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Red Wings at Canadiens
NHL

Detroit Red Wings at Montréal Canadiens

FinalTV FDSNDET, SNE·Centre Bell

Recap

written from the game data

The Detroit Red Wings beat the Montréal Canadiens 4-0. The Red Wings scored first and never trailed. The Red Wings led 2-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Lucas Raymond's goal at 4:52 of the second period, which took the Red Wings' chances from 47% to 64%. Expected goals favored the Red Wings, 3.4 to 2.8; shots on goal were DET 24, MTL 27. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Canadiens win a replay of these chances 54% of the time. John Gibson stopped 27 of 27 (1.000), 2.8 goals saved above expected; Jacob Fowler stopped 20 of 23 (.870), 0.5 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. John Gibson (27 saves, 1.000), 2. Alex DeBrincat (1 G, 2 A), 3. Arber Xhekaj.

Three stars

  1. ★
    DET
    J. Gibson27 saves, 1.000
  2. ★★
    DET
    A. DeBrincat1 G, 2 A
  3. ★★★
    MTL
    A. Xhekaj

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
DETDET0628210424
MTLMTL0309015027

Scoring

4 goals

2nd period

  1. DET
    snapxG 0.20win prob +17 ptsVideo
    1-0
    4:52
  2. DET
    D. Larkin(23)PPG
    snapxG 0.15win prob +13 ptsVideo
    2-0
    11:43

3rd period

  1. DET
    P. Kane (19), A. Copp (19)
    slapxG 0.12win prob +8 ptsVideo
    3-0
    0:34
  2. DET
    A. Copp(7)EN
    tip-inxG 0.90Video
    4-0
    18:53

Penalties

DET 2 PIM·MTL 10 PIM

1st

  • 6:59MTLAlexandre Carrier · Holding the stickdrawn by Michael Rasmussen2 min
  • 10:43MTLBrendan Gallagher · High stickingdrawn by Mason Appleton2 min

2nd

  • 1:31MTLAlexandre Texier · Holdingdrawn by J.T. Compher2 min
  • 9:30DETEmmitt Finnie · Holding the stickdrawn by Noah Dobson2 min
  • 11:37MTLserved by Owen Beck · Too many men on the ice2 min

3rd

  • 10:48MTLOliver Kapanen · Roughingdrawn by Moritz Seider2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
MTL goalDET goalFinal: MTL 0%

Biggest swing: Lucas Raymond, 2nd 4:52 — DET 47% → 64%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
C. Caufield · Missed · xG 0.31Z. Bolduc · Missed · xG 0.16C. Caufield · On goal · xG 0.13O. Kapanen · On goal · xG 0.12Z. Bolduc · On goal · xG 0.10Z. Bolduc · Missed · xG 0.10I. Demidov · Missed · xG 0.09B. Gallagher · Missed · xG 0.09N. Suzuki · Missed · xG 0.09J. Slafkovský · Missed · xG 0.09O. Kapanen · On goal · xG 0.08I. Demidov · Missed · xG 0.08N. Dobson · On goal · xG 0.08N. Suzuki · On goal · xG 0.08S. Blais · On goal · xG 0.08O. Beck · Missed · xG 0.08A. Texier · Missed · xG 0.08C. Caufield · On goal · xG 0.07I. Demidov · On goal · xG 0.07C. Caufield · On goal · xG 0.06N. Suzuki · On goal · xG 0.05L. Hutson · Missed · xG 0.05C. Caufield · On goal · xG 0.05O. Kapanen · Missed · xG 0.05A. Xhekaj · Missed · xG 0.05C. Caufield · On goal · xG 0.04A. Xhekaj · Missed · xG 0.03N. Suzuki · On goal · xG 0.03L. Hutson · Missed · xG 0.03N. Suzuki · On goal · xG 0.03N. Dobson · On goal · xG 0.03A. Xhekaj · Missed · xG 0.03M. Matheson · On goal · xG 0.02K. Guhle · On goal · xG 0.02M. Matheson · On goal · xG 0.02N. Dobson · Missed · xG 0.02B. Gallagher · Missed · xG 0.02L. Hutson · On goal · xG 0.02A. Xhekaj · On goal · xG 0.02K. Guhle · On goal · xG 0.01A. Texier · On goal · xG 0.01L. Hutson · On goal · xG 0.01A. Texier · Missed · xG 0.01J. Veleno · Missed · xG 0.01K. Guhle · Missed · xG 0.01L. Hutson · On goal · xG 0.01Z. Bolduc · Missed · xG 0.01A. Carrier · On goal · xG 0.01A. Xhekaj · On goal · xG 0.00
MTL0 G · 2.8 xG · 49 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

DETvsMTL
3.43 G
All situations
0 G2.8
1.42 G
Even strength
0 G2.0
1.11 G
Power play
0 G0.8
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 86 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
DET46%54%MTL

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.49 – 2.72

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

DETvsMTL
24
Shots on goal
27
58%
Faceoffs
42%
1/5
Power play
0/1
2
Penalty minutes
10
14
Hits
27
16
Blocked shots
17
8
Giveaways
12
1
Takeaways
9

Box score

every player line
Detroit Red Wings skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
53M. SeiderD011010.01010—26:43
8B. ChiarotD000+200.00220—22:05
77S. EdvinssonD000000.00220—21:48
23L. RaymondL101+110.48000—17:53
18A. CoppC112+210.931306517:41
71D. LarkinC112+130.430006917:00
93A. DeBrincatR123+230.38010—16:56
21J. van RiemsdykL011+110.14100—16:47
88P. KaneR011+120.10100—15:44
22M. AppletonC000000.04010015:22
44A. Sandin-PellikkaD000+110.06010—15:13
27M. RasmussenC000040.141205015:09
25J. Bernard-DockerD011+210.00020—13:57
92M. KasperC000030.19300013:32
37J. CompherL000+100.220004513:28
20A. JohanssonD000+100.00000—13:28
85E. SoderblomL000030.25210—13:14
58E. FinnieC000000.00102012:00
Detroit Red Wings goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
36J. Gibson(W)272701.0002.77+2.7760:00

Season series

DET leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).