never trailed. The Kraken led 3-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Jamie Oleksiak's goal at 10:41 of the first period, which took the Kraken's chances from 67% to 81%. Expected goals favored the Kraken, 2.8 to 2.2; shots on goal were NSH 25, SEA 23. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Predators win a replay of these chances 57% of the time. Juuse Saros stopped 19 of 22 (.864), 1.2 goals below expected; Philipp Grubauer stopped 24 of 25 (.960), 1.2 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Matty Beniers (2 G), 2. Philipp Grubauer (24 saves, .960), 3. Jamie Oleksiak (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    SEA
    M. Beniers2 G
  2. ★★
    SEA
    P. Grubauer24 saves, .960
  3. ★★★
    SEA
    J. Oleksiak1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
NSHNSH071909125
SEASEA3130713423

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. SEA
    M. Beniers(5)
    R. Evans (6)
    tip-inxG 0.09win prob +12 ptsVideo
    0-1
    3:48
  2. SEA
    J. Oleksiak(3)
    R. Winterton (4), J. Melanson (2)
    wristxG 0.03win prob +14 ptsVideo
    0-2
    10:41
  3. SEA
    M. Beniers(6)
    J. Eberle (12), K. Kakko (7)
    pokexG 0.07win prob +10 ptsVideo
    0-3
    10:51

2nd period

  1. NSH
    R. Josi(5)PPG
    R. O'Reilly (24), L. Evangelista (24)
    wristxG 0.09win prob +5 ptsVideo
    1-3
    17:34

3rd period

  1. SEA
    J. McCann(7)EN
    R. Lindgren (5)
    wristxG 0.43Video
    1-4
    17:47

Penalties

NSH 2 PIM·SEA 4 PIM

1st

  • 1:20SEAVince Dunn · Slashingdrawn by Steven Stamkos2 min

2nd

  • 11:09NSHErik Haula · Roughingdrawn by Cale Fleury2 min
  • 16:48SEAAdam Larsson · High stickingdrawn by Nick Perbix2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
SEA goalNSH goalFinal: SEA 100%

Biggest swing: Jamie Oleksiak, 1st 10:41 — SEA 67% → 81%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
J. McCann · Goal · xG 0.43M. Beniers · Missed · xG 0.35K. Kakko · Missed · xG 0.22J. Eberle · Missed · xG 0.21R. Winterton · On goal · xG 0.17B. Catton · On goal · xG 0.16J. Melanson · Missed · xG 0.14E. Tolvanen · On goal · xG 0.10M. Beniers · Goal · xG 0.09J. Melanson · On goal · xG 0.08R. Winterton · On goal · xG 0.07M. Beniers · Goal · xG 0.07J. Eberle · Missed · xG 0.07J. Melanson · Missed · xG 0.07J. McCann · On goal · xG 0.05J. McCann · On goal · xG 0.05J. Eberle · On goal · xG 0.05K. Kakko · On goal · xG 0.04B. Catton · On goal · xG 0.04B. Meyers · Missed · xG 0.03R. Winterton · Missed · xG 0.03A. Larsson · On goal · xG 0.03J. Oleksiak · Goal · xG 0.03M. Beniers · Missed · xG 0.03B. Meyers · On goal · xG 0.03A. Larsson · Missed · xG 0.03A. Larsson · On goal · xG 0.02B. Catton · On goal · xG 0.02J. McCann · On goal · xG 0.02R. Lindgren · On goal · xG 0.02M. Beniers · Missed · xG 0.01C. Fleury · Missed · xG 0.01V. Dunn · Missed · xG 0.01K. Kakko · On goal · xG 0.01S. Wright · On goal · xG 0.00R. Lindgren · On goal · xG 0.00
SEA4 G · 2.8 xG · 36 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

NSHvsSEA
2.21 G
All situations
3 G2.8
2.10 G
Even strength
3 G1.8
0.11 G
Power play
0 G0.0
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 79 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
NSH57%43%SEA

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.15 – 1.79

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

NSHvsSEA
25
Shots on goal
23
53%
Faceoffs
47%
1/2
Power play
0/1
2
Penalty minutes
4
23
Hits
20
16
Blocked shots
21
20
Giveaways
17
6
Takeaways
4

Box score

every player line
Nashville Predators skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
59R. JosiD101-330.14020—23:48
90R. O'ReillyC011-130.170007021:26
76B. SkjeiD000010.02120—20:39
9F. ForsbergL000-310.03100—20:19
41N. HagueD000-110.03220—19:51
91S. StamkosC000-120.581106719:16
77L. EvangelistaR011-110.08010—18:55
37N. BlankenburgD000000.07210—18:13
83A. WilsbyD000-200.00010—17:54
48N. PerbixD000-100.01020—17:48
58M. BuntingL000-110.12000—16:35
47M. McCarronC000040.274105014:24
36C. SmithR000-120.0950010013:36
56E. HaulaL000030.191222912:48
49R. SchaeferL000010.08300—12:23
40F. SvechkovC000-210.080004311:25
71M. WoodR000-200.0301010011:25
17T. JostC000-210.22300009:26
Nashville Predators goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
74J. Saros(L)22193.8641.81-1.1957:49

Season series

NSH leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).