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Stars at Mammoth
NHL

Dallas Stars at Utah Mammoth

NHL scoreboard
Dallas Stars
▸3
Utah Mammoth
2
FinalTV Utah16, Victory+·Delta Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Dallas Stars beat the Utah Mammoth 3-2. The Stars scored first and never trailed. The Stars led 3-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Matt Duchene's goal at 16:37 of the first period, which took the Stars' chances from 61% to 77%. Expected goals favored the Stars, 3.9 to 1.9; shots on goal were DAL 32, UTA 14. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Stars win a replay of these chances 77% of the time. Casey DeSmith stopped 12 of 14 (.857); Karel Vejmelka stopped 29 of 32 (.906), 0.5 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Wyatt Johnston (1 G), 2. Kailer Yamamoto (2 G), 3. Jamie Benn (2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    DAL
    W. Johnston1 G
  2. ★★
    UTA
    K. Yamamoto2 G
  3. ★★★
    DAL
    J. Benn2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
DALDAL310011011332
UTAUTA150514214

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. DAL
    T. Harley(4)PPG
    M. Bourque (11), J. Benn (10)
    snapxG 0.38win prob +10 ptsVideo
    1-0
    2:11
  2. DAL
    W. Johnston(29)PPG
    M. Rantanen (47), M. Heiskanen (35)
    tip-inxG 0.17win prob +13 ptsVideo
    2-0
    7:42
  3. UTA
    K. Yamamoto(8)
    J. Peterka (17), J. Marino (21)
    snapxG 0.09win prob +15 ptsVideo
    2-1
    10:23
  4. DAL
    M. Duchene(9)
    J. Benn (11), S. Steel (16)
    snapxG 0.16win prob +16 ptsVideo
    3-1
    16:37

3rd period

  1. UTA
    K. Yamamoto(9)
    J. Peterka (18), B. Hayton (12)
    wristxG 0.10win prob +16 ptsVideo
    3-2
    6:41

Penalties

DAL 6 PIM·UTA 10 PIM

1st

  • 0:48UTASean Durzi · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
  • 6:38UTAJack McBain · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
  • 10:23DALserved by A. Erne · Delaying game unsuccessful challenge2 min
  • 13:04DALMikko Rantanen · Trippingdrawn by Brandon Tanev2 min

2nd

  • 12:37UTAJack McBain · Roughingdrawn by Roope Hintz2 min
  • 12:37DALRoope Hintz · Roughingdrawn by Jack McBain2 min
  • 19:01UTANate Schmidt · Hookingdrawn by Wyatt Johnston2 min

3rd

  • 12:13UTANate Schmidt · Broken stick2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
UTA goalDAL goalFinal: UTA 0%

Biggest swing: Matt Duchene, 1st 16:37 — DAL 61% → 77%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
N. Schmaltz · On goal · xG 0.29N. Schmaltz · Missed · xG 0.25J. McBain · Missed · xG 0.21J. Peterka · On goal · xG 0.18D. But · On goal · xG 0.14K. Yamamoto · Missed · xG 0.13B. Hayton · On goal · xG 0.11K. Yamamoto · Goal · xG 0.10K. Yamamoto · Goal · xG 0.09N. Schmidt · Missed · xG 0.09N. DeSimone · On goal · xG 0.06J. McBain · Missed · xG 0.05C. Keller · Missed · xG 0.05J. Peterka · Missed · xG 0.04D. Guenther · Missed · xG 0.04M. Sergachev · On goal · xG 0.02S. Durzi · On goal · xG 0.02K. Stenlund · On goal · xG 0.01I. Cole · On goal · xG 0.01D. Guenther · Missed · xG 0.01N. DeSimone · On goal · xG 0.01D. Guenther · Missed · xG 0.01J. Peterka · Missed · xG 0.00I. Cole · On goal · xG 0.00D. Guenther · Missed · xG 0.00J. McBain · On goal · xG 0.00
UTA2 G · 1.9 xG · 26 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

DALvsUTA
3.93 G
All situations
2 G1.9
2.21 G
Even strength
2 G1.4
1.42 G
Power play
0 G0.2
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.3

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 76 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
DAL77%23%UTA

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.50 – 1.90

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

DALvsUTA
32
Shots on goal
14
57%
Faceoffs
43%
2/4
Power play
0/2
6
Penalty minutes
10
25
Hits
18
12
Blocked shots
8
10
Giveaways
18
4
Takeaways
4

Box score

every player line
Dallas Stars skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
4M. HeiskanenD011050.13130—25:35
23E. LindellD000010.41100—22:39
55T. HarleyD101-230.65100—22:23
53W. JohnstonC101060.812107321:23
96M. RantanenR011040.35002—20:47
5N. LundkvistD000-210.01000—18:00
21J. RobertsonL000-130.54200—17:21
24R. HintzC000-120.110226715:56
95M. DucheneC101020.350003014:37
22M. BourqueC011-110.082107514:14
49J. HryckowianC000000.070005014:08
28A. PetrovicD000+120.03330—14:04
14J. BennL022000.00200—13:40
18S. SteelC011-100.07100013:36
10O. BäckC000000.040105012:13
20K. CapobiancoD000+110.03110—12:00
12R. FaksaC000000.002008611:12
73A. ErneL000+110.20700—10:12
Dallas Stars goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
1C. DeSmith(W)14122.8571.91-0.0960:00

Season series

Tied 2-2

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).