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Predators at Kraken
NHL

Nashville Predators at Seattle Kraken

NHL scoreboard
Nashville Predators
▸4
Seattle Kraken
2
FinalTV FDSNSO, KHN/Prime·Climate Pledge Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Nashville Predators beat the Seattle Kraken 4-2. The Predators came back from two goals down. The Predators led 3-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Ryan Ufko's goal at 14:25 of the second period, which took the Predators' chances from 47% to 68%. Expected goals favored the Kraken, 3.8 to 3.1; shots on goal were NSH 27, SEA 45. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Kraken win a replay of these chances 80% of the time. Juuse Saros stopped 43 of 45 (.956), 1.8 goals saved above expected; Joey Daccord stopped 23 of 26 (.885), 1.2 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Ryan Ufko (1 G), 2. Matty Beniers (1 G), 3. Juuse Saros (43 saves, .956).

Three stars

  1. ★
    NSH
    R. Ufko1 G
  2. ★★
    SEA
    M. Beniers1 G
  3. ★★★
    NSH
    J. Saros43 saves, .956

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
NSHNSH0731119427
SEASEA219016010245

Scoring

6 goals

1st period

  1. SEA
    K. Kakko(9)
    S. Wright (13)
    wristxG 0.33win prob +11 ptsVideo
    0-1
    2:14
  2. SEA
    M. Beniers(17)
    J. McCann (18), V. Dunn (29)
    wristxG 0.04win prob +14 ptsVideo
    0-2
    9:46

2nd period

  1. NSH
    T. Jost(4)
    F. Svechkov (9), J. Marchessault (9)
    wristxG 0.06win prob +15 ptsVideo
    1-2
    4:14
  2. NSH
    R. Schaefer(5)
    M. Wood (10), B. Skjei (18)
    wristxG 0.23win prob +18 ptsVideo
    2-2
    10:19
  3. NSH
    R. Ufko(1)
    J. Marchessault (10), R. O'Reilly (39)
    wristxG 0.13win prob +21 ptsVideo
    3-2
    14:25

3rd period

  1. NSH
    S. Stamkos(31)EN
    N. Hague (10)
    wristxG 0.63win prob +3 ptsVideo
    4-2
    19:55

Penalties

NSH 7 PIM·SEA 7 PIM

3rd

  • 1:38NSHJustin Barron · Cross checkingdrawn by Jared McCann2 min
  • 1:38NSHJustin Barron · Fightingdrawn by Matty Beniers5 min
  • 1:38SEAMatty Beniers · Fightingdrawn by Justin Barron5 min
  • 7:05SEAKaapo Kakko · Slashingdrawn by Roman Josi2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
SEA goalNSH goalFinal: SEA 0%

Biggest swing: Ryan Ufko, 2nd 14:25 — NSH 47% → 68%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
K. Kakko · Goal · xG 0.32E. Tolvanen · On goal · xG 0.25F. Gaudreau · On goal · xG 0.23F. Gaudreau · On goal · xG 0.23K. Kakko · On goal · xG 0.22C. Stephenson · On goal · xG 0.20F. Gaudreau · On goal · xG 0.16E. Tolvanen · On goal · xG 0.11K. Kakko · On goal · xG 0.11E. Tolvanen · On goal · xG 0.11B. Catton · On goal · xG 0.09J. McCann · On goal · xG 0.09J. Melanson · Missed · xG 0.08S. Wright · Missed · xG 0.08E. Tolvanen · Missed · xG 0.07E. Tolvanen · On goal · xG 0.07F. Gaudreau · On goal · xG 0.07C. Stephenson · Missed · xG 0.06F. Gaudreau · Missed · xG 0.06F. Gaudreau · Missed · xG 0.06A. Larsson · On goal · xG 0.06M. Beniers · On goal · xG 0.06S. Wright · On goal · xG 0.05V. Dunn · On goal · xG 0.05R. Winterton · On goal · xG 0.05C. Stephenson · On goal · xG 0.05J. McCann · On goal · xG 0.04J. Eberle · On goal · xG 0.04B. Montour · Missed · xG 0.04E. Tolvanen · On goal · xG 0.04R. Lindgren · Missed · xG 0.04B. Catton · On goal · xG 0.04M. Beniers · Goal · xG 0.03J. Eberle · Missed · xG 0.03B. Meyers · On goal · xG 0.03S. Wright · Missed · xG 0.03J. Eberle · Missed · xG 0.03J. Oleksiak · Missed · xG 0.03J. Eberle · On goal · xG 0.03S. Wright · On goal · xG 0.02F. Gaudreau · On goal · xG 0.02B. Montour · On goal · xG 0.02J. Eberle · Missed · xG 0.02B. Montour · On goal · xG 0.02S. Wright · Missed · xG 0.02A. Larsson · On goal · xG 0.02B. Catton · On goal · xG 0.02F. Gaudreau · On goal · xG 0.01F. Gaudreau · On goal · xG 0.01M. Beniers · On goal · xG 0.01R. Winterton · On goal · xG 0.01R. Lindgren · On goal · xG 0.01J. Oleksiak · On goal · xG 0.01J. Melanson · On goal · xG 0.01B. Montour · On goal · xG 0.01A. Larsson · Missed · xG 0.01V. Dunn · On goal · xG 0.01J. McCann · On goal · xG 0.00J. McCann · On goal · xG 0.00J. Eberle · On goal · xG 0.00
SEA2 G · 3.8 xG · 60 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

NSHvsSEA
3.13 G
All situations
2 G3.8
1.53 G
Even strength
2 G2.9
0.30 G
Power play
0 G0.9

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 103 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
NSH20%80%SEA

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.78 – 3.63

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

NSHvsSEA
27
Shots on goal
45
51%
Faceoffs
49%
0/1
Power play
0/1
7
Penalty minutes
7
13
Hits
23
8
Blocked shots
18
13
Giveaways
14
5
Takeaways
7

Box score

every player line
Nashville Predators skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
59R. JosiD000-140.07020—24:42
41N. HagueD011+200.00210—24:31
76B. SkjeiD011+110.02100—23:24
48N. PerbixD000+210.02110—22:06
90R. O'ReillyC011+120.481205319:39
9F. ForsbergL000-220.16100—19:34
91S. StamkosC101+230.901005719:20
77L. EvangelistaR000-210.02100—18:25
56E. HaulaL000020.050004518:03
81J. MarchessaultR022+210.53100—17:56
68Z. L'HeureuxL000+110.0810010014:51
85R. UfkoD101010.13000—13:05
71M. WoodR011030.150006712:11
40F. SvechkovC011+120.090003311:32
49R. SchaeferL101+110.23100—11:09
20J. BarronD000000.01107—10:45
17T. JostC101+120.10110009:52
25J. KemellR000+100.01010—07:11
Nashville Predators goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
74J. Saros(W)45432.9563.75+1.7559:44

Season series

NSH leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).