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Predators at Oilers
NHL

Nashville Predators at Edmonton Oilers

NHL scoreboard
Nashville Predators
2
Edmonton Oilers
▸6
FinalTV FDSNSO, TVAS·Rogers Place

Recap

written from the game data

The Edmonton Oilers beat the Nashville Predators 6-2. The Oilers scored first and never trailed. The Oilers led 4-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Connor McDavid's goal at 15:53 of the second period, which took the Oilers' chances from 73% to 89%. Expected goals favored the Oilers, 5.7 to 2.4; shots on goal were NSH 26, EDM 43. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Oilers win a replay of these chances 89% of the time. Juuse Saros stopped 37 of 43 (.860); Connor Ingram stopped 24 of 26 (.923). Three stars: 1. Connor McDavid (3 G), 2. Kasperi Kapanen (1 G, 1 A), 3. Leon Draisaitl (1 G, 2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    EDM
    C. McDavid3 G
  2. ★★
    EDM
    K. Kapanen1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    EDM
    L. Draisaitl1 G, 2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
NSHNSH0907210226
EDMEDM112316215643

Scoring

8 goals

1st period

  1. EDM
    C. McDavid(26)PPG
    E. Bouchard (31), L. Draisaitl (38)
    wristxG 0.13win prob +9 ptsVideo
    0-1
    8:53

2nd period

  1. EDM
    C. McDavid(27)Penalty shot
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.32win prob +16 ptsVideo
    0-2
    15:53
  2. EDM
    C. Lazar(3)
    M. Savoie (7), M. Janmark (6)
    backhandxG 0.23win prob +7 ptsVideo
    0-3
    16:15
  3. EDM
    K. Kapanen(1)
    L. Draisaitl (39), V. Podkolzin (8)
    wristxG 0.12win prob +2 ptsVideo
    0-4
    18:52

3rd period

  1. NSH
    R. O'Reilly(12)
    N. Hague (9), L. Evangelista (25)
    snapxG 0.36win prob +1 ptsVideo
    1-4
    3:48
  2. NSH
    N. Blankenburg(5)
    R. Schaefer (1), M. Bunting (14)
    snapxG 0.01win prob +5 ptsVideo
    2-4
    4:03
  3. EDM
    L. Draisaitl(21)
    K. Kapanen (3), V. Podkolzin (9)
    snapxG 0.27win prob +2 ptsVideo
    2-5
    13:46
  4. EDM
    C. McDavid(28)
    R. Nugent-Hopkins (23), M. Ekholm (16)
    snapxG 0.17Video
    2-6
    19:03

Penalties

NSH 4 PIM·EDM 4 PIM

1st

  • 8:19NSHMichael McCarron · High stickingdrawn by Connor Ingram2 min

2nd

  • 5:02EDMAlec Regula · Trippingdrawn by Luke Evangelista2 min
  • 15:53NSHAdam Wilsby · Ps holding on breakawaydrawn by Connor McDavid0 min

3rd

  • 4:25EDMMatt Savoie · Hookingdrawn by Roman Josi2 min
  • 6:25NSHBrady Skjei · Hookingdrawn by Evan Bouchard2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
EDM goalNSH goalFinal: EDM 100%

Biggest swing: Connor McDavid, 2nd 15:53 — EDM 73% → 89%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
C. McDavid · Goal · xG 0.32C. McDavid · On goal · xG 0.30I. Howard · On goal · xG 0.29L. Draisaitl · Goal · xG 0.27M. Savoie · On goal · xG 0.23C. Lazar · Goal · xG 0.23C. McDavid · On goal · xG 0.21C. McDavid · On goal · xG 0.21V. Podkolzin · On goal · xG 0.18C. McDavid · Goal · xG 0.17M. Savoie · Missed · xG 0.17C. McDavid · Missed · xG 0.16Z. Hyman · On goal · xG 0.15M. Savoie · On goal · xG 0.14Z. Hyman · Missed · xG 0.14E. Bouchard · Missed · xG 0.13C. McDavid · Goal · xG 0.13C. Lazar · On goal · xG 0.13R. Nugent-Hopkins · Missed · xG 0.13Z. Hyman · On goal · xG 0.13C. Lazar · On goal · xG 0.12M. Savoie · On goal · xG 0.12K. Kapanen · Goal · xG 0.12J. Roslovic · On goal · xG 0.11M. Janmark · On goal · xG 0.11Z. Hyman · On goal · xG 0.10C. McDavid · On goal · xG 0.10I. Howard · Missed · xG 0.10Z. Hyman · Missed · xG 0.10C. McDavid · On goal · xG 0.10E. Bouchard · Missed · xG 0.09L. Draisaitl · Missed · xG 0.08L. Draisaitl · On goal · xG 0.08C. McDavid · On goal · xG 0.05L. Draisaitl · On goal · xG 0.05J. Roslovic · On goal · xG 0.04J. Roslovic · On goal · xG 0.04K. Kapanen · On goal · xG 0.04J. Roslovic · Missed · xG 0.03M. Ekholm · On goal · xG 0.03J. Roslovic · On goal · xG 0.03A. Regula · On goal · xG 0.03C. McDavid · On goal · xG 0.03E. Bouchard · On goal · xG 0.03C. McDavid · Missed · xG 0.02K. Kapanen · Missed · xG 0.01M. Janmark · On goal · xG 0.01M. Ekholm · On goal · xG 0.01R. Nugent-Hopkins · Missed · xG 0.01Z. Hyman · On goal · xG 0.01M. Savoie · On goal · xG 0.01D. Nurse · On goal · xG 0.01A. Regula · Missed · xG 0.01M. Ekholm · On goal · xG 0.01M. Ekholm · On goal · xG 0.01M. Ekholm · Missed · xG 0.01I. Howard · On goal · xG 0.01K. Kapanen · On goal · xG 0.01
EDM6 G · 5.7 xG · 58 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

NSHvsEDM
2.42 G
All situations
6 G5.7
2.22 G
Even strength
5 G4.2
0.10 G
Power play
1 G1.3
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.2

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 99 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
NSH11%89%EDM

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.36 – 5.49

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

NSHvsEDM
26
Shots on goal
43
43%
Faceoffs
57%
0/2
Power play
1/2
4
Penalty minutes
4
17
Hits
15
13
Blocked shots
16
18
Giveaways
16
6
Takeaways
7

Box score

every player line
Nashville Predators skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
59R. JosiD000-100.04000—22:13
77L. EvangelistaR011+120.11010—20:18
41N. HagueD011020.01120—19:53
9F. ForsbergL000+130.39210—18:58
58M. BuntingL011+110.15000—18:24
76B. SkjeiD000-110.02012—18:14
90R. O'ReillyC101030.720203617:47
37N. BlankenburgD101010.06010—16:59
36C. SmithR000-220.16200—16:35
56E. HaulaL000020.132004516:10
48N. PerbixD000-100.00010—15:49
91S. StamkosC000-120.030104015:41
47M. McCarronC000-140.065225014:52
40F. SvechkovC000-110.183006714:48
83A. WilsbyD000-100.00000—14:34
49R. SchaeferL011-120.29200—13:26
17T. JostC000-300.00000012:38
20J. BarronD000000.03010—10:07
Nashville Predators goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
74J. Saros(L)43376.8605.71-0.2960:00

Season series

EDM leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).