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Canadiens at Red Wings
NHL

Montréal Canadiens at Detroit Red Wings

FinalTV FDSNDET, TSN2·Little Caesars Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Montréal Canadiens beat the Detroit Red Wings 5-1. The Red Wings scored first; the Canadiens answered. The Canadiens led 5-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Mike Matheson's goal at 19:53 of the first period, which took the Canadiens' chances from 62% to 79%. Expected goals favored the Red Wings, 2.9 to 1.7; shots on goal were MTL 17, DET 31. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Red Wings win a replay of these chances 71% of the time. Jakub Dobes stopped 30 of 31 (.968), 1.9 goals saved above expected; John Gibson stopped 8 of 13 (.615), 3.8 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Mike Matheson (1 G, 1 A), 2. Nick Suzuki (2 A), 3. Brendan Gallagher (2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    MTL
    M. Matheson1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    MTL
    N. Suzuki2 A
  3. ★★★
    MTL
    B. Gallagher2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
MTLMTL392503517
DETDET11101109131

Scoring

6 goals

1st period

  1. DET
    D. Larkin(1)PPG
    snapxG 0.15win prob +8 ptsVideo
    0-1
    3:50
  2. MTL
    wristxG 0.12win prob +13 ptsVideo
    1-1
    10:14
  3. MTL
    snapxG 0.17win prob +14 ptsVideo
    2-1
    12:43
  4. MTL
    wristxG 0.07win prob +17 ptsVideo
    3-1
    19:53

2nd period

  1. MTL
    wristxG 0.01win prob +11 ptsVideo
    4-1
    5:19
  2. MTL
    snapxG 0.30win prob +2 ptsVideo
    5-1
    17:12

Penalties

MTL 8 PIM·DET 6 PIM

1st

  • 3:13MTLNoah Dobson · Interferencedrawn by Elmer Soderblom2 min
  • 5:51DETMarco Kasper · Roughingdrawn by Kirby Dach2 min
  • 13:15MTLBrendan Gallagher · High stickingdrawn by Michael Brandsegg-Nygård2 min

2nd

  • 12:53DETSimon Edvinsson · Interferencedrawn by Josh Anderson2 min
  • 17:05DETMoritz Seider · Trippingdrawn by Alex Newhook2 min

3rd

  • 5:32MTLArber Xhekaj · Holding the stickdrawn by J.T. Compher2 min
  • 16:42MTLBrendan Gallagher · Trippingdrawn by Simon Edvinsson2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
DET goalMTL goalFinal: DET 0%

Biggest swing: Mike Matheson, 1st 19:53 — MTL 62% → 79%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
L. Raymond · Missed · xG 0.25A. DeBrincat · On goal · xG 0.18L. Raymond · On goal · xG 0.16D. Larkin · On goal · xG 0.15A. DeBrincat · On goal · xG 0.15D. Larkin · Goal · xG 0.15M. Rasmussen · Missed · xG 0.14A. DeBrincat · On goal · xG 0.13A. DeBrincat · Missed · xG 0.13E. Finnie · On goal · xG 0.12A. DeBrincat · Missed · xG 0.12M. Brandsegg-Nygård · On goal · xG 0.11M. Appleton · On goal · xG 0.10L. Raymond · On goal · xG 0.10D. Larkin · On goal · xG 0.09A. Copp · On goal · xG 0.08A. DeBrincat · On goal · xG 0.07A. DeBrincat · On goal · xG 0.07J. Compher · On goal · xG 0.07M. Brandsegg-Nygård · On goal · xG 0.07A. Sandin-Pellikka · Missed · xG 0.05M. Seider · On goal · xG 0.04A. DeBrincat · Missed · xG 0.04P. Kane · Missed · xG 0.04S. Edvinsson · On goal · xG 0.04M. Kasper · On goal · xG 0.03M. Seider · On goal · xG 0.03M. Seider · On goal · xG 0.03A. Copp · Missed · xG 0.03S. Edvinsson · Missed · xG 0.02E. Soderblom · Missed · xG 0.02A. Sandin-Pellikka · On goal · xG 0.02M. Seider · On goal · xG 0.01T. Hamonic · On goal · xG 0.01D. Larkin · On goal · xG 0.01A. Copp · Missed · xG 0.01M. Seider · On goal · xG 0.01D. Larkin · On goal · xG 0.01B. Chiarot · On goal · xG 0.01S. Edvinsson · Missed · xG 0.00M. Kasper · Missed · xG 0.00A. Johansson · On goal · xG 0.00S. Edvinsson · On goal · xG 0.00T. Hamonic · On goal · xG 0.00
DET1 G · 2.9 xG · 44 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

MTLvsDET
1.75 G
All situations
1 G2.9
1.14 G
Even strength
0 G1.4
0.61 G
Power play
1 G1.5
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 69 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
MTL29%71%DET

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.72 – 2.87

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

MTLvsDET
17
Shots on goal
31
43%
Faceoffs
57%
1/3
Power play
1/4
8
Penalty minutes
6
25
Hits
34
14
Blocked shots
13
14
Giveaways
18
3
Takeaways
4

Box score

every player line
Montréal Canadiens skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
48L. HutsonD000+100.04210—22:41
21K. GuhleD000+100.00520—20:46
8M. MathesonD112+130.10120—20:22
53N. DobsonD011+110.08012—19:50
45A. CarrierD101+210.01020—17:10
17J. AndersonR000010.04110—16:15
15A. NewhookC011+100.002005715:50
14N. SuzukiC022+110.140002515:46
72A. XhekajD011+200.00622—15:37
71J. EvansC000000.001206415:36
20J. SlafkovskýL101+120.4820010015:26
76Z. BolducR101+240.390003314:52
91O. KapanenC101+110.17110014:40
13C. CaufieldR011+130.24200—14:30
77K. DachC000+200.052002514:10
11B. GallagherR022+200.00004—14:03
92P. LaineL000000.01000—13:45
93I. DemidovR011+100.00000—12:04
Montréal Canadiens goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
75J. Dobes(W)31301.9682.88+1.8860:00

Season series

DET leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).