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Canadiens at Red Wings
NHL

Montréal Canadiens at Detroit Red Wings

NHL scoreboard
Montréal Canadiens
1
Detroit Red Wings
▸3
FinalTV FDSNDET, TSN2·Little Caesars Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Detroit Red Wings beat the Montréal Canadiens 3-1. The Canadiens scored first; the Red Wings answered. The Canadiens led 1-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Alex DeBrincat's goal at 16:35 of the third period, which took the Red Wings' chances from 52% to 93%. Expected goals favored the Red Wings, 3.8 to 2.7; shots on goal were MTL 33, DET 28. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Red Wings win a replay of these chances 54% of the time. Jakub Dobes stopped 25 of 27 (.926), 0.9 goals saved above expected; John Gibson stopped 32 of 33 (.970), 1.7 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Alex DeBrincat (1 G, 2 A), 2. J.T. Compher (1 G), 3. Juraj Slafkovský (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    DET
    A. DeBrincat1 G, 2 A
  2. ★★
    DET
    J. Compher1 G
  3. ★★★
    MTL
    J. Slafkovský1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
MTLMTL012110011133
DETDET0807313328

Scoring

4 goals

2nd period

  1. MTL
    J. Slafkovský(25)PPG
    C. Caufield (29), N. Suzuki (57)
    snapxG 0.15win prob +17 ptsVideo
    1-0
    17:45

3rd period

  1. DET
    J. Compher(10)
    P. Kane (29), A. DeBrincat (37)
    deflectedxG 0.31win prob +25 ptsVideo
    1-1
    2:14
  2. DET
    A. DeBrincat(34)
    Unassisted
    backhandxG 0.31win prob +41 ptsVideo
    1-2
    16:35
  3. DET
    A. Copp(9)EN
    A. DeBrincat (38)
    wristxG 0.92win prob +2 ptsVideo
    1-3
    19:43

Penalties

MTL 8 PIM·DET 8 PIM

1st

  • 9:35DETJames van Riemsdyk · Roughingdrawn by Kaiden Guhle2 min
  • 9:35MTLKaiden Guhle · Interferencedrawn by James van Riemsdyk2 min
  • 17:39DETBen Chiarot · Roughingdrawn by Alexandre Texier2 min

2nd

  • 4:13MTLAlexandre Carrier · Holdingdrawn by Andrew Copp2 min
  • 7:54MTLLane Hutson · Interferencedrawn by Alex DeBrincat2 min
  • 17:32DETMoritz Seider · Holding the stickdrawn by Jake Evans2 min

3rd

  • 3:44DETMoritz Seider · Roughingdrawn by Jayden Struble2 min
  • 3:44MTLJayden Struble · Roughingdrawn by Moritz Seider2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
DET goalMTL goalFinal: DET 100%

Biggest swing: Alex DeBrincat, 3rd 16:35 — DET 52% → 93%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
A. Copp · Goal · xG 0.92J. Compher · Goal · xG 0.31A. DeBrincat · Goal · xG 0.31P. Kane · On goal · xG 0.19A. Johansson · On goal · xG 0.16L. Raymond · On goal · xG 0.16A. DeBrincat · On goal · xG 0.13M. Kasper · Missed · xG 0.11J. van Riemsdyk · Missed · xG 0.11E. Finnie · Missed · xG 0.10J. van Riemsdyk · On goal · xG 0.09M. Kasper · On goal · xG 0.08A. DeBrincat · Missed · xG 0.08J. Faulk · Missed · xG 0.08P. Kane · Missed · xG 0.08M. Kasper · On goal · xG 0.07D. Perron · Missed · xG 0.07A. DeBrincat · Missed · xG 0.06J. van Riemsdyk · Missed · xG 0.05B. Chiarot · Missed · xG 0.05A. DeBrincat · Missed · xG 0.05M. Seider · On goal · xG 0.04M. Kasper · On goal · xG 0.04M. Seider · On goal · xG 0.04M. Appleton · On goal · xG 0.04J. Faulk · On goal · xG 0.03L. Raymond · Missed · xG 0.03M. Seider · On goal · xG 0.03M. Seider · Missed · xG 0.03S. Edvinsson · Missed · xG 0.03J. Faulk · On goal · xG 0.03A. Copp · On goal · xG 0.03D. Perron · On goal · xG 0.03M. Seider · On goal · xG 0.02A. DeBrincat · Missed · xG 0.02A. DeBrincat · Missed · xG 0.02P. Kane · On goal · xG 0.02B. Chiarot · On goal · xG 0.01S. Edvinsson · Missed · xG 0.01A. DeBrincat · On goal · xG 0.01A. Johansson · On goal · xG 0.01A. DeBrincat · On goal · xG 0.01J. van Riemsdyk · On goal · xG 0.01P. Kane · On goal · xG 0.01B. Chiarot · Missed · xG 0.01J. Bernard-Docker · Missed · xG 0.01A. DeBrincat · Missed · xG 0.00M. Appleton · On goal · xG 0.00J. Faulk · Missed · xG 0.00
DET3 G · 3.8 xG · 49 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

MTLvsDET
2.71 G
All situations
2 G3.8
2.20 G
Even strength
2 G2.4
0.41 G
Power play
0 G0.5
0.10 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 100 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
MTL46%54%DET

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.65 – 2.86

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

MTLvsDET
33
Shots on goal
28
55%
Faceoffs
45%
1/2
Power play
0/2
8
Penalty minutes
8
27
Hits
35
14
Blocked shots
12
18
Giveaways
19
2
Takeaways
8

Box score

every player line
Montréal Canadiens skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
48L. HutsonD000-130.28012—23:59
53N. DobsonD000-230.05240—23:01
8M. MathesonD000-130.05020—21:41
14N. SuzukiC011-200.001006021:24
45A. CarrierD000000.07212—20:15
20J. SlafkovskýL101-250.45210—19:52
13C. CaufieldR011-230.20300—18:48
71J. EvansC000030.101005517:52
21K. GuhleD000-110.07402—16:33
76Z. BolducR000040.21010—15:44
24P. DanaultC000-110.091006414:03
85A. TexierL000020.13310—13:46
47J. StrubleD000000.00012—12:52
93I. DemidovR000-200.00000—11:59
11B. GallagherR000020.33400—11:25
90J. VelenoC000020.204105011:14
15A. NewhookC000-110.280104009:34
91O. KapanenC000-100.14000009:33
Montréal Canadiens goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
75J. Dobes(L)27252.9262.87+0.8758:25

Season series

DET leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).