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Blue Jackets at Lightning
NHL

Columbus Blue Jackets at Tampa Bay Lightning

NHL scoreboard
Columbus Blue Jackets
▸5
Tampa Bay Lightning
2
FinalTV The Spot, FDSNOH·Benchmark International Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Columbus Blue Jackets beat the Tampa Bay Lightning 5-2. The Lightning scored first; the Blue Jackets answered. The Blue Jackets led 3-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Conor Garland's goal at 6:27 of the second period, which took the Blue Jackets' chances from 47% to 64%. Expected goals favored the Blue Jackets, 4.0 to 1.7; shots on goal were CBJ 32, TBL 18. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Blue Jackets win a replay of these chances 79% of the time. Elvis Merzlikins stopped 16 of 18 (.889); Andrei Vasilevskiy stopped 27 of 31 (.871). Three stars: 1. Conor Garland (2 G), 2. Zach Werenski (2 A), 3. J.J. Moser (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    CBJ
    C. Garland2 G
  2. ★★
    CBJ
    Z. Werenski2 A
  3. ★★★
    TBL
    J. Moser1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
CBJCBJ09313210532
TBLTBL141806218

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. TBL
    G. Goncalves(8)
    V. Hedman (15), N. Kucherov (70)
    tip-inxG 0.05win prob +14 ptsVideo
    0-1
    13:38

2nd period

  1. CBJ
    I. Provorov(8)
    D. Mateychuk (17), C. Coyle (35)
    slapxG 0.03win prob +17 ptsVideo
    1-1
    5:57
  2. CBJ
    C. Garland(10)
    K. Johnson (14), S. Monahan (20)
    wristxG 0.11win prob +18 ptsVideo
    2-1
    6:27
  3. CBJ
    K. Marchenko(24)PPG
    A. Fantilli (27), Z. Werenski (47)
    slapxG 0.07win prob +15 ptsVideo
    3-1
    11:42
  4. TBL
    J. Moser(7)
    A. Cirelli (24)
    wristxG 0.02win prob +17 ptsVideo
    3-2
    16:23

3rd period

  1. CBJ
    C. Garland(11)PPG
    S. Monahan (21), Z. Werenski (48)
    wristxG 0.16win prob +14 ptsVideo
    4-2
    4:00
  2. CBJ
    D. Fabbro(5)EN
    E. Merzlikins (2)
    wristxG 0.40win prob +1 ptsVideo
    5-2
    15:28

Penalties

CBJ 13 PIM·TBL 15 PIM

1st

  • 7:19TBLJ.J. Moser · Hookingdrawn by Kirill Marchenko2 min
  • 10:58TBLZemgus Girgensons · Holdingdrawn by Charlie Coyle2 min
  • 13:50CBJKirill Marchenko · Trippingdrawn by Brandon Hagel2 min
  • 19:10CBJCole Sillinger · Elbowingdrawn by J.J. Moser2 min
  • 19:10TBLJ.J. Moser · Unsportsmanlike conductdrawn by Cole Sillinger2 min
  • 19:10CBJCole Sillinger · Fightingdrawn by J.J. Moser5 min
  • 19:10TBLJ.J. Moser · Fightingdrawn by Cole Sillinger5 min

2nd

  • 10:05TBLGage Goncalves · Trippingdrawn by Zach Werenski2 min
  • 11:59CBJDanton Heinen · Hookingdrawn by Charle-Edouard D'Astous2 min
  • 14:02CBJBoone Jenner · Trippingdrawn by Anthony Cirelli2 min

3rd

  • 2:36TBLJake Guentzel · Hookingdrawn by Cole Sillinger2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
TBL goalCBJ goalFinal: TBL 0%

Biggest swing: Conor Garland, 2nd 6:27 — CBJ 47% → 64%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
C. Perry · Missed · xG 0.25C. Perry · Missed · xG 0.19J. Guentzel · On goal · xG 0.14C. Perry · Missed · xG 0.12J. Guentzel · Missed · xG 0.11Z. Girgensons · On goal · xG 0.10C. D'Astous · On goal · xG 0.09O. Bjorkstrand · Missed · xG 0.09O. Bjorkstrand · On goal · xG 0.08N. Kucherov · Missed · xG 0.07N. Kucherov · On goal · xG 0.06G. Goncalves · Goal · xG 0.05V. Hedman · On goal · xG 0.05V. Hedman · On goal · xG 0.04V. Hedman · Missed · xG 0.03P. Holmberg · On goal · xG 0.03N. Kucherov · Missed · xG 0.03J. Guentzel · On goal · xG 0.03B. Hagel · On goal · xG 0.02C. D'Astous · On goal · xG 0.02O. Bjorkstrand · On goal · xG 0.02J. Moser · On goal · xG 0.02C. Perry · On goal · xG 0.02J. Moser · Goal · xG 0.02B. Hagel · Missed · xG 0.02C. Geekie · On goal · xG 0.01R. McDonagh · Missed · xG 0.01J. Moser · Missed · xG 0.01C. D'Astous · On goal · xG 0.00
TBL2 G · 1.7 xG · 29 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

CBJvsTBL
4.04 G
All situations
2 G1.7
2.82 G
Even strength
2 G0.8
0.82 G
Power play
0 G0.9
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 73 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
CBJ79%21%TBL

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.48 – 1.74

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

CBJvsTBL
32
Shots on goal
18
44%
Faceoffs
56%
2/4
Power play
0/3
13
Penalty minutes
15
21
Hits
29
15
Blocked shots
8
17
Giveaways
11
9
Takeaways
2

Box score

every player line
Columbus Blue Jackets skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
8Z. WerenskiD022000.04010—22:59
9I. ProvorovD101+120.03110—22:05
3C. CoyleC011+110.211004620:36
78D. SeversonD000+100.00010—19:29
15D. FabbroD101-110.41130—19:09
86K. MarchenkoR101-120.25002—19:00
5D. MateychukD011000.00110—18:44
19A. FantilliC011-150.802003818:39
17M. MarchmentL000+110.02200—18:33
23S. MonahanC022+150.710105415:53
38B. JennerC000020.091423314:39
21I. LundestromC000+130.331005013:39
43D. HeinenL000000.11412—12:32
91K. JohnsonC011+110.10000012:32
2J. ChristiansenD000+110.01000—11:56
24M. OlivierR000+120.26310—11:45
83C. GarlandR202+160.69100—11:39
4C. SillingerC000-200.0031710010:42
Columbus Blue Jackets goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
90E. Merzlikins(W)18162.8891.74-0.2659:29

Season series

CBJ leads 3-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).