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Mammoth at Stars
NHL

Utah Mammoth at Dallas Stars

NHL scoreboard
Utah Mammoth
▸6
Dallas Stars
3
FinalTV FOX4, Utah16·American Airlines Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Utah Mammoth beat the Dallas Stars 6-3. The lead changed hands 2 times. It was tied 2-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Jack McBain's goal at 4:16 of the third period, which took the Mammoth's chances from 44% to 72%. Expected goals favored the Stars, 2.9 to 2.3; shots on goal were UTA 22, DAL 30. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Stars win a replay of these chances 70% of the time. Vitek Vanecek stopped 27 of 30 (.900); Casey DeSmith stopped 16 of 21 (.762), 3.2 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Jack McBain (1 G), 2. Nate Schmidt (1 G), 3. Wyatt Johnston (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    UTA
    J. McBain1 G
  2. ★★
    UTA
    N. Schmidt1 G
  3. ★★★
    DAL
    W. Johnston1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
UTAUTA1211149622
DALDAL110110110330

Scoring

9 goals

1st period

  1. DAL
    S. Steel(12)
    J. Benn (16), E. Lindell (22)
    snapxG 0.14win prob +12 ptsVideo
    0-1
    6:17
  2. UTA
    C. Keller(20)
    M. Sergachev (34)
    snapxG 0.02win prob +5 ptsVideo
    1-1
    12:11

2nd period

  1. UTA
    N. Schmidt(5)
    L. Cooley (13)
    snapxG 0.01win prob +18 ptsVideo
    2-1
    7:20
  2. DAL
    W. Johnston(37)
    M. Heiskanen (48), J. Robertson (44)
    tip-inxG 0.07win prob +21 ptsVideo
    2-2
    15:34

3rd period

  1. UTA
    J. McBain(7)SHG
    Unassisted
    backhandxG 0.20win prob +28 ptsVideo
    3-2
    4:16
  2. UTA
    K. Yamamoto(10)
    A. Kerfoot (3)
    backhandxG 0.20win prob +16 ptsVideo
    4-2
    8:05
  3. UTA
    M. Carcone(14)PPG
    J. Peterka (19)
    snapxG 0.06win prob +1 ptsVideo
    5-2
    16:06
  4. UTA
    L. Crouse(17)EN
    N. Schmaltz (36)
    snapxG 0.55Video
    6-2
    19:20
  5. DAL
    A. Erne(5)
    A. Hyry (1), T. Myers (8)
    snapxG 0.15Video
    6-3
    19:56

Penalties

UTA 16 PIM·DAL 16 PIM

1st

  • 11:26DALAdam Erne · Fightingdrawn by Brandon Tanev5 min
  • 11:26UTABrandon Tanev · Fightingdrawn by Adam Erne5 min
  • 15:02DALLian Bichsel · Fightingdrawn by Jack McBain5 min
  • 15:02UTAJack McBain · Fightingdrawn by Lian Bichsel5 min
  • 16:27DALSam Steel · Trippingdrawn by Clayton Keller2 min

2nd

  • 1:17UTAJohn Marino · Holding the stickdrawn by Mavrik Bourque2 min
  • 8:57UTASean Durzi · Trippingdrawn by Mavrik Bourque2 min

3rd

  • 3:04UTABarrett Hayton · Hookingdrawn by Lian Bichsel2 min
  • 9:27DALMavrik Bourque · Roughingdrawn by Ian Cole2 min
  • 14:29DALMichael Bunting · Cross checkingdrawn by Ian Cole2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
DAL goalUTA goalFinal: DAL 0%

Biggest swing: Jack McBain, 3rd 4:16 — UTA 44% → 72%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
J. Benn · On goal · xG 0.23J. Hryckowian · On goal · xG 0.23T. Myers · On goal · xG 0.18J. Hryckowian · Missed · xG 0.15A. Erne · Goal · xG 0.15W. Johnston · On goal · xG 0.14S. Steel · Goal · xG 0.14J. Benn · On goal · xG 0.14W. Johnston · On goal · xG 0.13J. Robertson · On goal · xG 0.12T. Harley · On goal · xG 0.12J. Robertson · On goal · xG 0.10M. Heiskanen · Missed · xG 0.09A. Erne · Missed · xG 0.09J. Robertson · On goal · xG 0.08M. Duchene · On goal · xG 0.08M. Duchene · Missed · xG 0.07W. Johnston · Goal · xG 0.07M. Heiskanen · Missed · xG 0.06J. Benn · On goal · xG 0.06J. Hryckowian · On goal · xG 0.06J. Benn · On goal · xG 0.05T. Myers · On goal · xG 0.05M. Bourque · On goal · xG 0.04T. Harley · On goal · xG 0.04E. Lindell · On goal · xG 0.03C. Blackwell · Missed · xG 0.03J. Benn · On goal · xG 0.03N. Lundkvist · On goal · xG 0.03M. Heiskanen · Missed · xG 0.03M. Bunting · On goal · xG 0.02T. Myers · On goal · xG 0.02N. Lundkvist · On goal · xG 0.02L. Bichsel · On goal · xG 0.01T. Harley · On goal · xG 0.01M. Bunting · Missed · xG 0.01L. Bichsel · Missed · xG 0.01T. Myers · Missed · xG 0.01T. Harley · On goal · xG 0.00S. Steel · On goal · xG 0.00T. Myers · Missed · xG 0.00
DAL3 G · 2.9 xG · 41 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

UTAvsDAL
2.35 G
All situations
3 G2.9
1.43 G
Even strength
3 G2.0
0.21 G
Power play
0 G0.4
0.21 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.5

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 69 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
UTA30%70%DAL

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.79 – 2.90

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

UTAvsDAL
22
Shots on goal
30
51%
Faceoffs
49%
1/3
Power play
0/3
16
Penalty minutes
16
26
Hits
26
5
Blocked shots
16
18
Giveaways
17
3
Takeaways
3

Box score

every player line
Utah Mammoth skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
52M. WeegarD000+420.02200—21:08
8N. SchmaltzC011+110.120004621:03
98M. SergachevD011+110.02210—20:29
9C. KellerR101+130.12000—20:13
28I. ColeD000-210.00110—18:51
88N. SchmidtD101+220.06210—18:28
6J. MarinoD000+100.00002—18:21
67L. CrouseL101+110.55500—18:12
50S. DurziD000-200.00102—17:43
27B. HaytonC000020.151027716:57
92L. CooleyC011020.260002715:37
15A. KerfootC011+100.012106015:23
11D. GuentherR000010.09200—14:51
53M. CarconeL101-120.29500—14:22
22J. McBainC101+120.44105013:23
77J. PeterkaR011000.00000—11:42
56K. YamamotoR101+120.21000—10:00
13B. TanevL000000.00215—07:45
Utah Mammoth goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
41V. Vanecek(W)30273.9002.94-0.0659:32

Season series

Tied 2-2

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).