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Stars at Mammoth
NHL

Dallas Stars at Utah Mammoth

NHL scoreboard
Dallas Stars
1
Utah Mammoth
▸2
FinalTV Utah16, Victory+·Delta Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Utah Mammoth beat the Dallas Stars 2-1. The Mammoth scored first and never trailed. The Mammoth led 1-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was John Marino's goal at 4:03 of the third period, which took the Mammoth's chances from 52% to 78%. Expected goals were close — DAL 2.6, UTA 2.8; shots on goal were DAL 27, UTA 27. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Mammoth win a replay of these chances 54% of the time. Jake Oettinger stopped 25 of 27 (.926), 0.8 goals saved above expected; Karel Vejmelka stopped 26 of 27 (.963), 1.6 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Karel Vejmelka (26 saves, .963), 2. Nick Schmaltz (1 G, 1 A), 3. John Marino (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    UTA
    K. Vejmelka26 saves, .963
  2. ★★
    UTA
    N. Schmaltz1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    UTA
    J. Marino1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
DALDAL05012110127
UTAUTA01011017227

Scoring

3 goals

2nd period

  1. UTA
    N. Schmaltz(17)
    J. Marino (19), C. Keller (31)
    tip-inxG 0.12win prob +23 ptsVideo
    0-1
    19:53

3rd period

  1. DAL
    M. Rantanen(19)PPG
    W. Johnston (28), J. Robertson (29)
    wristxG 0.56win prob +20 ptsVideo
    1-1
    2:04
  2. UTA
    J. Marino(4)
    N. Schmaltz (26)
    snapxG 0.01win prob +26 ptsVideo
    1-2
    4:03

Penalties

DAL 6 PIM·UTA 6 PIM

1st

  • 7:33DALRoope Hintz · Slashingdrawn by Nate Schmidt2 min

2nd

  • 0:55UTAserved by Daniil But · Too many men on the ice2 min
  • 15:45UTAJJ Peterka · Holdingdrawn by Kyle Capobianco2 min
  • 15:45DALKyle Capobianco · Roughingdrawn by JJ Peterka2 min

3rd

  • 1:39UTABarrett Hayton · Hookingdrawn by Roope Hintz2 min
  • 5:43DALMatt Duchene · Trippingdrawn by Mikhail Sergachev2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
UTA goalDAL goalFinal: UTA 100%

Biggest swing: John Marino, 3rd 4:03 — UTA 52% → 78%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
B. Hayton · On goal · xG 0.22D. Guenther · On goal · xG 0.19D. Guenther · On goal · xG 0.19D. Guenther · On goal · xG 0.18C. Keller · On goal · xG 0.17J. Peterka · Missed · xG 0.16C. Keller · On goal · xG 0.14K. Stenlund · On goal · xG 0.12L. Crouse · On goal · xG 0.12N. Schmaltz · Goal · xG 0.12D. Guenther · Missed · xG 0.10J. Peterka · On goal · xG 0.09J. Peterka · On goal · xG 0.08J. Marino · On goal · xG 0.08L. Crouse · On goal · xG 0.08D. Guenther · Missed · xG 0.07C. Keller · Missed · xG 0.06L. Crouse · Missed · xG 0.05N. Schmaltz · Missed · xG 0.05J. McBain · On goal · xG 0.05N. DeSimone · Missed · xG 0.05M. Sergachev · On goal · xG 0.04M. Sergachev · On goal · xG 0.04D. But · On goal · xG 0.03N. DeSimone · On goal · xG 0.03J. Peterka · Missed · xG 0.03M. Sergachev · Missed · xG 0.02S. Durzi · On goal · xG 0.02M. Sergachev · Missed · xG 0.02N. DeSimone · Missed · xG 0.02D. Guenther · On goal · xG 0.02L. Crouse · On goal · xG 0.02S. Durzi · Missed · xG 0.02J. Marino · Goal · xG 0.01M. Carcone · Missed · xG 0.01J. McBain · On goal · xG 0.01N. Schmidt · On goal · xG 0.01C. Keller · On goal · xG 0.01M. Carcone · Missed · xG 0.01J. Peterka · On goal · xG 0.01C. Keller · Missed · xG 0.00N. Schmidt · Missed · xG 0.00D. But · On goal · xG 0.00
UTA2 G · 2.8 xG · 43 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

DALvsUTA
2.61 G
All situations
2 G2.8
1.50 G
Even strength
2 G2.2
1.11 G
Power play
0 G0.6
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 76 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
DAL46%54%UTA

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.49 – 2.72

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

DALvsUTA
27
Shots on goal
27
33%
Faceoffs
67%
1/2
Power play
0/2
6
Penalty minutes
6
15
Hits
18
18
Blocked shots
15
16
Giveaways
21
6
Takeaways
5

Box score

every player line
Dallas Stars skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
55T. HarleyD000-160.25050—30:46
23E. LindellD000-120.09040—24:09
96M. RantanenR101030.653003322:11
21J. RobertsonL011020.30110—21:42
53W. JohnstonC011020.461001121:25
24R. HintzC000030.210023920:31
95M. DucheneC000010.04102019:57
18S. SteelC000010.060102717:30
5N. LundkvistD000-110.01010—16:38
46I. LyubushkinD000010.02020—15:30
28A. PetrovicD000-110.04220—14:58
20K. CapobiancoD000010.05012—12:29
22M. BourqueC000-110.141002911:38
10O. BäckC000-100.00000011:28
49J. HryckowianC000-100.002105010:47
12R. FaksaC000-110.020004310:42
14J. BennL000-110.102005008:39
73A. ErneL000-100.14200—06:22
Dallas Stars goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
29J. Oettinger(L)27252.9262.76+0.7656:38

Season series

Tied 2-2

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).