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Predators at Oilers
NHL

Nashville Predators at Edmonton Oilers

NHL scoreboard
Nashville Predators
1
Edmonton Oilers
▸3
FinalTV FDSNSO, SNW·Rogers Place

Recap

written from the game data

The Edmonton Oilers beat the Nashville Predators 3-1. The Oilers scored first and never trailed. The Oilers led 2-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Matt Savoie's goal at 2:32 of the second period, which took the Oilers' chances from 69% to 84%. Expected goals favored the Oilers, 5.2 to 3.1; shots on goal were NSH 27, EDM 30. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Oilers win a replay of these chances 67% of the time. Justus Annunen stopped 27 of 29 (.931), 2.1 goals saved above expected; Connor Ingram stopped 26 of 27 (.963), 2.1 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Matt Savoie (1 G), 2. Connor McDavid (3 A), 3. Connor Ingram (26 saves, .963).

Three stars

  1. ★
    EDM
    M. Savoie1 G
  2. ★★
    EDM
    C. McDavid3 A
  3. ★★★
    EDM
    C. Ingram26 saves, .963

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
NSHNSH0708112127
EDMEDM11111019330

Scoring

4 goals

1st period

  1. EDM
    L. Draisaitl(35)PPG
    C. McDavid (75), E. Bouchard (58)
    wristxG 0.10win prob +10 ptsVideo
    0-1
    3:12

2nd period

  1. EDM
    M. Savoie(11)
    C. McDavid (76), M. Ekholm (30)
    wristxG 0.15win prob +15 ptsVideo
    0-2
    2:32

3rd period

  1. NSH
    F. Svechkov(3)
    N. Hague (11), J. Barron (7)
    wristxG 0.04win prob +14 ptsVideo
    1-2
    4:52
  2. EDM
    Z. Hyman(28)EN
    C. McDavid (77)
    wristxG 0.65win prob +5 ptsVideo
    1-3
    18:53

Penalties

NSH 13 PIM·EDM 13 PIM

1st

  • 1:51NSHNick Perbix · Holdingdrawn by Connor McDavid2 min
  • 5:06EDMKasperi Kapanen · Slashingdrawn by Ozzy Wiesblatt2 min
  • 5:06NSHNicolas Hague · Fightingdrawn by Vasily Podkolzin5 min
  • 5:06EDMVasily Podkolzin · Fightingdrawn by Nicolas Hague5 min
  • 13:06EDMTrent Frederic · Roughingdrawn by Ozzy Wiesblatt2 min
  • 15:39EDMConnor Murphy · Slashingdrawn by Filip Forsberg2 min

2nd

  • 6:04EDMJosh Samanski · Trippingdrawn by Roman Josi2 min
  • 10:21NSHErik Haula · Trippingdrawn by Zach Hyman2 min
  • 17:28NSHOzzy Wiesblatt · Slashingdrawn by Mattias Ekholm2 min

3rd

  • 6:39NSHSteven Stamkos · Slashingdrawn by Jake Walman2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
EDM goalNSH goalFinal: EDM 100%

Biggest swing: Matt Savoie, 2nd 2:32 — EDM 69% → 84%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
Z. Hyman · Goal · xG 0.65J. Dickinson · Missed · xG 0.51K. Kapanen · Missed · xG 0.36A. Henrique · On goal · xG 0.35J. Samanski · Missed · xG 0.33Z. Hyman · On goal · xG 0.31Z. Hyman · On goal · xG 0.29C. McDavid · On goal · xG 0.19E. Bouchard · On goal · xG 0.17M. Savoie · Goal · xG 0.15J. Dickinson · On goal · xG 0.12R. Nugent-Hopkins · Missed · xG 0.12J. Roslovic · On goal · xG 0.12J. Walman · On goal · xG 0.12Z. Hyman · On goal · xG 0.10Z. Hyman · On goal · xG 0.10M. Savoie · On goal · xG 0.10L. Draisaitl · Goal · xG 0.10L. Draisaitl · On goal · xG 0.10C. McDavid · Missed · xG 0.09V. Podkolzin · On goal · xG 0.09Z. Hyman · Missed · xG 0.08J. Dickinson · On goal · xG 0.08E. Bouchard · On goal · xG 0.08C. McDavid · Missed · xG 0.08A. Henrique · On goal · xG 0.06V. Podkolzin · On goal · xG 0.06J. Samanski · Missed · xG 0.06R. Nugent-Hopkins · On goal · xG 0.05J. Dickinson · Missed · xG 0.03C. Murphy · Missed · xG 0.03M. Ekholm · On goal · xG 0.02M. Ekholm · On goal · xG 0.02D. Nurse · On goal · xG 0.02C. McDavid · On goal · xG 0.02M. Ekholm · On goal · xG 0.01J. Roslovic · Missed · xG 0.01J. Walman · On goal · xG 0.01M. Ekholm · Missed · xG 0.01A. Henrique · On goal · xG 0.00T. Frederic · On goal · xG 0.00J. Roslovic · On goal · xG 0.00
EDM3 G · 5.2 xG · 42 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

NSHvsEDM
3.11 G
All situations
2 G5.2
1.01 G
Even strength
1 G3.0
2.00 G
Power play
1 G0.9
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 87 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
NSH33%67%EDM

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.00 – 4.04

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

NSHvsEDM
27
Shots on goal
30
42%
Faceoffs
58%
0/4
Power play
1/4
13
Penalty minutes
13
12
Hits
26
9
Blocked shots
9
18
Giveaways
15
5
Takeaways
4

Box score

every player line
Nashville Predators skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
59R. JosiD000-140.18010—28:54
76B. SkjeiD000-110.11000—25:51
90R. O'ReillyC000000.110005521:38
41N. HagueD011+130.05115—20:49
91S. StamkosC000-140.510022019:05
77L. EvangelistaR000030.47000—18:25
9F. ForsbergL000030.26000—18:05
56E. HaulaL000-110.101123617:37
48N. PerbixD000010.01022—17:17
81J. MarchessaultR000-140.88200—16:44
71M. WoodR000-200.000004315:14
68Z. L'HeureuxL000010.19100—13:58
17T. JostC000010.04000012:03
85R. UfkoD000-100.00100—11:29
89O. WiesblattC000000.11412010:14
40F. SvechkovC101+110.041102909:39
20J. BarronD011000.00010—09:16
49R. SchaeferL000000.00110—08:13
Nashville Predators goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
29J. Annunen(L)29272.9314.06+2.0658:08

Season series

EDM leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).